以太坊（ETH）价格分析：看涨还是看跌

过去三天，以太坊价格呈现横盘走势。在加密货币市场的抛售中，ETH 价格成功将涨幅保持在 3000 美元支撑区域之上，并守住了 100 日均线大关。

Ethereum price displayed sideways movement over the last three days. Amidst the crypto market selloff, ETH price managed to hold the gains above the $3000 support zone and defended the 100-day EMA mark. At press time, Ethereum price was $3254, trading relatively flat during the intraday session. Its market cap stood at $392.06 Billion with a total supply of 120.49 Million.

过去三天，以太坊价格呈现横盘走势。在加密货币市场的抛售中，ETH 价格成功将涨幅保持在 3000 美元支撑区域之上，并守住了 100 日均线大关。截至发稿，以太坊价格为 3254 美元，盘中交易相对平稳。其市值为3920.6亿美元，总供应量为12049万枚。

Despite the weekly decline of over 10%, ETH price chart looks strong and could show a rebound shortly. Moreover, the turbulence is unlikely to flip the ongoing bullish trend. Essentially, ETH price action still represents a bullish outlook.

尽管每周跌幅超过 10%，但 ETH 价格图表看起来很强劲，并且可能很快就会出现反弹。此外，动荡不太可能扭转持续的看涨趋势。从本质上讲，ETH 的价格走势仍然代表着看涨的前景。

Ethereum price is trading inside an ascending channel and is persistently forming higher high swings on the daily timeframe. If it follows this channel and gains momentum, it could see an upswing toward the $6000 mark in the upcoming sessions.

以太坊价格在上升通道内交易，并在每日时间范围内持续形成更高的高位波动。如果它遵循该通道并获得动力，则可能会在接下来的交易日中上涨至 6000 美元大关。

However, the critical $2800 support should be watched closely for a decline toward the lower end of the channel.

然而，应密切关注 2800 美元的关键支撑位是否会跌至该通道的下端。

Moreover, Ethereum’s 30 day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio highlights an oversold status. Historically, such occurrences have triggered accumulation phases where institutional investors or large investors known as whales buy more coins than.

此外，以太坊的 30 天市值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 比率凸显了超卖状态。从历史上看，此类事件引发了积累阶段，机构投资者或被称为“鲸鱼”的大型投资者购买了更多的代币。

Data from CryptoQuant shows that the exchange reserve value has dragged significantly. As it plummets to monthly lows, it signals hope for bullish narrative.

CryptoQuant 的数据显示，外汇储备价值已大幅下滑。随着它跌至月度低点，这标志着看涨叙述的希望。

The decline in exchange reserves comes at a time when Ethereum price is struggling at its 100-day EMA mark and could lead to the recovery of recent losses.

外汇储备的下降正值以太坊价格在 100 日均线大关挣扎之际，这可能会导致近期损失的收复。

Notably, the exchange reserve has dropped to 19.50 Million, which indicates that the supply is diminishing, and that it could facilitate a price surge.

值得注意的是，外汇储备已降至1950万，这表明供应正在减少，这可能会促进价格飙升。

Per the daily chart analysis, Ethereum price faced significant resistance at $3700 and reverted toward the 50% Fibonacci support zone of $3100.

根据日线图分析，以太坊价格在 3700 美元面临重大阻力，并恢复到 3100 美元的 50% 斐波那契支撑区。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 41, slightly below the neutral 50 level, reflecting mild bearish momentum on the chart.

相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 41，略低于中性 50 水平，反映出图表上温和的看跌势头。

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) was negative at -21, highlighting a bearish crossover on the chart.

移动平均线收敛分歧 (MACD) 为负值，为 -21，凸显图表上的看跌交叉。

Despite the bearish indicators on Ethereum’s chart, a hope for the bullish revival was imminent.

尽管以太坊图表上出现看跌指标，但看涨复苏的希望迫在眉睫。

Market speculators reacted negatively to ETH’s sideways movement, as the Open Interest (OI) continued to drop. Data from Coinglass shows that the OI shed over 0.12% intraday and 4.30% in the last 48 hours to $29.20 Billion.

随着未平仓合约 (OI) 持续下降，市场投机者对 ETH 的横盘走势做出负面反应。 Coinglass 的数据显示，OI 盘中下跌超过 0.12%，过去 48 小时内下跌 4.30%，至 292 亿美元。

However, the Spot Inflow/Outflow data shows an outflow of over $516 Million over the past seven days. It refers to the withdrawal of assets from exchanges to wallet and hints at possible upward momentum in the coming days.

然而，现货流入/流出数据显示过去 7 天流出超过 5.16 亿美元。它指的是资产从交易所撤回钱包，并暗示未来几天可能出现上涨势头。

The immediate support zones were $3180 and $3000, whereas the resistance hurdles were $3680 and $3800.

直接支撑区域为 3180 美元和 3000 美元，而阻力位为 3680 美元和 3800 美元。