ETF闸门开放：特朗普时代火花雪崩avalanche of Crypto ETF备案，当时多聚类赌注信号主流采用激增

香港，2025年3月24日 - 加密货币景观正在发生地震转变，这是由于替代加密资产交易所交易基金的申请激增所推动的

Hong Kong, March 24, 2025, Chain News – The cryptocurrency landscape is quickly evolving, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) earlier this year has set the stage for an interesting development. Following the introduction of these flagship cryptocurrency ETFs, there’s been a surge in applications for alternative crypto asset ETFs, hinting at a broader shift in investment strategy and regulatory oversight.

香港，2025年3月24日，连锁新闻 - 加密货币景观正在迅速发展，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准比特币（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）交易所交易基金（ETF）今年早些时候为一个有趣的发展奠定了基础。在引入了这些旗舰加密货币ETF之后，替代加密资产ETF的申请激增，暗示了投资战略和监管监督的更大变化。

After President Donald Trump’s return to office and the SEC’s approval for spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2025, a move that was closely followed by the greenlight for Ethereum ETFs in July, the door opened for a wave of ETF applications. These applications, spanning various cryptocurrencies like XRP, Litecoin (LTC), Hedera (HBAR), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Move (MOVE), Aptos (APT), Polkadot (DOT), and Sui (SUI), are now swiftly accumulating at the SEC.

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统于2025年1月重返办公室和SEC对现场比特币ETF的批准之后，此举是7月的Ethereum ETF的绿灯，此举是在7月的绿灯之后，为一波ETF应用程序开了。这些应用程序涵盖了XRP，Litecoin（LTC），Hedera（Hbar），Solana（Sol），Cardano（ADA），Move（Move），Aptos（Aptos），Polkadot（DOT）和SUI（SUI）等各种加密货币。

This shift began after the SEC, in January 2024, finally approved futures ETFs for Bitcoin, setting the stage for a seven-month saga that culminated in the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in July 2024.

这种转变始于2024年1月的SEC之后，最终批准了比特币的期货ETF，为一个为期七个月的传奇奠定了基础，该传奇是最终在2024年7月批准现货比特币ETF的批准中。

The SEC’s approval for spot Bitcoin ETFs was crucial. Despite applications from firms like Grayscale and VanEck over the past few years, the SEC, under former President Joe Biden’s administration, consistently delayed these filings, often seeking more time to review them.

SEC对现场比特币ETF的批准至关重要。尽管在过去的几年中，诸如Grayscale和Vaneck等公司的申请，但在前总统乔·拜登（Joe Biden）政府的领导下，SEC一直延迟了这些文件，通常会寻求更多时间来审查它们。

However, President Trump’s return to the White House brought a new chapter. In January 2024, the SEC approved the first two spot Bitcoin ETFs, setting the stage for a rapid sequence of approvals for Ethereum ETFs in July 2024.

但是，特朗普总统返回白宫带来了新的篇章。 2024年1月，SEC批准了前两个位比特币ETF，为2024年7月的以太坊ETF迅速批准奠定了基础。

This shift sparked a surge in applications for alternative crypto asset ETFs, hinting at a broader shift in investment strategy and regulatory oversight.

这种转变引发了替代加密资产ETF的应用激增，暗示了投资战略和监管监督的更广泛转变。

With the SEC now processing applications for IXRP-spot ETFs following the dismissal of its lawsuit against Ripple Labs, optimism is growing. Polymarket, a prominent crypto betting platform, allows users to wager on the likelihood of various events, offering a unique window into the collective sentiment within the cryptocurrency community.

随着SEC现在对IXRP SPOT ETF的处理应用程序，驳回其针对Ripple Labs的诉讼后，乐观情绪正在增长。 Polymarket是一个突出的加密博彩平台，使用户可以在各种事件的可能性上下注，从而为加密货币社区内的集体情绪提供独特的窗口。

The betting odds on Polymarket for an XRP-spot ETF approval by 2025 have risen to 87%, the highest confidence level since the inception of this particular bet. This optimism follows the SEC’s recent move to dismiss its lawsuit against Ripple Labs, paving the way for a smoother path toward XRP-spot ETF approval.

