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在短短 24 小时内,dogwifhat [WIF] 的涨幅令人印象深刻,超过 10%,成为涨幅最大的货币,令 100 多种主要加密货币望尘莫及。
dogwifhat [WIF] led the top gainers list on 11 October with a gain of over 10% in 24 hours. Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies, WIF was trading at $2.51, at press time. Having closed October at around $2.30, the coin bounced back from a rocky start.
10 月 11 日,dogwifhat [WIF] 在涨幅榜上名列前茅,24 小时内涨幅超过 10%。截至发稿时,WIF 在前 100 种加密货币中的交易价格为 2.51 美元。 10 月份收盘价约为 2.30 美元后,该代币从一开始的艰难状态中反弹。
However, to reach a parabolic rally of $3, it is important to turn its current resistance into support. At the moment, the strong RSI favored this possibility. Especially since it suggested that buying strength had not yet run out. But, will other conditions align as well?
然而,要达到 3 美元的抛物线反弹,将当前阻力转变为支撑非常重要。目前,强劲的 RSI 有利于这种可能性。特别是因为它表明买盘力量尚未耗尽。但是,其他条件也会一致吗?
A crucial milestone for WIF
WIF 的一个重要里程碑
Despite the inherent risks, a select few memecoins have managed to garner a strong base of holders over the years. This shift highlighted how investors were increasingly drawn to volatile tokens for quick, outsized returns.
尽管存在固有的风险,但多年来,少数几种模因币还是成功地赢得了强大的持有者基础。这种转变凸显了投资者越来越被波动性代币所吸引,以获取快速、巨额回报。
With 186,393 holders, WIF exemplified this trend. Only 8.2% of its tokens were held by its top 10 holders.
WIF 拥有 186,393 名持有者,体现了这一趋势。其前 10 名持有者仅持有 8.2% 的代币。
A more concentrated token could lead to coordinated selling pressure, but WIF’s increasing decentralization reduced the chances of a sudden price swing. This dynamic became even more crucial as the market anticipated a memecoin supercycle by the end of Q4.
更集中的代币可能会导致协调的抛售压力,但 WIF 日益去中心化减少了价格突然波动的可能性。随着市场预计第四季度末将出现模因币超级周期,这种动态变得更加重要。
A strong parabolic rally usually required less buy-sell imbalance, which might have helped WIF lead the front. Thus, a more substantial surge in WIF’s value could indicate confidence among stakeholders. However, it did not shield WIF from bearish pullbacks. But, it did reduce the potential for extreme volatility significantly.
强劲的抛物线反弹通常需要较少的买卖不平衡,这可能有助于 WIF 领先。因此,WIF 价值的大幅上涨可能表明利益相关者之间的信心。然而,它并没有保护 WIF 免受看跌回调的影响。但是,它确实显着降低了极端波动的可能性。
A critical road ahead for the memecoin
模因币前进的关键道路
As WIF approached its previous rejection level at $2.59, it had largely made up for the gains lost during its retracement to the $2.30 level. This meant that the majority of its holders were now in a net profit position.
当 WIF 接近之前的 2.59 美元拒绝水平时,它基本上弥补了回撤至 2.30 美元水平期间损失的收益。这意味着其大多数持有人现在处于净利润状态。
While this signaled bullish momentum, WIF could still see a short-term price correction as traders might cash-in on their gains. However, if selling pressure was countered and traders recognized $2.30 as a strong support level, this trend could be reversed. It would be ideal for dip-buying.
虽然这预示着看涨势头,但 WIF 仍可能出现短期价格调整,因为交易者可能会从收益中获利。然而,如果抛售压力得到抵消并且交易者将 2.30 美元视为强有力的支撑位,则这一趋势可能会逆转。这将是逢低买入的理想选择。
The bulls needed to maintain the $2.50 price point strongly as a crucial bearish MACD crossover was on the horizon. Historically, such crossovers were strong in identifying potential market tops.
由于关键的看跌 MACD 交叉即将出现,多头需要强力维持 2.50 美元的价格点。从历史上看,这种交叉在识别潜在市场顶部方面非常有效。
If this pattern held, the next price correction could push WIF back below the $2.30 price point. Additionally, with selling pressure increasing after last week’s surge placed WIF as the fifth top gainer, short positions might take over.
如果这种模式持续下去,下一次价格调整可能会将 WIF 推回到 2.30 美元的价格点以下。此外,在上周飙升使 WIF 成为第五大涨幅后,卖压加大,空头头寸可能会取而代之。
If this trend continued, a parabolic rally to $3 might need another cycle to materialize. Especially since forced closures of long positions could lead to a steep decline in WIF’s price.
如果这种趋势持续下去,抛物线反弹至 3 美元可能需要另一个周期才能实现。特别是因为强制平仓多头头寸可能会导致 WIF 价格急剧下跌。
Thus, WIF needed an intervention to absorb this pressure and establish $2.30 as a support level or a retracement seemed more likely.
因此,WIF 需要进行干预来吸收这种压力,并建立 2.30 美元作为支撑位或回调似乎更有可能。
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