黄金中断了3,000美元，以达到新的历史最高水平，比特币会效仿吗？

周五，由于全球紧张局势，通货膨胀率不断增长以及对安全投资的需求不断增长，金价达到了每盎司3,000美元的创纪录，金价达到了今年的首次损失3,000美元。

Gold prices hit a record high of $3,004 per ounce on Friday, driven by rising global tensions, inflation worries, and an increasing demand for safe investments amid a turbulent market. This milestone comes after a remarkable journey for the yellow metal, which has seen its market value exceed $20 trillion.

由于全球紧张张力，通货膨胀的忧虑以及在动荡的市场中，对安全投资的需求不断增长，因此金价在周五每盎司3,004美元的最高点数。这一里程碑是在黄金金属的出色旅程之后，其市场价值超过了20万亿美元。

The world’s most valuable asset has reached new highs for the 13th time this year. With this latest surge, questions have naturally arisen about whether Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold,” could witness a similar remarkable rise.

今年第13次，世界上最有价值的资产已达到新的高点。随着这一最新的激增，关于通常被称为“数字黄金”的比特币自然会出现问题，可能会见证类似的显着崛起。

Analysts Point to Striking Similarities

分析师指出相似之处

In contrast to gold’s ascent, Bitcoin has faced different challenges, with its value dropping significantly from the all-time highs reached earlier this year.

与Gold的上升相反，比特币面临着不同的挑战，其价值比今年早些时候的历史高点大幅下降。

The crypto is currently trading 23.3% below its all-time high and has seen a 14.5% decline over the last month. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $83,446, up 1% in the past 24 hours.

该加密货币目前的交易价格低于其历史最高水平23.3％，在上个月下降了14.5％。在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为83,446美元，在过去24小时内增长了1％。

However, despite Bitcoin’s recent struggles, analysts remain hopeful that it could follow a path similar to gold’s historic rise, considering the significant role crypto ETFs could play.

但是，尽管比特币最近进行了斗争，但分析师仍然希望它可以遵循类似于Gold的历史上升的途径，因为Crypto ETF可以发挥重要作用。

An analyst took to X to compare the launch of Gold ETFs in November 2004 to Bitcoin’s ETF launch in January 2024. He suggested that the crypto could follow a similar pattern to gold.

一位分析师参加了X，将2004年11月黄金ETF的发射与2024年1月的Bitcoin ETF发布进行了比较。他建议加密货币可以遵循与黄金类似的模式。

The launch of the Gold ETF made it easier for both institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to gold. Over time, gold experienced significant price growth, with periods of highs and corrections, but it maintained a long-term upward trend, largely driven by ETF launches.

黄金ETF的推出使机构和散户投资者都更容易获得黄金。随着时间的流逝，黄金经历了大量的价格增长，并具有高度和更正的时期，但它保持了长期的上升趋势，这在很大程度上是由ETF发射驱动的。

According to the analysis, Bitcoin seems to be following a similar path. If this trend continues, BTC could see steady long-term growth, with its ETF acting as a key driver for institutional adoption and continued price increases.

根据分析，比特币似乎遵循类似的路径。如果这种趋势持续下去，BTC可以看到稳定的长期增长，其ETF充当机构采用和持续价格上涨的关键驱动力。

Another market analyst shared a similar view, highlighting that both gold and Bitcoin are following a five-step parabolic model. He believes that Bitcoin could soon see a big breakout, similar to gold’s past performance.

另一位市场分析师分享了类似的观点，强调了黄金和比特币都遵循五步抛物线模型。他认为，比特币很快就会看到一个很大的突破，类似于Gold的过去表现。

According to the analyst, Bitcoin has already moved past its “fakeout” phase and is now on track for a new all-time high. From here, he predicts that a surge to $150,000 is on the way.

根据分析师的说法，比特币已经超越了其“虚假”阶段，现在正符合新的历史最高水平。从这里开始，他预计将在途中增加到$ 150,000。

Concerning Trends Emerge

关于趋势的出现

Not all experts are optimistic. Market analyst Northstar pointed out a concerning trend in the gold/Bitcoin ratio, stating that Bitcoin has been underperforming gold for the past four years, the longest time ever.

并非所有专家都乐观。市场分析师Northstar指出了有关金/比特币比率的趋势，指出比特币在过去四年中一直表现不佳，这是有史以来最长的时间。

He explained that during periods of high inflation, gold usually outperforms other assets, and this year has seen a strong return for the yellow metal.

他解释说，在高充气期间，黄金通常比其他资产都胜过其他资产，而今年的黄金金属回报率很高。

However, Northstar believes that gold’s recent rise is not just about its price going up—it signals a shift in investments, which could lead to a big drop in stocks, including the NASDAQ, which Bitcoin usually tracks.

但是，诺斯斯塔尔（Northstar）认为，戈尔德（Gold）最近的上涨不仅仅是其价格上涨，这标志着投资的变化，这可能导致股票大幅下降，包括纳斯达克（Nasdaq），比特币通常会追踪。

Financial analyst Charlie Morris also shared his concerns, noting that while gold-backed funds are seeing more investment, Bitcoin ETFs are losing value.

财务分析师查理·莫里斯（Charlie Morris）还分享了他的担忧，并指出，尽管黄金支持的资金正在看到更多的投资，但比特币ETF却丧失了价值。

Morris had recently shared that in the last 30 days, gold ETFs have seen $10 billion in inflows, while Bitcoin ETFs have experienced $5 billion in outflows. He suggests that eventually, these trends will reverse, as they often do.

莫里斯（Morris）最近分享说，在过去的30天中，黄金ETF的流入量为100亿美元，而比特币ETF经历了50亿美元的外流。他建议最终，这些趋势会像经常一样逆转。

With Bitcoin currently priced around $80,000, the coming months will be crucial in deciding if it can match gold’s growth or keep performing differently.

目前，比特币的价格约为80,000美元，未来几个月对于决定黄金的增长或保持不同的表现至关重要。