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笑话币,狗狗币(DOGE)在 2021 年牛市中达到顶峰,价格约为 0.73 美元,市值达 800 亿美元。然而,从那时起,它的价值急剧下降。许多投资者想知道,鉴于 2025 年可能会迎来下一次牛市,目前交易价格约为 0.14 美元的 DOGE 能否恢复昔日的辉煌。尽管如此,这种观点难以实现的原因有多种,最重要的是与其通胀特征、供应动态和市场情绪有关。
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE), which began as a joke coin, attained its peak during the 2021 bull market with a price of roughly $0.73 and a market value of $80 billion. However, its worth has drastically plummeted since then.
狗狗币(CRYPTO:DOGE)最初是一种玩笑币,在 2021 年牛市期间达到顶峰,价格约为 0.73 美元,市值达到 800 亿美元。然而,此后其价值急剧下跌。
Given that 2025 may witness the next bull market, many investors are wondering whether DOGE, which is currently trading at roughly $0.14, can recover to its former glory. Still, there are various reasons this perspective is difficult, most importantly related to its inflationary character, supply dynamics, and market mood.
鉴于2025年可能会迎来下一轮牛市,许多投资者想知道目前交易价格约为0.14美元的DOGE能否恢复昔日的辉煌。尽管如此,这种观点难以实现的原因有多种,最重要的是与其通胀特征、供应动态和市场情绪有关。
The Problem With Inflationary Supply of Dogecoin
狗狗币的通货膨胀供应问题
Dogecoin's inflationary supply model is one of the main things preventing it from attaining a fresh all-time high (ATH). Unlike Bitcoin with just 21 million coins, Dogecoin has an unlimited supply. The supply of DOGE tokens is always growing since mining generates over 5 billion new tokens yearly. This constant issue will cause inflationary pressure and a devaluation of each existing coin until demand for DOGE rises considerably faster than supply.
狗狗币的通货膨胀供应模型是阻止其达到新的历史高点(ATH)的主要因素之一。与只有 2100 万枚的比特币不同,狗狗币的供应量是无限的。 DOGE 代币的供应量一直在增长,因为挖矿每年会产生超过 50 亿个新代币。这种持续存在的问题将导致通货膨胀压力和每种现有代币的贬值,直到 DOGE 的需求增长速度远远快于供应增长速度。
When Dogecoin reached its ATH market value of $80 billion in 2021, its relative amount in circulation was significantly smaller. The estimated circulation value by 2024 is 146.37 billion DOGE. Should DOGE reach the same $80 billion market cap, its pricing would be about $0.5 even at its ATH price of $0.73.
当狗狗币在 2021 年达到 800 亿美元的 ATH 市值时,其相对流通量要小得多。预计到 2024 年流通价值为 1463.7 亿 DOGE。如果 DOGE 达到同样的 800 亿美元市值,即使其 ATH 价格为 0.73 美元,其定价也将约为 0.5 美元。
DOGE currently has to attain a far higher market cap than $80 billion in order to reach a new all-time high (ATH) price since the rise in supply has diminished the prospective influence of a bigger market cap on the price of the token. This inflationary character is a major hindrance without a deflationary mechanism (such as burning money).
DOGE 目前必须达到远高于 800 亿美元的市值才能达到新的历史高点 (ATH) 价格,因为供应量的增加削弱了更大市值对代币价格的预期影响。这种通货膨胀特征是没有通货紧缩机制(例如烧钱)的主要障碍。
Potential Growth Engines: Uses, Hype, and Community
潜在的增长引擎:用途、炒作和社区
Dogecoin's success comes mostly from its active community and strong social media presence, which create a viral buzz and thereby raise the value of the coin. The community will have to gather once more if DOGE is to reach or exceed its past ATH; this could be spurred by well-known sponsorships from powerful people like Elon Musk. Such endorsements played a crucial role in the 2021 bull run, driving DOGE's price to the roof.
狗狗币的成功主要归功于其活跃的社区和强大的社交媒体影响力,这创造了病毒式的轰动,从而提高了狗狗币的价值。如果 DOGE 想要达到或超过其过去的 ATH,社区将不得不再次聚集;这可能是受到埃隆·马斯克等有权势人物的知名赞助的推动。这些背书在 2021 年的牛市中发挥了至关重要的作用,推动 DOGE 的价格飙升。
Furthermore, the creation of practical use cases can promote Dogecoin's expansion. Even though Dogecoin was first only a joke coin with little use, continuous efforts to include DOGE as a payment option across numerous businesses could increase its worth in the real world.
