美联储的货币印刷转变可能会助长比特币的价格上涨

美联储的印刷货币转变可能会助长比特币的价格上涨。 Bitmex联合创始人亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）预测，比特币将吹于110,000美元

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) will blast past $110,000 before pulling back to $76,500 as the central bank switches from tightening to easing—which could inject liquidity into the market and drive up the digital asset’s price.

BITMEX联合创始人Arthur Hayes预测，随着中央银行从紧缩转向缓解，比特币（BTC）将爆炸超过110,000美元，然后将其拖回76,500美元，这可能会向市场注入流动性并推动数字资产的价格上涨。

“I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries,” Hayes stated in a post on X (formerly Twitter) on Sunday.

海斯在周日的X（以前是Twitter）的帖子中说：“我敢打赌，$ btc在重新测试$76.5k。y？y $76.5k。y？y $ qu的$ QE。”

The optimistic price targets stem from Hayes’ belief that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy shift will ultimately be a key driver of Bitcoin's price movements. According to Hayes, the central bank is likely to begin buying up Treasury bonds again after a period of quantitative tightening (QT), leading to increased liquidity in the market and potentially boosting Bitcoin's price.

乐观的目标目标源于海耶斯的信念，即美联储的货币政策转变最终将是比特币价格变动的主要驱动力。据海斯说，经过一段定量收紧（QT），中央银行可能会再次开始购买国库券，从而导致市场流动性增加并有可能提高比特币的价格。

However, Hayes' prediction may be impacted by several factors, including the potential imposition of tariffs by the U.S. administration, which could negatively affect Bitcoin's price.

但是，海耶斯的预测可能受到几个因素的影响，包括美国政府对关税的潜在征收，这可能会对比特币的价格产生负面影响。

Moreover, considering that inflation is a key factor influencing the Fed's monetary policy decisions, any unexpected changes in the inflation rate could also influence the trajectory of Bitcoin's price.

此外，考虑到通货膨胀是影响美联储政策决策的关键因素，通货膨胀率的任何意外变化也可能影响比特币价格的轨迹。

Meanwhile, 10X Research founder Markus Thielen has also projected that Bitcoin may be able to rebound from its recent lows.

同时，10倍研究创始人Markus Thielen还预计，比特币可能能够从最近的低谷中反弹。

In a March 23 report, Thielen stated that Bitcoin's price may have reached its lowest point in the recent downturn and is now poised for a recovery. According to the analyst, two main catalysts that could alleviate market concerns and potentially boost investor confidence are the Fed's dovish stance on inflation and former President Trump's flexibility on tariffs.

蒂伦（Thielen）在3月23日的报告中说，比特币的价格可能已经达到了最近经济下滑的最低点，现在已经准备好恢复。根据分析师的说法，两位可能减轻市场关注的主要催化剂，并可能提高投资者的信心是美联储对通货膨胀的肮脏立场，而前总统特朗普对关税的灵活性。

"The Fed signaled it might look past short-term inflationary pressures, laying the groundwork for potential future easing," explained Thielen.

Thielen解释说：“美联储表明它可能会看到过去的短期通货膨胀压力，这为潜在的未来缓解奠定了基础。”

According to him, the relaxed political climate and favorable economic forecasts have ultimately turned Bitcoin's indicators bullish. Among these indicators, Thielen highlighted the behavior of Bitcoin holders and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

据他说，轻松的政治气候和有利的经济预测最终使比特币的指标看涨。在这些指标中，蒂伦（Thielen）强调了比特币持有人和交易所交易资金（ETF）的行为。

In particular, Thielen noted that Bitcoin is unlikely to enter a deep bear market since the large Bitcoin holders are likely long-term investors who are less sensitive to price fluctuations.

蒂伦（Thielen）特别指出，比特币不太可能进入深熊市，因为大型比特币持有人可能是长期投资者对价格波动不太敏感的投资者。

According to the analyst, the return of inflows to U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs is also a positive sign, indicating reduced selling pressure from arbitrage-focused investors.

根据分析师的说法，流入向美国现货比特币ETF的回报也是一个积极的信号，表明以套利为中心的投资者销售压力降低了。