在2025年获得XRP SPOT ETF批准的PolyMarket上的赌注赔率上升至87％，这是自特定赌注开始以来的最高置信度。这种乐观态度是SEC最近驳回其针对Ripple Labs的诉讼的举动，为通往XRP SPOT ETF批准的途径铺平了道路。

Moreover, Polymarket wagers suggest a 61% chance of a Cardano (ADA) ETF approval in 2025, closely tied to Grayscale’s recent application for a spot ADA ETF.

此外，Polymarket Wagers建议2025年获得Cardano（ADA）ETF批准的机会61％，这与Grayscale最近的ADA ADA ETF申请密切相关。

Litecoin (LTC) is also drawing interest on the platform, with a $33,577 stake indicating a 68% chance of its ETF approval as of March 23. Several firms, including Coinshares, Canary Capital, and Grayscale, are applying for an LTC product.

Litecoin（LTC）还引起了该平台的兴趣，截至3月23日，其ETF批准的机会为33,577美元。包括Coinshares，Canary Capital和Grayscale在内的几家公司正在申请LTC产品。

The Solana (SOL) ETF proposal has the biggest backing on Polymarket, with a staggering $104,793 stake suggesting an 87% likelihood of approval. A multitude of financial giants, including Vaneck, Grayscale, 21shares, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Canary, are vying to launch a SOL ETF.

Solana（SOL）ETF提案在Polymarket上具有最大的支持，惊人的104,793美元的股份表明，批准的可能性为87％。包括Vaneck，Grayscale，21shares，Bitwise，Franklin Templeton和Canary在内的许多金融巨头正在争夺Sol ETF。

However, there are currently no active bets for DOT, HBAR, MOVE, APT, or SUI ETFs on the prediction marketplace. This absence of betting activity may reflect a lack of widespread confidence in the imminent approval of ETFs for these particular assets. Several factors could contribute to this lack of betting activity, including regulatory uncertainties, perceived lack of institutional interest, or concerns about the underlying fundamentals of these projects.

但是，目前尚无预测市场上的DOT，HBAR，MOVE，APT，APT或SUI ETF的积极赌注。这种缺乏投注活动可能反映出对这些特定资产的ETF的批准缺乏普遍信心。几个因素可能导致这种缺乏博彩活动，包括监管不确定性，认为缺乏机构利益或对这些项目基本面的担忧。

Despite this, the absence of bets does not necessarily preclude the possibility of future ETF approvals, as market sentiment can shift rapidly. For instance, earlier this year, there were no active bets on a Bitcoin ETF, but that changed quickly with the approval of the first two products from Bitcoins Union and Shapeshift.

尽管如此，由于市场情绪可能会迅速转移，因此缺乏赌注并不一定排除未来ETF批准的可能性。例如，今年早些时候，对比特币ETF没有积极的赌注，但是随着比特币联盟和Shapeshift的前两种产品的批准，这种情况很快发生了变化。

The approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs earlier this year has opened the door for institutional investors to participate in the cryptocurrency market through regulated and accessible products. This increased accessibility is poised to attract a wave of institutional capital, further legitimizing the cryptocurrency asset class.

今年早些时候，比特币和以太坊ETF的批准为机构投资者通过受监管且可访问的产品参与加密货币市场打开了大门。这种提高的可访问性有望吸引一波机构资本，进一步使加密货币资产类别合法化。

Earlier this year, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the first two spot Bitcoin ETFs, setting the stage for a rapid sequence of approvals for Ethereum ETFs in July 2024.

今年早些时候，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准了前两个比特币ETF，为2024年7月的Ethereum ETF迅速批准奠定了基础。

Prior to this, the SEC had only approved futures ETFs for Bitcoin, a product that tracks the cryptocurrency indirectly through futures contracts. However, institutional investors had long sought an ETF that would directly follow the price of Bitcoin, providing them with a familiar investment vehicle to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency market.

在此之前，SEC仅批准了比特币的期货ETF，该产品通过期货合约间接跟踪加密货币的产品。但是，机构投资者长期以来一直在寻求一种ETF，该ETF将直接遵循比特币的价格，为他们提供熟悉的投资工具，以获取对加密货币市场的敞口。

After several years of applications and denials, the SEC finally

经过数年的申请和否认，SEC终于