2025 年以太坊 (ETH) 价格预测：随着山寨币季节的临近，历史会重演吗？

对于加密货币行业和市场来说，过去的 24 小时是有趣的，美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普推出了自己的模因币“官方特朗普”(TRUMP)。

United States president-elect Donald Trump has launched his own meme coin, named “Official Trump” (TRUMP). The Solana-based meme coin has seen its value soar by over 500% in the past 24 hours, boasting a market cap of over $5 billion.

美国候任总统唐纳德·特朗普推出了自己的模因币，名为“官方特朗普”（TRUMP）。这款基于 Solana 的 meme 币的价值在过去 24 小时内飙升了 500% 以上，市值超过 50 亿美元。

Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has lagged behind the market, failing to capitalize on its recent bullish momentum. As we approach the first quarter of 2025, what can investors expect from the “king of altcoins”?

与此同时，以太坊（ETH）的价格落后于市场，未能利用其近期的看涨势头。随着 2025 年第一季度的临近，投资者对“山寨币之王”有何期待？

In a recent post on the social media platform X, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared his insights on how the price of Ethereum might fare in Q1 2025.

在社交媒体平台 X 最近的一篇文章中，著名加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 分享了他对 2025 年第一季度以太坊价格走势的见解。

Based on historical price data, Martinez suggests that the second-largest cryptocurrency might be poised for a strong upswing before the end of March 2025.

根据历史价格数据，马丁内斯表示，第二大加密货币可能会在 2025 年 3 月底之前出现强劲上涨。

Historically, Ethereum price has almost always put up its strongest performance in the first three months of the year. Since 2017, the average return of the altcoin in Q1 stands at around 82.69%; this is followed by the second quarter’s average return of nearly 67%.

从历史上看，以太坊价格几乎总是在今年的前三个月表现最强劲。 2017年以来，山寨币第一季度平均回报率在82.69%左右；其次是第二季度近67%的平均回报率。

As per the price action data, the only two times Ethereum failed to register a positive performance were at the beginning of the 2018 and 2022 bear seasons. The price of ETH was down by almost 50% and 11% by the end of March in 2018 and 2022, respectively.

根据价格走势数据，以太坊唯一两次未能取得积极表现是在 2018 年和 2022 年熊市季节初。截至 3 月底，ETH 的价格在 2018 年和 2022 年分别下跌了近 50% 和 11%。

On the other hand, the altcoin recorded its best Q1 performance in 2017, skyrocketing by more than 500% in the first three months. This is followed by the 160% surge experienced at the beginning of 2021 — the final year in the four-year crypto cycle.

另一方面，山寨币在 2017 年第一季度创下了最好的表现，前三个月飙升了 500% 以上。接下来是 2021 年初经历的 160% 的飙升，这是四年加密周期的最后一年。

If history is anything to go by, the Ethereum price might be preparing for an upswing before the end of March 2025. In addition to its history of Q1 rallies, ETH might be in the final year of its cycle, which has often coincided with the strongest performances for the altcoin.

如果以历史为依据，以太坊价格可能会在 2025 年 3 月底之前准备上涨。除了第一季度反弹的历史之外，以太坊可能正处于其周期的最后一年，这通常与山寨币表现最强劲。

At the time of writing, the price of Ethereum is hovering just beneath the $3,300 level, reflecting an almost 6% decline in the past 24 hours. This single-day action has pushed the altcoin into a loss on the daily timeframe, with the ETH price down by more than 1%.

截至撰写本文时，以太坊的价格徘徊在 3,300 美元以下，在过去 24 小时内下跌了近 6%。这一单日走势导致山寨币在日线图上出现亏损，ETH 价格下跌超过 1%。

If the ETH price is going to continue its pattern of robust Q1 performances, a sustained close above the psychological $3,500 level might be the first step. Since mid-December, the cryptocurrency has mostly been consolidating beneath the $3,500 region.

如果 ETH 价格要继续其第一季度的强劲表现模式，那么持续收盘于 3,500 美元的心理水平上方可能是第一步。自 12 月中旬以来，加密货币大多在 3,500 美元区域下方盘整。