美聯儲的貨幣印刷轉變可能會助長比特幣的價格上漲

美聯儲的印刷貨幣轉變可能會助長比特幣的價格上漲。 Bitmex聯合創始人亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測，比特幣將吹於110,000美元

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) will blast past $110,000 before pulling back to $76,500 as the central bank switches from tightening to easing—which could inject liquidity into the market and drive up the digital asset’s price.

BITMEX聯合創始人Arthur Hayes預測，隨著中央銀行從緊縮轉向緩解，比特幣（BTC）將爆炸超過110,000美元，然後將其拖回76,500美元，這可能會向市場注入流動性並推動數字資產的價格上漲。

“I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries,” Hayes stated in a post on X (formerly Twitter) on Sunday.

海斯在周日的X（以前是Twitter）的帖子中說：“我敢打賭，$ btc在重新測試$76.5k。y？y $76.5k。y？y $ qu的$ QE。”

The optimistic price targets stem from Hayes’ belief that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy shift will ultimately be a key driver of Bitcoin's price movements. According to Hayes, the central bank is likely to begin buying up Treasury bonds again after a period of quantitative tightening (QT), leading to increased liquidity in the market and potentially boosting Bitcoin's price.

樂觀的目標目標源於海耶斯的信念，即美聯儲的貨幣政策轉變最終將是比特幣價格變動的主要驅動力。據海斯說，經過一段定量收緊（QT），中央銀行可能會再次開始購買國庫券，從而導致市場流動性增加並有可能提高比特幣的價格。

However, Hayes' prediction may be impacted by several factors, including the potential imposition of tariffs by the U.S. administration, which could negatively affect Bitcoin's price.

但是，海耶斯的預測可能受到幾個因素的影響，包括美國政府對關稅的潛在徵收，這可能會對比特幣的價格產生負面影響。

Moreover, considering that inflation is a key factor influencing the Fed's monetary policy decisions, any unexpected changes in the inflation rate could also influence the trajectory of Bitcoin's price.

此外，考慮到通貨膨脹是影響美聯儲政策決策的關鍵因素，通貨膨脹率的任何意外變化也可能影響比特幣價格的軌跡。

Meanwhile, 10X Research founder Markus Thielen has also projected that Bitcoin may be able to rebound from its recent lows.

同時，10倍研究創始人Markus Thielen還預計，比特幣可能能夠從最近的低谷中反彈。

In a March 23 report, Thielen stated that Bitcoin's price may have reached its lowest point in the recent downturn and is now poised for a recovery. According to the analyst, two main catalysts that could alleviate market concerns and potentially boost investor confidence are the Fed's dovish stance on inflation and former President Trump's flexibility on tariffs.

蒂倫（Thielen）在3月23日的報告中說，比特幣的價格可能已經達到了最近經濟下滑的最低點，現在已經準備好恢復。根據分析師的說法，兩位可能減輕市場關注的主要催化劑，並可能提高投資者的信心是美聯儲對通貨膨脹的骯髒立場，而前總統特朗普對關稅的靈活性。

"The Fed signaled it might look past short-term inflationary pressures, laying the groundwork for potential future easing," explained Thielen.

Thielen解釋說：“美聯儲表明它可能會看到過去的短期通貨膨脹壓力，這為潛在的未來緩解奠定了基礎。”

According to him, the relaxed political climate and favorable economic forecasts have ultimately turned Bitcoin's indicators bullish. Among these indicators, Thielen highlighted the behavior of Bitcoin holders and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

據他說，輕鬆的政治氣候和有利的經濟預測最終使比特幣的指標看漲。在這些指標中，蒂倫（Thielen）強調了比特幣持有人和交易所交易資金（ETF）的行為。

In particular, Thielen noted that Bitcoin is unlikely to enter a deep bear market since the large Bitcoin holders are likely long-term investors who are less sensitive to price fluctuations.

蒂倫（Thielen）特別指出，比特幣不太可能進入深熊市，因為大型比特幣持有人可能是長期投資者對價格波動不太敏感的投資者。

According to the analyst, the return of inflows to U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs is also a positive sign, indicating reduced selling pressure from arbitrage-focused investors.

根據分析師的說法，流入向美國現貨比特幣ETF的回報也是一個積極的信號，表明以套利為中心的投資者銷售壓力降低了。