此外,创建实际用例可以促进狗狗币的扩张。尽管狗狗币最初只是一种没什么用处的玩笑币,但不断努力将狗狗币纳入众多企业的支付选项可能会增加其在现实世界中的价值。
For instance, there are current talks on incorporating Dogecoin payments into other sites, such as Twitter (now X). Should these activities be successful, the ensuing utility may assist DOGE in keeping its higher rates in place.
例如,目前正在讨论将狗狗币支付纳入其他网站,例如 Twitter(现在是 X)。如果这些活动成功,随后的公用事业可能会帮助 DOGE 保持较高的利率。
Positive Price Forecasts for 2025
2025 年积极的价格预测
Given that they believe 2025 will see the next significant bull run, several analysts continue to have an optimistic view on Dogecoin. According to predictions, DOGE may hit $1. Considering the current supply, this would mean a market valuation of over $146 billion.
鉴于他们相信 2025 年将出现下一次重大牛市,一些分析师继续对狗狗币持乐观态度。根据预测,DOGE 可能会触及 1 美元。考虑到目前的供应量,这意味着市场估值将超过 1,460 亿美元。
Some, contend that Dogecoin has consistently produced large returns during bull markets in the past and that there is no reason to believe that the current cycle will be any different. Some projections even forecast DOGE at $3.8 during the climax of the next bull run, based on this historical tendency. These projections are predicated on positive market circumstances, increased use of cryptocurrencies, and persistence of the positive attitude around meme coins. Even with positive forecasts, though, DOGE would still need to fight with other well-established and up-and-coming cryptocurrencies for investor interest and attention if it were to attain its price target of $1 or more.
一些人认为,狗狗币在过去的牛市期间一直产生丰厚的回报,没有理由相信当前的周期会有任何不同。根据这一历史趋势,一些预测甚至预测 DOGE 在下一次牛市的高潮期间将达到 3.8 美元。这些预测是基于积极的市场环境、加密货币的使用增加以及人们对模因币的积极态度持续存在。不过,即使有积极的预测,如果 DOGE 要实现 1 美元或以上的价格目标,它仍然需要与其他成熟和新兴的加密货币竞争,以吸引投资者的兴趣和注意力。
The Reasons Rexas Finance (RXS) May Beat Dogecoin
Rexas Finance (RXS) 可能击败狗狗币的原因
Despite its established brand and significant community support, Dogecoin's inflationary supply and reliance on hype make it a speculative investment. Conversely, Rexas Finance (RXS) offers a simpler approach to generating value by using blockchain technology to address pragmatic concerns.
尽管狗狗币拥有成熟的品牌和重要的社区支持,但其通货膨胀的供应和对炒作的依赖使其成为一种投机性投资。相反,Rexas Finance (RXS) 通过使用区块链技术来解决务实问题,提供了一种更简单的创造价值的方法。
Aiming to tokenize real-world assets (RWA), a market predicted to expand greatly as blockchain technology develops, RXS is a new project. Rexas Finance wants to transform conventional finance by tokenizing actual assets including real estate, commodities, and financial instruments.
RXS 是一个新项目,旨在将现实世界资产(RWA)代币化,预计随着区块链技术的发展,该市场将大幅扩大。 Rexas Finance 希望通过对房地产、大宗商品和金融工具等实际资产进行代币化来改变传统金融。
The platform helps to create digital tokens representing fractional ownership of certain assets, therefore enabling distributed asset purchases, sales, and exchanges. Thanks to the democratization of asset ownership, which reduces entry barriers and increases liquidity, the global audience may now access investment prospects.
该平台有助于创建代表某些资产部分所有权的数字代币,从而实现分布式资产购买、销售和交换。由于资产所有权的民主化降低了进入壁垒并增加了流动性,全球受众现在可以获得投资前景。
Tokenizing real-world assets has the power to revolutionize the financial sector by fixing inefficiencies in already-developed marketplaces. Among these inefficiencies include limited access for private investors, inadequate liquidity, and high transaction costs. Using blockchain technology, Rexas Finance can offer solutions that increase asset management's accessibility, efficiency, and transparency
现实世界资产的代币化有能力通过解决已经开发的市场中的低效率问题来彻底改变金融部门。这些低效率包括私人投资者的准入有限、流动性不足以及交易成本高昂。利用区块链技术,Rexas Finance 可以提供提高资产管理的可访问性、效率和透明度的解决方案
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