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加密货币新闻

以太坊为比特币减半做准备,分析师预测减半后市场波动将激增

2024/04/17 01:29

备受期待的比特币减半事件即将到来,这是加密货币第四次发生这一重大事件。在市场低迷的情况下,分析师预测在减半后复苏之前会出现暂时回调。以太坊的价格已稳定在 3,000 美元左右,但由于清算增加,仍容易进一步下跌。

以太坊为比特币减半做准备,分析师预测减半后市场波动将激增

Ethereum Braces for Bitcoin Halving: Analysts Anticipate Post-Halving Recovery Amidst Market Volatility

以太坊为比特币减半做好准备:分析师预计减半后将在市场波动中复苏

In a matter of days, the cryptocurrency market will witness its fourth Bitcoin halving event, a pivotal juncture that has historically sparked significant volatility. As the countdown reaches its final hours, the market has taken a sharp downturn, with Ethereum (ETH) experiencing substantial price declines.

几天后,加密货币市场将见证第四次比特币减半事件,这是历史上引发大幅波动的关键时刻。随着倒计时进入最后几个小时,市场急剧下滑,以太坊(ETH)价格大幅下跌。

Market Decline Precedes Halving Event

减半事件发生前市场下跌

Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market has plunged, triggering liquidations exceeding $300 million. Ethereum, in particular, has faced the brunt of this volatility, with its price dropping noticeably.

过去 24 小时内,加密货币市场暴跌,引发清算超过 3 亿美元。尤其是以太坊,在这种波动中首当其冲,其价格明显下跌。

Caution Advised, Opportunistic Buying Recommended

建议谨慎,建议机会主义买入

Amidst this market turbulence, QCP Capital advises investors to exercise caution and consider purchasing assets at prices significantly below current market rates. As liquidations intensify, Ethereum's support lines are likely to face strong defense, as investors anticipate a potential increase in accumulation driven by the "buy the dip" sentiment.

在市场动荡的情况下,QCP Capital建议投资者谨慎行事,并考虑以远低于当前市场价格的价格购买资产。随着清算加剧,以太坊的支撑线可能面临强劲的防御,因为投资者预计“逢低买入”情绪可能会推动增持。

MVRV Ratio Suggests Buying Confidence Dip

MVRV 比率表明购买信心下降

Data from IntoTheBlock reveals a decline in Ethereum's Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, currently standing at 1.69. This indicates that Ethereum's market value is approaching its realized value, potentially triggered by traders cashing out profits at peak prices, thus dampening buying confidence.

IntoTheBlock 的数据显示,以太坊的市场价值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 比率有所下降,目前为 1.69。这表明以太坊的市值正在接近其实际价值,这可能是由于交易者在峰值价格兑现利润而引发的,从而削弱了购买信心。

Ethereum/Bitcoin Ratio Indicates Short-Term Price Decline

以太坊/比特币比率表明短期价格下跌

The Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio recently reached a three-year low of 0.046, a level last seen in May 2021. This breach of crucial support levels suggests the possibility of a short-term decline in Ethereum's price.

以太坊/比特币 (ETH/BTC) 比率最近触及三年低点 0.046,上次出现该水平是在 2021 年 5 月。此次突破关键支撑位表明以太坊价格可能会短期下跌。

Analysis of historical data reveals a pattern: whenever the ETH/BTC pair breaks support lines, the ETH/USD pair experiences a 20% drop from its recent peak within a three to six-month period. While the ETH/BTC pair has lost support, the full impact remains uncertain, as the ratio has since rebounded above its support lines, maintaining buying momentum.

对历史数据的分析揭示了一种模式:每当 ETH/BTC 货币对突破支撑线时,ETH/USD 货币对就会在三到六个月的时间内从近期峰值下跌 20%。尽管 ETH/BTC 货币对失去了支撑,但其全面影响仍不确定,因为该比率此后已反弹至支撑线上方,维持了买盘势头。

Ethereum Price Outlook: Bearish Pressures, Recovery Potential

以太坊价格展望:看跌压力,复苏潜力

Ethereum's price is facing significant bearish pressure, hovering around the $3,300 mark. Bulls aim to prevent further decline by keeping the price above the psychological level of $3K. Currently trading at $3,057, ETH has lost over 4.9% in the last day.

Ethereum's price is facing significant bearish pressure, hovering around the $3,300 mark. Bulls aim to prevent further decline by keeping the price above the psychological level of $3K. Currently trading at $3,057, ETH has lost over 4.9% in the last day.

If the price remains above $3K, it could trigger a recovery momentum towards the 20-day EMA at $3,142, a critical level to monitor. Failure to hold this level could lead to a drop to $2,870 or even $2,721.

如果价格保持在 3000 美元以上,可能会引发向 20 日均线 3,142 美元的复苏势头,这是一个需要监控的关键水平。如果未能保持这一水平,可能会导致跌至 2,870 美元甚至 2,721 美元。

Conversely, staying above $3,100 suggests potential sideways trading. A push above the 20-day EMA could strengthen the bulls, potentially leading to a surge towards $3,300. To sustain this upward trajectory, buyers need to push the price above $3,600 and then the key resistance of $4K.

相反,保持在 3,100 美元上方表明潜在的横盘交易。突破 20 日均线可能会增强多头的力量,从而可能导致价格飙升至 3,300 美元。为了维持这种上升轨迹,买家需要将价格推高至 3,600 美元以上,然后再推高至 4000 美元的关键阻力位。

Analysts Remain Bullish, Anticipate Post-Halving Recovery

Analysts Remain Bullish, Anticipate Post-Halving Recovery

Despite the current market volatility, analysts remain optimistic about Ethereum's long-term prospects. They believe that the post-halving period could bring about a bullish reversal, as the supply shock caused by the reduction in Bitcoin issuance is expected to positively impact the wider cryptocurrency market.

尽管当前市场波动较大,但分析师仍对以太坊的长期前景持乐观态度。他们认为,减半后的时期可能会带来看涨逆转,因为比特币发行量减少造成的供应冲击预计将对更广泛的加密货币市场产生积极影响。

Conclusion

结论

As the Bitcoin halving event draws near, the Ethereum market faces a crossroads. While bearish pressures have intensified in the lead-up to the event, analysts anticipate a recovery once the halving has occurred. Investors should exercise caution and consider opportunistic buying strategies while closely monitoring the market's response to this significant event.

随着比特币减半事件的临近,以太坊市场面临十字路口。尽管在减半之前看跌压力有所加剧,但分析师预计一旦减半发生,经济就会复苏。投资者应保持谨慎并考虑机会主义买入策略,同时密切关注市场对这一重大事件的反应。

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