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以市值計算的第二大加密貨幣兌比特幣價格於 9 月 18 日觸及三年半低點,上次出現在 2021 年。
As Bitcoin ( BTC ) grinds within a narrow price range, traders and investors are keeping a close watch on Ether ( ETH ), which has been lagging considerably behind the flagship cryptocurrency.
隨著比特幣(BTC)在狹窄的價格區間內波動,交易者和投資者正在密切關注以太坊(ETH),該貨幣一直遠遠落後於旗艦加密貨幣。
After hitting a three-and-a-half-year low against Bitcoin on Sept. 18, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has offered mixed signals. Some analysts see the low as a potential buying opportunity, while others believe Ether will continue to underperform.
在 9 月 18 日,比特幣兌美元觸及三年半低點後,市值第二大的加密貨幣發出了複雜的訊號。一些分析師將低點視為潛在的買入機會,而另一些分析師則認為以太幣將繼續表現不佳。
After rallying to an all-time high of $4,891 in April 2021, Ether has failed to regain the lost ground despite Bitcoin hitting a new all-time high in March 2023. Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, gives 85% odds that Ether will not hit a new all-time high in 2024.
在2021 年4 月反彈至4,891 美元的歷史高點後,儘管比特幣在2023 年3 月創下歷史新高,但以太幣仍未能收復失地。 ,以太坊將上漲2024 年並未創下歷史新高。
However, not everyone is bearish on Ether. Bitwise Asset Management’s chief investment officer (CIO) mentioned Ether in a Sept. 17 blog post while discussing assets that could perform well in an inflationary environment.
然而,並非所有人都看空以太幣。 Bitwise Asset Management 的首席投資長 (CIO) 在 9 月 17 日的一篇部落格文章中討論了在通膨環境下表現良好的資產時提到了以太幣。
“For the contrarians out there, I’d also point to Ether as a potential contrarian bet through the end of the year. It’s down about 85% from its all-time high, and the narrative around the asset has shifted dramatically,” CIO wrote.
「對於那些逆勢投資者來說,我還認為以太幣是今年年底的潛在逆勢賭注。它比歷史最高點下跌了約 85%,而且圍繞該資產的敘述也發生了巨大變化,」CIO 寫道。
Could Ether make a comeback and outperform Bitcoin? Let’s analyze Ether’s chart against Bitcoin to find out.
以太幣能否捲土重來並超越比特幣?讓我們分析一下以太幣與比特幣的圖表來找出答案。
ETH/BTC weekly price analysis
ETH/BTC 每週價格分析
The long-term chart shows the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern, which indicates indecision between the bulls and the bears. The bulls are defending the support line while the bears are mounting a strong defense at the resistance line.
長期圖表顯示對稱三角形形態的形成,顯示多頭和空頭之間猶豫不決。多頭正在捍衛支撐線,而空頭則在阻力線進行強有力的防禦。
Both moving averages are sloping down, and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the oversold zone, which suggests that the bears are in command. The ETH/BTC pair could drop to the support line, where buyers are expected to step in.
兩條移動平均線均向下傾斜,相對強弱指數(RSI)接近超賣區域,這表明空頭佔據主導地位。 ETH/BTC 貨幣對可能會跌至支撐線,預計買家將介入。
If the price rebounds off the support line and breaks above the moving averages, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the triangle for some more time. The next trending move could begin on a break above or below the triangle. A rally above the triangle gives the pair a pattern target of 0.18 BTC, which is above the current all-time high of 0.15 BTC.
如果價格從支撐線反彈並突破移動平均線,則表示該貨幣對可能會在三角形內停留更長的時間。下一個趨勢走勢可能會從突破三角形上方或下方開始。反彈至三角形上方後,該貨幣對的目標價為 0.18 BTC,高於目前 0.15 BTC 的歷史高點。
ETH/BTC daily price analysis
ETH/BTC每日價格分析
The pair has been trading inside a descending channel for several months, making a series of lower highs and lower lows.
幾個月來,該貨幣對一直在下降通道內交易,創造了一系列較低的高點和較低的低點。
A minor positive for the bulls is that the RSI has made a positive divergence, and the 20-day exponential moving average (0.04 BTC) has started to flatten out. This suggests that the selling pressure may be reducing.
對多頭來說的一個小利好是 RSI 出現正背離,20 天指數移動平均線(0.04 BTC)開始趨於平緩。這表明拋售壓力可能正在減輕。
A break and close above the 50-day simple moving average (0.04 BTC) will signal the start of a move toward the downtrend line. The pair will indicate a trend change on a break and close above the channel.
突破並收盤於 50 日簡單移動平均線(0.04 BTC)之上將標誌著開始向下降趨勢線移動。該貨幣對突破並收盤於通道之上將表明趨勢變化。
This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price continues lower and breaks below 0.038 BTC. That could sink the pair to the channel’s support line.
如果價格繼續走低並跌破 0.038 BTC,這種正面觀點將在短期內失效。這可能會使該貨幣對跌至通道支撐線。
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move carries risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
這裡表達的觀點和意見僅代表作者的觀點,不一定反映Cointelegraph.com的觀點。每一項投資和交易行為都存在風險,讀者在做決定時應自行研究。
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