Dogecoin（Doge）價格結構仍然“全部計劃”

加密分析師凱文（Kevin）提供了有關Dogecoin的價格結構的最新消息，強調了多個技術要素如何融合以支持他的論文，即儘管最近波動率，Meme硬幣仍然可以正常進行。

Crypto analyst Kevin has provided an update on Dogecoin's price structure, highlighting how multiple technical elements have converged to support his thesis that the meme coin remains on track despite recent volatility.

加密分析師凱文（Kevin）提供了有關Dogecoin的價格結構的最新消息，強調了多個技術要素如何融合以支持他的論文，即儘管最近波動率，Meme硬幣仍然可以正常進行。

The chart, which he first shared two weeks ago, reveals a confluence of Fibonacci retracement levels, descending yellow macro trend lines, and the positioning of the 200-week SMA (Simple Moving Average) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average).

他兩週前首次共享的圖表揭示了斐波那契回回的水平，降黃色宏趨勢線下降，以及200週SMA（簡單移動平均線）和EMA（指數移動平均線）的定位。

Dogecoin Follows ‘The Plan’

Dogecoin遵循“計劃”

According to Kevin, these converging signals have collectively allowed Dogecoin to perform a critical macro back test, a process that—if successful—can often transition a market from a corrective phase into a new, more bullish phase. "We still got work to do folks but so far it’s all going to plan for Dogecoin," Kevin wrote today via X.

根據凱文（Kevin）的說法，這些融合的信號已允許Dogecoin執行關鍵的宏觀回測測試，如果成功的話，這一過程通常可以將市場從糾正階段轉變為一個新的，更樂觀的階段。凱文（Kevin）今天通過X寫道：“我們仍然開始工作，但到目前為止，這一切都將為Dogecoin計劃。”

Annually, at least one token tends to enter a "new phase" after testing the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the yearly high and low.

每年在測試每年高和低的0.5斐波那契回回水平後，至少一個令牌傾向於進入“新階段”。

"For Dogecoin, this 0.5 Fib is also coming at the intersection of the macro yellow trend lines, which is adding another layer of significance. A synergy between this retracement level and the trend line retest is a key reason why the pullback remains orderly and "all going to plan."

“對於Dogecoin而言，這種0.5的FIB也在宏黃色趨勢線的交點上，這增加了另一層的重要性。此回溯水平與趨勢線進行重新測試之間的協同作用是回溯保持有序和“所有人都計劃計劃”的關鍵原因。

If successful, this process could set the stage for a breakout above the 0.236 Fib level around $0.28013 (red horizontal band), paving the way for a continuation of the broader uptrend.

如果成功，此過程可能會為超過0.236 FIB水平的突破奠定基礎，以$ 0.28013（紅色的水平頻段），為延續更廣泛的上升趨勢鋪平了道路。

Conversely, if further consolidation were to occur, Kevin suggests that Dogecoin might find support in the 0.618 Fib marker around $0.11767 or the 0.65 retracement near $0.10924.

相反，如果發生進一步的合併，凱文（Kevin）建議Dogecoin可能在0.11767美元左右的0.618 FIB標記中找到支持，或者在0.11767 $ 0.10924左右的0.65回撤。

Additional deeper retracement points include the 0.786 level around $0.08035 and the 1.0 extension down near $0.04942—areas that, in previous cycles, provided meaningful bounces for tokens experiencing prolonged corrections.

額外的更深層次回答點包括0.786級別約0.08035美元和1.0延伸量接近$ 0.04942，這是在先前的周期中為代幣提供了延長校正的有意義的彈跳。

Meanwhile, the weekly moving averages in blue on the chart, specifically the 200-week SMA and EMA, offer further context for longer-term sentiment. They are currently running just below Dogecoin's spot price, forming another layer of support.

同時，圖表上的每週移動平均值，特別是200週的SMA和EMA，為長期情感提供了進一步的背景。他們目前的運行距離低於Dogecoin的現貨價格，形成了另一層支持。

Kevin's analysis also cites momentum data from the 3 Day RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating that RSI readings have been near historically low levels for Dogecoin. Low RSI readings can sometimes suggest a market is oversold, which in turn raises the prospect of a relief rally or broader turnaround if other bullish catalysts emerge.

凱文（Kevin）的分析還引用了3天RSI（相對強度指數）的動量數據，表明RSI讀數在歷史上對Dogecoin的水平接近。 RSI讀數低，有時可能表明市場過多，這反過來又增加瞭如果其他看漲催化劑出現，則會引起救濟集會或更廣泛的周轉的前景。

He referenced four focal points he first identified in a post two weeks prior: the retest of the macro 0.5 Fibonacci zone, the descending trend line confluence, the back test of the 200-week SMA and EMA, and the notably low RSI values. He further emphasized that Bitcoin's overall resilience, along with the evolution of macroeconomic data and central bank monetary policy, could shape whether Dogecoin's price can capitalize on these technical signals.

他提到了他在兩個星期前首次確定的四個焦點：宏觀0.5斐波那契區的重新測試，降低趨勢線匯合，200週SMA和EMA的後測試以及尤其是RSI值較低。他進一步強調，比特幣的整體彈性以及宏觀經濟數據的演變和中央銀行的貨幣政策，可以塑造Dogecoin的價格是否可以利用這些技術信號。

"If BTC holds up and Macro Economic Data and Monetary policy adjust then you just got your last opportunity to buy Dogecoin relatively cheap. A lot of factors at play and lots of work to do But the risk reward at this level is superb given the circumstances," Kevin concluded two weeks ago.

凱文（Kevin）在兩週前總結說：“如果BTC堅持下去，宏觀經濟數據和貨幣政策進行調整，那麼您剛剛獲得了相對便宜購買Dogecoin的最後機會。凱文（Kevin）在兩週前總結說。