黃金中斷了3,000美元，以達到新的歷史最高水平，比特幣會效仿嗎？

週五，由於全球緊張局勢，通貨膨脹率不斷增長以及對安全投資的需求不斷增長，金價達到了每盎司3,000美元的創紀錄，金價達到了今年的首次損失3,000美元。

Gold prices hit a record high of $3,004 per ounce on Friday, driven by rising global tensions, inflation worries, and an increasing demand for safe investments amid a turbulent market. This milestone comes after a remarkable journey for the yellow metal, which has seen its market value exceed $20 trillion.

由於全球緊張張力，通貨膨脹的憂慮以及在動蕩的市場中，對安全投資的需求不斷增長，因此金價在周五每盎司3,004美元的最高點數。這一里程碑是在黃金金屬的出色旅程之後，其市場價值超過了20萬億美元。

The world’s most valuable asset has reached new highs for the 13th time this year. With this latest surge, questions have naturally arisen about whether Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold,” could witness a similar remarkable rise.

今年第13次，世界上最有價值的資產已達到新的高點。隨著這一最新的激增，關於通常被稱為“數字黃金”的比特幣自然會出現問題，可能會見證類似的顯著崛起。

Analysts Point to Striking Similarities

分析師指出相似之處

In contrast to gold’s ascent, Bitcoin has faced different challenges, with its value dropping significantly from the all-time highs reached earlier this year.

與Gold的上升相反，比特幣面臨著不同的挑戰，其價值比今年早些時候的歷史高點大幅下降。

The crypto is currently trading 23.3% below its all-time high and has seen a 14.5% decline over the last month. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $83,446, up 1% in the past 24 hours.

該加密貨幣目前的交易價格低於其歷史最高水平23.3％，在上個月下降了14.5％。在撰寫本文時，BTC的交易價格為83,446美元，在過去24小時內增長了1％。

However, despite Bitcoin’s recent struggles, analysts remain hopeful that it could follow a path similar to gold’s historic rise, considering the significant role crypto ETFs could play.

但是，儘管比特幣最近進行了鬥爭，但分析師仍然希望它可以遵循類似於Gold的歷史上升的途徑，因為Crypto ETF可以發揮重要作用。

An analyst took to X to compare the launch of Gold ETFs in November 2004 to Bitcoin’s ETF launch in January 2024. He suggested that the crypto could follow a similar pattern to gold.

一位分析師參加了X，將2004年11月黃金ETF的發射與2024年1月的Bitcoin ETF發布進行了比較。他建議加密貨幣可以遵循與黃金類似的模式。

The launch of the Gold ETF made it easier for both institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to gold. Over time, gold experienced significant price growth, with periods of highs and corrections, but it maintained a long-term upward trend, largely driven by ETF launches.

黃金ETF的推出使機構和散戶投資者都更容易獲得黃金。隨著時間的流逝，黃金經歷了大量的價格增長，並具有高度和更正的時期，但它保持了長期的上升趨勢，這在很大程度上是由ETF發射驅動的。

According to the analysis, Bitcoin seems to be following a similar path. If this trend continues, BTC could see steady long-term growth, with its ETF acting as a key driver for institutional adoption and continued price increases.

根據分析，比特幣似乎遵循類似的路徑。如果這種趨勢持續下去，BTC可以看到穩定的長期增長，其ETF充當機構採用和持續價格上漲的關鍵驅動力。

Another market analyst shared a similar view, highlighting that both gold and Bitcoin are following a five-step parabolic model. He believes that Bitcoin could soon see a big breakout, similar to gold’s past performance.

另一位市場分析師分享了類似的觀點，強調了黃金和比特幣都遵循五步拋物線模型。他認為，比特幣很快就會看到一個很大的突破，類似於Gold的過去表現。

According to the analyst, Bitcoin has already moved past its “fakeout” phase and is now on track for a new all-time high. From here, he predicts that a surge to $150,000 is on the way.

根據分析師的說法，比特幣已經超越了其“虛假”階段，現在正符合新的歷史最高水平。從這裡開始，他預計將在途中增加到$ 150,000。

Concerning Trends Emerge

關於趨勢的出現

Not all experts are optimistic. Market analyst Northstar pointed out a concerning trend in the gold/Bitcoin ratio, stating that Bitcoin has been underperforming gold for the past four years, the longest time ever.

並非所有專家都樂觀。市場分析師Northstar指出了有關金/比特幣比率的趨勢，指出比特幣在過去四年中一直表現不佳，這是有史以來最長的時間。

He explained that during periods of high inflation, gold usually outperforms other assets, and this year has seen a strong return for the yellow metal.

他解釋說，在高充氣期間，黃金通常比其他資產都勝過其他資產，而今年的黃金金屬回報率很高。

However, Northstar believes that gold’s recent rise is not just about its price going up—it signals a shift in investments, which could lead to a big drop in stocks, including the NASDAQ, which Bitcoin usually tracks.

但是，諾斯斯塔爾（Northstar）認為，戈爾德（Gold）最近的上漲不僅僅是其價格上漲，這標誌著投資的變化，這可能導致股票大幅下降，包括納斯達克（Nasdaq），比特幣通常會追踪。

Financial analyst Charlie Morris also shared his concerns, noting that while gold-backed funds are seeing more investment, Bitcoin ETFs are losing value.

財務分析師查理·莫里斯（Charlie Morris）還分享了他的擔憂，並指出，儘管黃金支持的資金正在看到更多的投資，但比特幣ETF卻喪失了價值。

Morris had recently shared that in the last 30 days, gold ETFs have seen $10 billion in inflows, while Bitcoin ETFs have experienced $5 billion in outflows. He suggests that eventually, these trends will reverse, as they often do.

莫里斯（Morris）最近分享說，在過去的30天中，黃金ETF的流入量為100億美元，而比特幣ETF經歷了50億美元的外流。他建議最終，這些趨勢會像經常一樣逆轉。

With Bitcoin currently priced around $80,000, the coming months will be crucial in deciding if it can match gold’s growth or keep performing differently.

目前，比特幣的價格約為80,000美元，未來幾個月對於決定黃金的增長或保持不同的表現至關重要。