著名市場評論員稱狗狗幣 (DOGE) 預計在 2024 年實現 1200%–7300% 的漲幅

在過去的一個月裡，幾位分析師對領先的狗狗主題迷因幣狗狗幣（DOGE）保持著極其樂觀的情緒，儘管最近加密貨幣市場陷入困境，但他們並沒有放棄。

A prominent market commentator maintains his ambitious two-digit Dogecoin target despite the consolidation, but pessimism abounds.

儘管進行了一致，一位著名的市場評論員仍維持其雄心勃勃的兩位數狗狗幣目標，但悲觀情緒比比皆是。

Over the past month, several analysts have maintained extremely bullish sentiments on the leading doggy-themed meme coin Dogecoin (DOGE) and have not backed down despite recent crypto market struggles.

在過去的一個月裡，幾位分析師對領先的狗狗主題迷因幣狗狗幣（DOGE）保持著極其樂觀的情緒，儘管最近加密貨幣市場陷入困境，但他們並沒有放棄。

Amid the sea of optimistic takes, however, many market observers have begun to question whether the highly ambitious price targets eyed by analysts are grounded in reality.

然而，在一片樂觀的情緒中，許多市場觀察家開始質疑分析師所設定的雄心勃勃的價格目標是否符合現實。

Dogecoin (DOGE) to $18?

狗狗幣 (DOGE) 升至 18 美元？

At the time of writing, Dogecoin looks set to close 2024 with an over 245% gain, having surged from a January 2024 opening price of $0.08956 to trade at $0.30930 currently. While an over 200% annual return is impressive by any measure, analysts like Ali Martinez have maintained that there is a chance that this is just the beginning of DOGE’s parabolic run.

截至撰寫本文時，狗狗幣預計 2024 年將以超過 245% 的漲幅結束，從 2024 年 1 月的開盤價 0.08956 美元飆升至目前的 0.30930 美元。儘管無論如何衡量，超過 200% 的年回報率都令人印象深刻，但 Ali Martinez 等分析師堅持認為，這可能只是 DOGE 拋物線運行的開始。

Over the past few weeks, the analyst has repeatedly reiterated the view that a DOGE rally to anywhere between $4, $18, and $23, representing 1,200%, 5,700%, and 7,300% gains from current prices, respectively, is possible based on the asset’s historical price action in previous bull markets in 2017 and 2021.

在過去的幾周里，分析師一再重申了這樣的觀點：根據該資產的情況，DOGE 可能會上漲至4 美元、18 美元和23 美元之間，分別較當前價格上漲1,200%、5,700% 和7,300 %。

To be sure, as has been highlighted by Martinez, DOGE rallied 5,000% to a peak of $0.01857 from a similar position in 2017 and 12,000% in 2021 to its current all-time high of $0.74.

可以肯定的是，正如馬丁內斯所強調的那樣，DOGE 從 2017 年的類似位置上漲了 5,000% 至 0.01857 美元的峰值，並在 2021 年上漲了 12,000% 至目前的歷史高點 0.74 美元。

On Monday, December 30, Martinez again shared his bullish outlook on DOGE, reiterating the $18 price target based on an ascending channel on the asset’s weekly candle chart formed by the aforementioned historical price action.

12 月 30 日星期一，馬丁內斯再次分享了他對 DOGE 的看漲前景，重申了 18 美元的價格目標，該目標價格基於上述歷史價格走勢形成的資產週蠟燭圖上的上升通道。

An Unrealistic Target?

一個不切實際的目標？

“Unrealistic,” “far-fetched,” and “nonsense” are some of the reactions that have trailed Ali Martinez’s ambitious $18 price projection for Dogecoin.

「不切實際」、「牽強」和「無稽之談」是阿里馬丁內斯雄心勃勃的狗狗幣 18 美元價格預測背後的一些反應。

I’m optimistic about Dogecoin, but the idea seems a bit far-fetched to me, even if Doge were added to X. That said, I hope you’re right!

我對Dogecoin持樂觀態度，但這個想法對我來說似乎有點牽強，即使Doge被添加到X中。

— Elliptic Research 📊🚀 (@EllipticRes) December 30, 2024

- Elliptic Research 📊🚀 (@EllipticRes) 2024 年 12 月 30 日

These reactions come as many believe that such a price projection sets an unattainable market cap target for the meme coin. Specifically, DOGE will need to attain a market cap of $2.65 trillion to hit the $18 price point, assuming it maintains its circulating supply of 147.3 billion coins. For context, the market capitalization of Bitcoin, the largest crypto by market cap, is about $1.8 trillion.

出現這些反應之際，許多人認為這樣的價格預測為迷因幣設定了難以實現的市值目標。具體來說，假設 DOGE 維持 1,473 億枚代幣的流通供應量，則其市值需要達到 2.65 兆美元才能達到 18 美元的價格點。就背景而言，比特幣是市值最大的加密貨幣，其市值約為 1.8 兆美元。

Understandably, many find it difficult to imagine a future where DOGE, a meme coin with a current market capitalization of only $45.8 billion, can surpass the current market capitalization of Bitcoin.

可以理解的是，許多人很難想像未來 DOGE 這種目前市值僅為 458 億美元的迷因幣能夠超越比特幣目前的市值。

While the $18 target seems impractical to most, many remain optimistic about Martinez’s $4 calls. However, even this $4 projection represents an ambitious undertaking as it will require the asset to hit a market capitalization of nearly $600 billion, about 50% more than the market capitalization of Ethereum.

雖然 18 美元的目標對大多數人來說似乎不切實際，但許多人仍然對馬丁內斯 4 美元的目標持樂觀態度。然而，即使這個 4 美元的預測也是一項雄心勃勃的任務，因為它需要該資產的市值達到近 6000 億美元，比以太坊的市值高出約 50%。

Still, it may also not be wise to bet against DOGE as not many traditional finance experts would have ever anticipated a future where such an asset would have a market capitalization of over $45 billion.

儘管如此，做空 DOGE 可能並不明智，因為沒有太多傳統金融專家會預料到這種資產的市值將在未來超過 450 億美元。