Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen predicts a bearish outlook for Ethereum (ETH) against Bitcoin (BTC) in the short to medium term. Based on Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) pair analysis, Cowen suggests a potential 38% decline from current levels. He anticipates ETH/BTC to bottom out between June and early next year, influenced by monetary policy and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and quantitative easing.
Bearish Ethereum Forecast: Analyst Predicts Significant Short-Term Downturn
Prominent cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen has issued a bearish sentiment analysis for Ethereum (ETH) in relation to Bitcoin (BTC), predicting a further decline in the short to medium term.
In a recent video addressing his 799,000 YouTube subscribers, Cowen expressed his belief that the Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) pair has ample room to fall.
"My base case scenario at this juncture is that Ethereum/Bitcoin will reach its bottom this summer, while Ethereum/US dollar may experience a slight downturn," Cowen stated. "Later this year or early next, the Federal Reserve will likely reinstate its quantitative easing policy, leading to a bullish phase for ETH/BTC. However, I don't believe we have reached that point yet."
According to Cowen's analysis, the ETH/BTC pair may potentially decline by up to 38% from its current level, coinciding with a rise in Bitcoin's dominance. At the time of writing, ETH/BTC was trading at 0.04869000 BTC ($3,070).
Regarding the timing of the ETH/BTC bottom, Cowen speculated, "June is my earliest estimate for Ethereum/Bitcoin to hit its bottom. Around mid-June. However, this timeframe is also contingent on monetary policy. If the Fed maintains its current stance of rate hikes and quantitative tightening into June, the downturn could extend beyond this projected period."
Cowen's analysis is supported by technical indicators and macroeconomic factors. He emphasizes the importance of monitoring monetary policy decisions, particularly the potential shift towards quantitative easing, as they have a significant impact on cryptocurrency valuations.
Despite the bearish outlook for ETH/BTC, Cowen remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of Ethereum. He believes that once the macroeconomic headwinds subside and the Federal Reserve adopts a more dovish stance, ETH/BTC will experience a significant upswing.
Investors should exercise caution and consider Cowen's analysis when making investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and short-term fluctuations are common. However, by understanding the underlying market dynamics and staying informed about expert insights, investors can navigate the market with greater confidence.