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加密货币新闻

随着鲸鱼的积累,市场供应减少,以太坊四月将飙升

2024/04/01 17:55

2024 年 3 月,以太坊小幅增长 11.8%,收于 3,646.8 美元。尽管最初势头良好,但 3 月 13 日的 Dencun 升级导致了抛售。然而,最近的趋势显示 ETH 鲸鱼投资者出现看涨转变,自 3 月 20 日以来,他们已积累了 860,000 ETH,价值约 31 亿美元。这种转变,加上交易所供应量下降,表明以太坊 4 月份有一个积极的开局,潜在阻力位为3,700 美元,支撑位为 3,200 美元。

随着鲸鱼的积累,市场供应减少,以太坊四月将飙升

Ethereum Price Poised for April Surge as Whales Resume Accumulation and Market Supply Dwindles

随着鲸鱼恢复积累和市场供应减少,以太坊价格预计四月份飙升

Ethereum (ETH) concluded March 2024 on a positive note, closing at $3,646.8, marking an 11.8% monthly gain. While the Dencun Upgrade initially triggered a sell-off, recent whale buying trends and on-chain metrics suggest a bullish trajectory for the month of April.

以太坊 (ETH) 于 2024 年 3 月收盘,收于 3,646.8 美元,月涨幅为 11.8%。虽然 Dencun 升级最初引发了抛售,但最近的鲸鱼购买趋势和链上指标表明 4 月份的看涨轨迹。

Whale Accumulation Resumes Post-Upgrade Sell-Off

鲸鱼囤积在升级后恢复抛售

In the aftermath of the Dencun Upgrade on March 13, Ethereum faced a 13% dip as swing traders and large stakeholders offloaded holdings to mitigate potential network disruptions. However, the past two weeks have witnessed a reversal in sentiment, with whales accumulating 860,000 ETH worth approximately $3.1 billion.

在 3 月 13 日的 Dencun 升级之后,由于波动交易者和大型利益相关者抛售资产以减轻潜在的网络中断,以太坊面临 13% 的下跌。然而,过去两周见证了市场情绪的逆转,鲸鱼囤积了 860,000 枚 ETH,价值约 31 亿美元。

This sustained buying spree by top holders is significant for several reasons. Firstly, whales exert considerable influence on price action and investor behavior. Their recent acquisition signals market recovery and potentially attracts new entrants. Secondly, whale investors typically adopt a long-term investment horizon, suggesting that a substantial portion of the $3.1 billion purchase will remain off the market supply in the near term.

顶级持有者的持续购买热潮意义重大,原因有几个。首先,鲸鱼对价格行为和投资者行为产生相当大的影响。他们最近的收购标志着市场复苏,并可能吸引新进入者。其次,鲸鱼投资者通常会采取长期投资期限,这表明 31 亿美元的购买中的很大一部分在短期内仍将远离市场供应。

Declining Exchange Supply Bolsters Bullish Outlook

交易所供应下降支撑看涨前景

Complementing the whale accumulation trend, on-chain data reveals a persistent decline in ETH coins available for trading on exchanges. Since whale wallets resumed buying on March 20, crypto exchanges have experienced a 363,000 ETH drop in active market supply, equating to over $1.3 billion in liquidity being pulled from spot markets.

链上数据显示,可在交易所交易的 ETH 币持续下降,与鲸鱼积累趋势相辅相成。自 3 月 20 日鲸鱼钱包恢复购买以来,加密货币交易所的活跃市场供应量减少了 363,000 ETH,相当于从现货市场撤走超过 13 亿美元的流动性。

This reduced supply, albeit temporary, places Ethereum price in a prime position for an accelerated breakout during the next demand surge in April 2024, as per the principles of demand economics.

根据需求经济学原理,这种供应减少虽然是暂时的,但使以太坊价格处于有利地位,以便在 2024 年 4 月的下一次需求激增期间加速突破。

Resistance at $3,700, Breakout Above $4,000 Expected

阻力位 3,700 美元,预计突破 4,000 美元

Based on these on-chain observations, Ethereum price is poised to surpass $4,000 in April 2024. However, bulls face a significant resistance level at $3,700, where 9.8 million addresses holding 4.7 million ETH will break even. If a majority of these holders exit at this level, ETH's rally could face downward pressure.

根据这些链上观察,以太坊价格有望在 2024 年 4 月突破 4,000 美元。然而,多头面临 3,700 美元的重大阻力位,持有 470 万 ETH 的 980 万个地址将在该水平实现收支平衡。如果大多数持有者在这个水平退出,ETH 的反弹可能会面临下行压力。

Nevertheless, the combined impact of whale accumulation and declining market supply suggests that ETH price will likely overcome this sell wall and reach new heights above $4,000.

尽管如此,鲸鱼的积累和市场供应量下降的综合影响表明,ETH 价格可能会克服这一抛售墙并达到 4,000 美元以上的新高。

Bearish Scenario: Break Below $3,200

看跌情景:跌破 3,200 美元

On the downside, if the broader crypto market rally stalls, Ethereum bears could regain control if ETH price dips below $3,200. However, this scenario appears unlikely given the current market dynamics. Additionally, the 9.1 million addresses that acquired 7.7 million ETH at an average price of $3,484 could step in to prevent a significant decline below $3,500.

不利的一面是,如果更广泛的加密市场涨势停滞,如果 ETH 价格跌破 3,200 美元,以太坊空头可能会重新获得控制权。然而,考虑到当前的市场动态,这种情况似乎不太可能发生。此外,以平均价格 3,484 美元购买 770 万枚 ETH 的 910 万个地址可能会介入,以防止价格大幅跌破 3,500 美元。

Conclusion

结论

Ethereum's recent whale accumulation, coupled with declining exchange supply, paints a bullish picture for April 2024. While a resistance level at $3,700 could pose a challenge, the fundamental factors supporting ETH's price trajectory suggest a breakout above $4,000 remains highly probable.

以太坊最近的鲸鱼积累,加上交易所供应量的下降,为 2024 年 4 月描绘了一幅看涨的图景。虽然 3,700 美元的阻力位可能构成挑战,但支撑 ETH 价格轨迹的基本因素表明,突破 4,000 美元上方的可能性仍然很大。

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