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加密货币新闻

以太坊在看跌市场中发出看涨信号

2024/04/17 21:00

以太坊的接受者买入卖出比率标志着看涨情绪的增加,该比率有望突破其中心线。然而,看跌情绪仍然占主导地位,期货未平仓量下降、融资利率为负以及现货市场看跌技术指标表明,如果看跌情绪持续存在,价格可能跌破 3000 美元。

以太坊在看跌市场中发出看涨信号

Ethereum's Bullish Signal Amidst Bearish Market Sentiments

以太坊在看跌市场情绪中发出看涨信号

Ethereum's Taker Buy Sell Ratio, a metric reflecting the ratio of buy volume to sell volume in futures markets, has exhibited an uptrend, indicating a potential resurgence of bullish sentiment among market participants.

以太坊的吃单买入卖出比率(反映期货市场买入量与卖出量之比的指标)已呈现上升趋势,表明市场参与者的看涨情绪可能会复苏。

Technical Analysis: Rise in Buy Sentiment

技术分析:购买情绪上升

According to data from CryptoQuant, Ethereum's Taker Buy Sell Ratio has recently approached its center line, suggesting a shift towards increased buying activity. This metric typically indicates the relative strength of buy and sell orders, with a value greater than one indicating more buying pressure. At the time of writing, Ethereum's Taker Buy Sell Ratio stands at 0.96, approaching the critical 1.0 threshold.

根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,以太坊的接受者买卖比率最近已接近其中心线,表明购买活动转向增加。该指标通常表示买卖订单的相对强度,值大于 1 表示购买压力更大。截至撰写本文时,以太坊的 Taker 买入卖出比率为 0.96,接近 1.0 的临界阈值。

Persistent Bearish Sentiments in Spot and Futures Markets

现货和期货市场持续看跌情绪

Despite the bullish signal from the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, an analysis of Ethereum's spot and futures markets reveals that bearish sentiments remain prevalent.

尽管接受者买入卖出比率发出看涨信号,但对以太坊现货和期货市场的分析显示,看跌情绪仍然普遍存在。

Futures Open Interest Decline

期货持仓量下降

Coinglass data indicates a significant decline in Ethereum's Futures Open Interest, which measures the value of outstanding futures contracts. Ethereum's Open Interest has fallen from a peak of $15 billion on April 9 to a current level of $11 billion, marking a 27% decrease in the last seven days. This decline suggests that market participants are closing their positions and exiting the market, indicating a lack of confidence in Ethereum's future performance.

Coinglass 数据显示,以太坊的期货未平仓合约大幅下降,该合约衡量未平仓期货合约的价值。以太坊的未平仓合约已从 4 月 9 日的峰值 150 亿美元降至目前的 110 亿美元,过去 7 天下降了 27%。这种下跌表明市场参与者正在平仓并退出市场,表明对以太坊未来表现缺乏信心。

Negative Funding Rates and Selling Pressure

负资金利率和抛售压力

In the futures market, Ethereum's funding rates briefly turned negative on April 14, indicating a significant number of market participants opening trades against the coin's price. This negative Funding Rate, a first since the bull market rally in October 2023, signals increased expectations of a price decline.

在期货市场上,以太坊的融资利率在 4 月 14 日短暂转为负数,这表明大量市场参与者开始针对以太坊的价格进行交易。自 2023 年 10 月牛市反弹以来首次出现负资金利率,表明价格下跌的预期有所增强。

Bearish Technical Indicators in Spot Market

现货市场技术指标看跌

Technical indicators in Ethereum's spot market also hint at a potential price decline below $3000 if bearish sentiments persist.

以太坊现货市场的技术指标也暗示,如果看跌情绪持续存在,价格可能会跌破 3000 美元。

Weakening Momentum (Awesome Oscillator)

动能减弱(很棒的震荡指标)

Ethereum's Awesome Oscillator, an indicator measuring market momentum, has displayed downward-facing red histogram bars since April 13. This trend suggests a rise in selling pressure, as downward-facing red bars are typically interpreted as a bearish sign in technical analysis.

以太坊的动量震荡指标(Awesome Oscillator)是衡量市场动能的指标,自 4 月 13 日以来一直显示向下的红色直方图。这种趋势表明抛售压力上升,因为向下的红色柱在技术分析中通常被解释为看跌信号。

Parabolic SAR Reversal

抛物线转向指标反转

The Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) indicator, which identifies potential trend reversals, shows the dotted lines resting above Ethereum's price. This placement is often associated with a bearish market trend, indicating that the price is likely to continue its downward trajectory.

抛物线止损和反转(SAR)指标可识别潜在的趋势反转,显示位于以太坊价格上方的虚线。这种布局通常与看跌的市场趋势相关,表明价格可能会继续下行。

Conclusion: Cautious Optimism Amidst Market Uncertainty

结论:市场不确定性下谨慎乐观

While Ethereum's Taker Buy Sell Ratio suggests a potential shift towards bullish sentiment, the bearish sentiments evident in the spot and futures markets temper this optimism. The decline in Futures Open Interest, negative Funding Rates, and bearish technical indicators in the spot market warrant cautious consideration. Market participants should remain vigilant in monitoring these indicators and adapt their investment strategies accordingly.

虽然以太坊的接受者买卖比率表明可能会转向看涨情绪,但现货和期货市场中明显的看跌情绪削弱了这种乐观情绪。期货持仓量下降、资金利率为负、现货市场技术指标看跌,值得谨慎考虑。市场参与者应保持警惕,监测这些指标并相应调整投资策略。

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