氦氣（HNT）面向下壓力，但是它會下降到其2024低點以下嗎？

氦氣（HNT）最近在市場上經歷了艱難的時期，過去一個月虧損20.11％。這種下降趨勢伴隨著激增

After experiencing a 20.11% loss over the past month, Helium (HNT) has faced a downturn that has been accompanied by a surge in selling pressure, particularly in the derivatives market. This downtrend has led many traders to speculate whether the altcoin will fall below its 2024 low.

在過去一個月遭受20.11％的損失之後，氦氣（HNT）面臨著衰退，伴隨著銷售壓力的激增，尤其是在衍生品市場中。這種下降趨勢導致許多交易者推測替代幣是否將低於其2024年的低點。

Despite the bearish outlook, there are signs that some market participants are beginning to shift their positions, offering a glimmer of hope for a potential recovery. However, with a heavy reliance on buyer support at key levels, the question remains: will HNT drop further, or is there room for recovery?

儘管看不見前景，但有跡象表明，一些市場參與者開始改變自己的地位，為潛在的恢復提供了一線希望。但是，由於在關鍵水平上非常依賴買家的支持，問題仍然存在：h不會進一步下降，還是有恢復的空間？

Increased Selling Pressure in the Derivatives Market

衍生品市場的銷售壓力增加

One of the most noticeable trends for Helium (HNT) recently has been the surge in selling volume. In the derivatives market, selling pressure has significantly outpaced buying activity, as evidenced by the Taker Buy-Sell ratio dropping to 0.963. When this ratio dips below 1, it signals an uptick in selling pressure, with more traders opting to short the asset than to take long positions.

最近，氦氣（HNT）最明顯的趨勢之一是銷售量的激增。在衍生品市場中，銷售壓力已經大大超過了購買活動，這證明了Taker買賣比率下降到0.963。當該比率下降到1以下時，它標誌著銷售壓力的上升，而交易員選擇的資產要比長期以赴。

A lower ratio like this typically reflects a bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is against HNT. Moreover, the number of unsettled derivative contracts has fallen by 19.80% to $4.96 million in Open Interest, a typical bearish indicator. The decline in Open Interest, coupled with lower trading volume, reinforces the negative sentiment currently surrounding the asset.

這樣的較低的比例通常反映出看跌的情緒，這表明動量是針對HNT的。此外，典型的看跌指標，未解決的衍生合同的數量下降了19.80％，達到496萬美元。開放利息的下降，再加上較低的交易量，加強了當前圍繞資產的負面情緒。

Shifting Sentiment in the Spot Market

在現貨市場上轉移情感

While the derivatives market reflects heavy selling activity, the spot market tells a slightly different story. Exchange Netflows for HNT have been negative over the past two days, indicating that traders are moving their assets off exchanges and into private wallets for long-term holding. This trend often signifies a bullish sentiment, as traders are showing faith in the long-term potential of the asset.

雖然衍生品市場反映了繁重的銷售活動，但現貨市場講述了一個略有不同的故事。在過去的兩天中，交易所的NNETFLOW是負面的，這表明交易者正在將其資產從交易所轉移到私人錢包中以進行長期持有。這種趨勢通常表示看漲的情緒，因為交易者對資產的長期潛力表現出信心。

Over the last two days, approximately $250,000 worth of HNT has been moved out of exchanges. While this transfer of assets suggests a certain level of confidence, it has not been enough to overpower the overall bearish sentiment in the market. The current spot market movement might offer some hope for a recovery, but caution remains, as selling pressure is still dominant when viewed from a broader perspective.

在過去的兩天中，大約25萬美元的HNT已從交易所移出。儘管這種資產的轉移表明了一定水平的信心，但這還不足以壓倒市場中的總看跌感情。當前的現貨市場運動可能會給人們帶來一些恢復的希望，但仍要謹慎，因為從更廣泛的角度來看，銷售壓力仍然是主導的。

The Key Price Levels: Will HNT Hold Above $2.85?

關鍵價格水平：H不會超過$ 2.85？

As HNT’s price continues to follow a descending trendline, it faces the risk of falling below its 2024 low of $2.85, a level established in June of last year. If selling pressure intensifies and momentum continues to push the price lower, HNT could test this level and potentially drop further.

隨著HNT的價格繼續遵循下降的趨勢線，它面臨著低於其2024年低點2.85美元的風險，這是去年6月成立的水平。如果銷售壓力加劇，並且動力繼續提高價格，那麼HNT可以測試這一水平並可能進一步下降。

However, the $3.315 mark remains a crucial support level for the altcoin. If HNT can hold above this level, it may offer a cushion that could prevent further declines. Traders will be watching this price point closely, as a break below $3.315 could signal a more severe drop toward the $2.85 level and beyond.

但是，$ 3.315 Mark仍然是Altcoin的關鍵支持水平。如果HNT可以保持在此水平上，則可能會提供可防止進一步下降的墊子。交易者將密切關注這個價格點，因為低於$ 3.315的休息時間可能表明朝著2.85美元及以上的價格更為嚴重。

Despite the negative price action, there is a glimmer of hope for a short-term recovery. The altcoin’s funding rate has turned positive at 0.0176%, suggesting that some buying sentiment still exists. If this positive funding rate translates into increased buying pressure, it could help HNT hold its ground above key support levels and potentially pave the way for a rally.

儘管價格不利，但對於短期恢復仍然有希望。 Altcoin的融資率為0.0176％，這表明仍然存在一些購買情緒。如果這種積極的融資率轉化為增加的購買壓力，則可以幫助H不會在關鍵支持水平上保持其地面，並有可能為集會鋪平道路。

Conclusion: Is HNT in Danger of Falling Below Its 2024 Low?

結論：HNT是否有降低其2024年低點的危險？

In conclusion, while HNT has been facing considerable selling pressure, the current market sentiment is mixed. The surge in selling volume in the derivatives market signals a bearish outlook in the short term. However, the negative Exchange Netflows in the spot market and the positive funding rate offer hope that a recovery may be possible.

總之，儘管HNT面臨著巨大的銷售壓力，但當前的市場情緒也不同。衍生品市場的銷售量激增在短期內信號是看跌的前景。但是，現貨市場上的負面交換Netfrows和正面的融資率提供了希望可以恢復的希望。

HNT’s price will need to hold above critical support levels, such as $3.315, to avoid falling below its 2024 low of $2.85. If the selling pressure continues to mount and the buyers fail to defend these support zones, HNT could face further declines. For traders, caution remains key as the market sentiment could shift at any moment, and further downward movement is a real possibility.

HNT的價格將需要超過關鍵支持水平，例如$ 3.315，以避免低於其2024年低點2.85美元。如果銷售壓力繼續增加，買家未能捍衛這些支持區，那麼HNT可能會進一步下降。對於交易者而言，由於市場情緒隨時可能發生變化，因此謹慎仍然是關鍵，而進一步的下降是一種實際的可能性。