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加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 预测,在中短期内,以太坊 (ETH) 相对于比特币 (BTC) 的前景看跌。根据以太坊/比特币 (ETH/BTC) 对分析,Cowen 认为较当前水平可能下跌 38%。他预计,受货币政策以及美联储利率和量化宽松立场的影响,ETH/BTC 将在 6 月至明年初触底。
Bearish Ethereum Forecast: Analyst Predicts Significant Short-Term Downturn
看跌以太坊预测:分析师预测短期内将大幅下滑
Prominent cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen has issued a bearish sentiment analysis for Ethereum (ETH) in relation to Bitcoin (BTC), predicting a further decline in the short to medium term.
著名加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 发布了以太坊 (ETH) 相对于比特币 (BTC) 的看跌情绪分析,预测中短期内将进一步下跌。
In a recent video addressing his 799,000 YouTube subscribers, Cowen expressed his belief that the Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) pair has ample room to fall.
在最近向 799,000 名 YouTube 订阅者发布的视频中,Cowen 表示他相信以太坊/比特币 (ETH/BTC) 货币对有足够的下跌空间。
"My base case scenario at this juncture is that Ethereum/Bitcoin will reach its bottom this summer, while Ethereum/US dollar may experience a slight downturn," Cowen stated. "Later this year or early next, the Federal Reserve will likely reinstate its quantitative easing policy, leading to a bullish phase for ETH/BTC. However, I don't believe we have reached that point yet."
考恩表示:“我目前的基本情况是,以太坊/比特币将在今年夏天触底,而以太坊/美元可能会经历小幅下滑。” “今年晚些时候或明年初,美联储可能会恢复其量化宽松政策,从而导致 ETH/BTC 进入看涨阶段。但是,我认为我们还没有达到这一点。”
According to Cowen's analysis, the ETH/BTC pair may potentially decline by up to 38% from its current level, coinciding with a rise in Bitcoin's dominance. At the time of writing, ETH/BTC was trading at 0.04869000 BTC ($3,070).
根据 Cowen 的分析,ETH/BTC 货币对可能会从当前水平下跌高达 38%,同时比特币的主导地位也会上升。截至撰写本文时,ETH/BTC 的交易价格为 0.04869000 BTC(3,070 美元)。
Regarding the timing of the ETH/BTC bottom, Cowen speculated, "June is my earliest estimate for Ethereum/Bitcoin to hit its bottom. Around mid-June. However, this timeframe is also contingent on monetary policy. If the Fed maintains its current stance of rate hikes and quantitative tightening into June, the downturn could extend beyond this projected period."
关于 ETH/BTC 触底的时间,Cowen 推测,“我最早预计 6 月是以太坊/比特币触底的时间。大约在 6 月中旬。然而,这个时间框架也取决于货币政策。如果美联储维持目前的政策,如果加息和量化紧缩的立场持续到 6 月份,经济低迷可能会持续到这个预计的时期之外。”
Cowen's analysis is supported by technical indicators and macroeconomic factors. He emphasizes the importance of monitoring monetary policy decisions, particularly the potential shift towards quantitative easing, as they have a significant impact on cryptocurrency valuations.
考恩的分析得到了技术指标和宏观经济因素的支持。他强调监控货币政策决策的重要性,特别是转向量化宽松的潜在趋势,因为它们对加密货币估值产生重大影响。
Despite the bearish outlook for ETH/BTC, Cowen remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of Ethereum. He believes that once the macroeconomic headwinds subside and the Federal Reserve adopts a more dovish stance, ETH/BTC will experience a significant upswing.
尽管 ETH/BTC 前景看跌,Cowen 对以太坊的长期前景仍持乐观态度。他认为,一旦宏观经济逆风消退,美联储采取更加鸽派的立场,ETH/BTC将出现大幅上涨。
Investors should exercise caution and consider Cowen's analysis when making investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and short-term fluctuations are common. However, by understanding the underlying market dynamics and staying informed about expert insights, investors can navigate the market with greater confidence.
投资者在做出投资决策时应谨慎行事并考虑Cowen的分析。加密货币市场本质上具有波动性,短期波动很常见。然而,通过了解潜在的市场动态并随时了解专家的见解,投资者可以更有信心地驾驭市场。
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