Dogecoin（Doge）价格结构仍然“全部计划计划”

加密分析师凯文（Kevin）提供了有关Dogecoin的价格结构的最新消息，强调了多个技术要素如何融合以支持他的论文，即尽管最近波动率，Meme硬币仍然可以正常进行。

Crypto analyst Kevin has provided an update on Dogecoin's price structure, highlighting how multiple technical elements have converged to support his thesis that the meme coin remains on track despite recent volatility.

加密分析师凯文（Kevin）提供了有关Dogecoin的价格结构的最新消息，强调了多个技术要素如何融合以支持他的论文，即尽管最近波动率，Meme硬币仍然可以正常进行。

The chart, which he first shared two weeks ago, reveals a confluence of Fibonacci retracement levels, descending yellow macro trend lines, and the positioning of the 200-week SMA (Simple Moving Average) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average).

他两周前首次共享的图表揭示了斐波那契回回的水平，降黄色宏趋势线下降，以及200周SMA（简单移动平均线）和EMA（指数移动平均线）的定位。

Dogecoin Follows ‘The Plan’

Dogecoin遵循“计划”

According to Kevin, these converging signals have collectively allowed Dogecoin to perform a critical macro back test, a process that—if successful—can often transition a market from a corrective phase into a new, more bullish phase. "We still got work to do folks but so far it’s all going to plan for Dogecoin," Kevin wrote today via X.

根据凯文（Kevin）的说法，这些融合的信号已允许Dogecoin执行关键的宏观回测测试，如果成功的话，这一过程通常可以将市场从纠正阶段转变为一个新的，更乐观的阶段。凯文（Kevin）今天通过X写道：“我们仍然开始工作，但到目前为止，这一切都将为Dogecoin计划。”

Annually, at least one token tends to enter a "new phase" after testing the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the yearly high and low.

每年在测试每年高和低的0.5斐波那契回回水平后，至少一个令牌倾向于进入“新阶段”。

"For Dogecoin, this 0.5 Fib is also coming at the intersection of the macro yellow trend lines, which is adding another layer of significance. A synergy between this retracement level and the trend line retest is a key reason why the pullback remains orderly and "all going to plan."

“对于Dogecoin而言，这种0.5的FIB也在宏黄色趋势线的交点上，这增加了另一层的重要性。此回溯水平与趋势线进行重新测试之间的协同作用是回溯保持有序和“所有人都计划计划”的关键原因。

If successful, this process could set the stage for a breakout above the 0.236 Fib level around $0.28013 (red horizontal band), paving the way for a continuation of the broader uptrend.

如果成功，此过程可能会为超过0.236 FIB水平的突破奠定基础，以$ 0.28013（红色的水平频段），为延续更广泛的上升趋势铺平了道路。

Conversely, if further consolidation were to occur, Kevin suggests that Dogecoin might find support in the 0.618 Fib marker around $0.11767 or the 0.65 retracement near $0.10924.

相反，如果发生进一步的合并，凯文（Kevin）建议Dogecoin可能在0.11767美元左右的0.618 FIB标记中找到支持，或者在0.11767 $ 0.10924左右的0.65回撤。

Additional deeper retracement points include the 0.786 level around $0.08035 and the 1.0 extension down near $0.04942—areas that, in previous cycles, provided meaningful bounces for tokens experiencing prolonged corrections.

额外的更深层次回答点包括0.786级别约0.08035美元和1.0延伸量接近$ 0.04942，这是在先前的周期中为代币提供了延长校正的有意义的弹跳。

Meanwhile, the weekly moving averages in blue on the chart, specifically the 200-week SMA and EMA, offer further context for longer-term sentiment. They are currently running just below Dogecoin's spot price, forming another layer of support.

同时，图表上的每周移动平均值，特别是200周的SMA和EMA，为长期情感提供了进一步的背景。他们目前的运行距离低于Dogecoin的现货价格，形成了另一层支持。

Kevin's analysis also cites momentum data from the 3 Day RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating that RSI readings have been near historically low levels for Dogecoin. Low RSI readings can sometimes suggest a market is oversold, which in turn raises the prospect of a relief rally or broader turnaround if other bullish catalysts emerge.

凯文（Kevin）的分析还引用了3天RSI（相对强度指数）的动量数据，表明RSI读数在历史上对Dogecoin的水平接近。 RSI读数低，有时可能表明市场过多，这反过来又增加了如果其他看涨催化剂出现，则会引起救济集会或更广泛的周转的前景。

He referenced four focal points he first identified in a post two weeks prior: the retest of the macro 0.5 Fibonacci zone, the descending trend line confluence, the back test of the 200-week SMA and EMA, and the notably low RSI values. He further emphasized that Bitcoin's overall resilience, along with the evolution of macroeconomic data and central bank monetary policy, could shape whether Dogecoin's price can capitalize on these technical signals.

他提到了他在两个星期前首次确定的四个焦点：宏观0.5斐波那契区的重新测试，降低趋势线汇合，200周SMA和EMA的后测试以及尤其是RSI值较低。他进一步强调，比特币的整体弹性以及宏观经济数据的演变和中央银行的货币政策，可以塑造Dogecoin的价格是否可以利用这些技术信号。

"If BTC holds up and Macro Economic Data and Monetary policy adjust then you just got your last opportunity to buy Dogecoin relatively cheap. A lot of factors at play and lots of work to do But the risk reward at this level is superb given the circumstances," Kevin concluded two weeks ago.

凯文（Kevin）在两周前总结说：“如果BTC坚持下去，宏观经济数据和货币政策进行调整，那么您刚刚获得了相对便宜购买Dogecoin的最后机会。凯文（Kevin）在两周前总结说。