著名市场评论员称狗狗币 (DOGE) 有望在 2024 年实现 1200%–7300% 的涨幅

在过去的一个月里，几位分析师对领先的狗狗主题模因币狗狗币（DOGE）保持着极其乐观的情绪，尽管最近加密货币市场陷入困境，但他们并没有放弃。

A prominent market commentator maintains his ambitious two-digit Dogecoin target despite the consolidation, but pessimism abounds.

尽管进行了整​​合，一位著名的市场评论员仍维持其雄心勃勃的两位数狗狗币目标，但悲观情绪比比皆是。

Over the past month, several analysts have maintained extremely bullish sentiments on the leading doggy-themed meme coin Dogecoin (DOGE) and have not backed down despite recent crypto market struggles.

在过去的一个月里，几位分析师对领先的狗狗主题模因币狗狗币（DOGE）保持着极其乐观的情绪，尽管最近加密货币市场陷入困境，但他们并没有放弃。

Amid the sea of optimistic takes, however, many market observers have begun to question whether the highly ambitious price targets eyed by analysts are grounded in reality.

然而，在一片乐观的情绪中，许多市场观察人士开始质疑分析师所设定的雄心勃勃的价格目标是否符合现实。

Dogecoin (DOGE) to $18?

狗狗币 (DOGE) 升至 18 美元？

At the time of writing, Dogecoin looks set to close 2024 with an over 245% gain, having surged from a January 2024 opening price of $0.08956 to trade at $0.30930 currently. While an over 200% annual return is impressive by any measure, analysts like Ali Martinez have maintained that there is a chance that this is just the beginning of DOGE’s parabolic run.

截至撰写本文时，狗狗币预计 2024 年将以超过 245% 的涨幅结束，从 2024 年 1 月的开盘价 0.08956 美元飙升至目前的 0.30930 美元。尽管无论如何衡量，超过 200% 的年回报率都令人印象深刻，但阿里·马丁内斯 (Ali Martinez) 等分析师坚持认为，这可能只是 DOGE 抛物线运行的开始。

Over the past few weeks, the analyst has repeatedly reiterated the view that a DOGE rally to anywhere between $4, $18, and $23, representing 1,200%, 5,700%, and 7,300% gains from current prices, respectively, is possible based on the asset’s historical price action in previous bull markets in 2017 and 2021.

在过去的几周里，分析师反复重申了这样的观点：根据该资产的情况，DOGE 可能会上涨至 4 美元、18 美元和 23 美元之间，分别较当前价格上涨 1,200%、5,700% 和 7,300%。 2017 年和 2021 年历次牛市的历史价格走势。

To be sure, as has been highlighted by Martinez, DOGE rallied 5,000% to a peak of $0.01857 from a similar position in 2017 and 12,000% in 2021 to its current all-time high of $0.74.

可以肯定的是，正如马丁内斯所强调的那样，DOGE 从 2017 年的类似位置上涨了 5,000% 至 0.01857 美元的峰值，并在 2021 年上涨了 12,000% 至目前的历史高点 0.74 美元。

On Monday, December 30, Martinez again shared his bullish outlook on DOGE, reiterating the $18 price target based on an ascending channel on the asset’s weekly candle chart formed by the aforementioned historical price action.

12 月 30 日星期一，马丁内斯再次分享了他对 DOGE 的看涨前景，重申了 18 美元的价格目标，该目标价格基于上述历史价格走势形成的资产周蜡烛图上的上升通道。

An Unrealistic Target?

一个不切实际的目标？

“Unrealistic,” “far-fetched,” and “nonsense” are some of the reactions that have trailed Ali Martinez’s ambitious $18 price projection for Dogecoin.

“不切实际”、“牵强”和“无稽之谈”是阿里·马丁内斯雄心勃勃的狗狗币 18 美元价格预测背后的一些反应。

I’m optimistic about Dogecoin, but the idea seems a bit far-fetched to me, even if Doge were added to X. That said, I hope you’re right!

我对Dogecoin持乐观态度，但这个想法对我来说似乎有点牵强，即使Doge被添加到X中。也就是说，我希望你是对的！

— Elliptic Research 📊🚀 (@EllipticRes) December 30, 2024

- Elliptic Research 📊🚀 (@EllipticRes) 2024 年 12 月 30 日

These reactions come as many believe that such a price projection sets an unattainable market cap target for the meme coin. Specifically, DOGE will need to attain a market cap of $2.65 trillion to hit the $18 price point, assuming it maintains its circulating supply of 147.3 billion coins. For context, the market capitalization of Bitcoin, the largest crypto by market cap, is about $1.8 trillion.

出现这些反应之际，许多人认为这样的价格预测为模因币设定了难以实现的市值目标。具体来说，假设 DOGE 保持 1,473 亿枚代币的流通供应量，则其市值需要达到 2.65 万亿美元才能达到 18 美元的价格点。就背景而言，比特币是市值最大的加密货币，其市值约为 1.8 万亿美元。

Understandably, many find it difficult to imagine a future where DOGE, a meme coin with a current market capitalization of only $45.8 billion, can surpass the current market capitalization of Bitcoin.

可以理解的是，许多人很难想象未来 DOGE 这种目前市值仅为 458 亿美元的模因币能够超越比特币目前的市值。

While the $18 target seems impractical to most, many remain optimistic about Martinez’s $4 calls. However, even this $4 projection represents an ambitious undertaking as it will require the asset to hit a market capitalization of nearly $600 billion, about 50% more than the market capitalization of Ethereum.

虽然 18 美元的目标对大多数人来说似乎不切实际，但许多人仍然对马丁内斯 4 美元的目标持乐观态度。然而，即使这个 4 美元的预测也是一项雄心勃勃的任务，因为它需要该资产的市值达到近 6000 亿美元，比以太坊的市值高出约 50%。

Still, it may also not be wise to bet against DOGE as not many traditional finance experts would have ever anticipated a future where such an asset would have a market capitalization of over $45 billion.

尽管如此，做空 DOGE 也可能并不明智，因为没有多少传统金融专家会预料到这种资产的市值将在未来超过 450 亿美元。