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備受期待的比特幣減半即將到來,這是加密貨幣第四次發生這一重大事件。在市場低迷的情況下,分析師預測在減半後復甦之前會出現暫時回調。以太坊的價格已穩定在 3,000 美元左右,但由於清算增加,仍容易進一步下跌。
Ethereum Braces for Bitcoin Halving: Analysts Anticipate Post-Halving Recovery Amidst Market Volatility
以太坊為比特幣減半做好準備:分析師預計減半後將在市場波動中復甦
In a matter of days, the cryptocurrency market will witness its fourth Bitcoin halving event, a pivotal juncture that has historically sparked significant volatility. As the countdown reaches its final hours, the market has taken a sharp downturn, with Ethereum (ETH) experiencing substantial price declines.
幾天后,加密貨幣市場將見證第四次比特幣減半事件,這是歷史上引發大幅波動的關鍵時刻。隨著倒數進入最後幾個小時,市場急劇下滑,以太坊(ETH)價格大幅下跌。
Market Decline Precedes Halving Event
減半事件發生前市場下跌
Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market has plunged, triggering liquidations exceeding $300 million. Ethereum, in particular, has faced the brunt of this volatility, with its price dropping noticeably.
過去 24 小時內,加密貨幣市場暴跌,引發清算超過 3 億美元。尤其是以太坊,在這種波動中首當其衝,其價格明顯下跌。
Caution Advised, Opportunistic Buying Recommended
建議謹慎,建議機會主義買入
Amidst this market turbulence, QCP Capital advises investors to exercise caution and consider purchasing assets at prices significantly below current market rates. As liquidations intensify, Ethereum's support lines are likely to face strong defense, as investors anticipate a potential increase in accumulation driven by the "buy the dip" sentiment.
在市場動盪的情況下,QCP Capital建議投資者謹慎行事,並考慮以遠低於當前市場價格的價格購買資產。隨著清算加劇,以太坊的支撐線可能面臨強勁的防禦,因為投資者預計「逢低買入」情緒可能會推動增持。
MVRV Ratio Suggests Buying Confidence Dip
MVRV 比率顯示購買信心下降
Data from IntoTheBlock reveals a decline in Ethereum's Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, currently standing at 1.69. This indicates that Ethereum's market value is approaching its realized value, potentially triggered by traders cashing out profits at peak prices, thus dampening buying confidence.
IntoTheBlock 的數據顯示,以太坊的市值與已實現價值 (MVRV) 比率有所下降,目前為 1.69。這表明以太坊的市值正在接近其實際價值,這可能是由於交易者在高峰價格兌現利潤而引發的,從而削弱了購買信心。
Ethereum/Bitcoin Ratio Indicates Short-Term Price Decline
以太坊/比特幣比率顯示短期價格下跌
The Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio recently reached a three-year low of 0.046, a level last seen in May 2021. This breach of crucial support levels suggests the possibility of a short-term decline in Ethereum's price.
以太坊/比特幣 (ETH/BTC) 比率最近觸及三年低點 0.046,上次出現該水準是在 2021 年 5 月。
Analysis of historical data reveals a pattern: whenever the ETH/BTC pair breaks support lines, the ETH/USD pair experiences a 20% drop from its recent peak within a three to six-month period. While the ETH/BTC pair has lost support, the full impact remains uncertain, as the ratio has since rebounded above its support lines, maintaining buying momentum.
Analysis of historical data reveals a pattern: whenever the ETH/BTC pair breaks support lines, the ETH/USD pair experiences a 20% drop from its recent peak within a three to six-month period. While the ETH/BTC pair has lost support, the full impact remains uncertain, as the ratio has since rebounded above its support lines, maintaining buying momentum.
Ethereum Price Outlook: Bearish Pressures, Recovery Potential
以太坊價格展望:看跌壓力,復甦潛力
Ethereum's price is facing significant bearish pressure, hovering around the $3,300 mark. Bulls aim to prevent further decline by keeping the price above the psychological level of $3K. Currently trading at $3,057, ETH has lost over 4.9% in the last day.
Ethereum's price is facing significant bearish pressure, hovering around the $3,300 mark. Bulls aim to prevent further decline by keeping the price above the psychological level of $3K. Currently trading at $3,057, ETH has lost over 4.9% in the last day.
If the price remains above $3K, it could trigger a recovery momentum towards the 20-day EMA at $3,142, a critical level to monitor. Failure to hold this level could lead to a drop to $2,870 or even $2,721.
如果價格保持在 3000 美元以上,可能會引發向 20 日均線 3,142 美元的復甦勢頭,這是一個需要監控的關鍵水平。如果未能保持這一水平,可能會導致跌至 2,870 美元甚至 2,721 美元。
Conversely, staying above $3,100 suggests potential sideways trading. A push above the 20-day EMA could strengthen the bulls, potentially leading to a surge towards $3,300. To sustain this upward trajectory, buyers need to push the price above $3,600 and then the key resistance of $4K.
相反,保持在 3,100 美元上方表明潛在的橫盤交易。突破 20 日均線可能會增強多頭的力量,從而可能導致價格飆升至 3,300 美元。為了維持這種上升軌跡,買家需要將價格推高至 3,600 美元以上,然後再推高至 4,000 美元的關鍵阻力位。
Analysts Remain Bullish, Anticipate Post-Halving Recovery
分析師仍看好,預計減半後的復甦
Despite the current market volatility, analysts remain optimistic about Ethereum's long-term prospects. They believe that the post-halving period could bring about a bullish reversal, as the supply shock caused by the reduction in Bitcoin issuance is expected to positively impact the wider cryptocurrency market.
儘管當前市場波動較大,但分析師仍對以太坊的長期前景持樂觀態度。他們認為,減半後的時期可能會帶來看漲逆轉,因為比特幣發行量減少造成的供應衝擊預計將對更廣泛的加密貨幣市場產生積極影響。
Conclusion
結論
As the Bitcoin halving event draws near, the Ethereum market faces a crossroads. While bearish pressures have intensified in the lead-up to the event, analysts anticipate a recovery once the halving has occurred. Investors should exercise caution and consider opportunistic buying strategies while closely monitoring the market's response to this significant event.
隨著比特幣減半事件的臨近,以太坊市場面臨十字路口。儘管在減半之前看跌壓力加劇,但分析師預計一旦減半發生,經濟就會復甦。投資者應保持謹慎並考慮機會主義買入策略,同時密切關注市場對此重大事件的反應。
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