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按市值计算的第二大加密货币兑比特币价格于 9 月 18 日触及三年半低点,上次出现在 2021 年。
As Bitcoin ( BTC ) grinds within a narrow price range, traders and investors are keeping a close watch on Ether ( ETH ), which has been lagging considerably behind the flagship cryptocurrency.
随着比特币(BTC)在狭窄的价格区间内波动,交易者和投资者正在密切关注以太坊(ETH),该货币一直远远落后于旗舰加密货币。
After hitting a three-and-a-half-year low against Bitcoin on Sept. 18, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has offered mixed signals. Some analysts see the low as a potential buying opportunity, while others believe Ether will continue to underperform.
在 9 月 18 日,比特币兑美元触及三年半低点后,市值第二大的加密货币发出了复杂的信号。一些分析师将低点视为潜在的买入机会,而另一些分析师则认为以太坊将继续表现不佳。
After rallying to an all-time high of $4,891 in April 2021, Ether has failed to regain the lost ground despite Bitcoin hitting a new all-time high in March 2023. Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, gives 85% odds that Ether will not hit a new all-time high in 2024.
在 2021 年 4 月反弹至 4,891 美元的历史高点后,尽管比特币在 2023 年 3 月创下历史新高,但以太币仍未能收复失地。全球最大的预测市场 Polymarket 给出了 85% 的可能性,以太坊将上涨2024 年并未创下历史新高。
However, not everyone is bearish on Ether. Bitwise Asset Management’s chief investment officer (CIO) mentioned Ether in a Sept. 17 blog post while discussing assets that could perform well in an inflationary environment.
然而,并非所有人都看空以太币。 Bitwise Asset Management 的首席投资官 (CIO) 在 9 月 17 日的一篇博文中讨论了在通胀环境下表现良好的资产时提到了以太币。
“For the contrarians out there, I’d also point to Ether as a potential contrarian bet through the end of the year. It’s down about 85% from its all-time high, and the narrative around the asset has shifted dramatically,” CIO wrote.
“对于那些逆势投资者来说,我还认为以太币是今年年底的潜在逆势赌注。它比历史最高点下跌了约 85%,而且围绕该资产的叙述也发生了巨大变化,”CIO 写道。
Could Ether make a comeback and outperform Bitcoin? Let’s analyze Ether’s chart against Bitcoin to find out.
以太币能否卷土重来并超越比特币?让我们分析一下以太币与比特币的图表来找出答案。
ETH/BTC weekly price analysis
ETH/BTC 每周价格分析
The long-term chart shows the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern, which indicates indecision between the bulls and the bears. The bulls are defending the support line while the bears are mounting a strong defense at the resistance line.
长期图表显示对称三角形形态的形成,表明多头和空头之间犹豫不决。多头正在捍卫支撑线,而空头则在阻力线进行强有力的防御。
Both moving averages are sloping down, and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the oversold zone, which suggests that the bears are in command. The ETH/BTC pair could drop to the support line, where buyers are expected to step in.
两条移动平均线均向下倾斜,相对强弱指数(RSI)接近超卖区域,这表明空头占据主导地位。 ETH/BTC 货币对可能会跌至支撑线,预计买家将介入。
If the price rebounds off the support line and breaks above the moving averages, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the triangle for some more time. The next trending move could begin on a break above or below the triangle. A rally above the triangle gives the pair a pattern target of 0.18 BTC, which is above the current all-time high of 0.15 BTC.
如果价格从支撑线反弹并突破移动平均线,则表明该货币对可能会在三角形内停留更长的时间。下一个趋势走势可能会从突破三角形上方或下方开始。反弹至三角形上方后,该货币对的目标价为 0.18 BTC,高于当前 0.15 BTC 的历史高点。
ETH/BTC daily price analysis
ETH/BTC每日价格分析
The pair has been trading inside a descending channel for several months, making a series of lower highs and lower lows.
几个月来,该货币对一直在下降通道内交易,创造了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点。
A minor positive for the bulls is that the RSI has made a positive divergence, and the 20-day exponential moving average (0.04 BTC) has started to flatten out. This suggests that the selling pressure may be reducing.
对多头来说的一个小利好是 RSI 出现正背离,20 天指数移动平均线(0.04 BTC)开始趋于平缓。这表明抛售压力可能正在减轻。
A break and close above the 50-day simple moving average (0.04 BTC) will signal the start of a move toward the downtrend line. The pair will indicate a trend change on a break and close above the channel.
突破并收盘于 50 日简单移动平均线(0.04 BTC)之上将标志着开始向下降趋势线移动。该货币对突破并收盘于通道之上将表明趋势变化。
This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price continues lower and breaks below 0.038 BTC. That could sink the pair to the channel’s support line.
如果价格继续走低并跌破 0.038 BTC,这种积极观点将在短期内失效。这可能会使该货币对跌至通道支撑线。
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move carries risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
这里表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点,并不一定反映Cointelegraph.com的观点。每一项投资和交易行为都存在风险,读者在做出决定时应自行研究。
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