Dogecoin（Doge）价格预测：154天范围阶段的反射可能会导致新的ATH

Dogecoin的交易价格为0.1564美元，其最近的价格行动引起了加密分析师Kenobi的注意。

Dogecoin price has been trading sideways and recently caught the eye of crypto analyst Master Kenobi, known for his time-frame analysis.

Dogecoin Price一直在侧面交易，最近引起了Crypto分析师Kenobi大师的注意，Kenobi以其时间框架分析而闻名。

In a recent X post, the analyst broke down how Dogecoin is halfway through replicating a well-known pattern.

在最近的X帖子中，分析师打破了Dogecoin在复制众所周知的模式中的一半。

The pattern begins with 154 days of range-bound action, followed by a 100-day uptrend to a local top.

该模式始于154天的距离动作，随后是100天的上升趋势到本地顶部。

In this new cycle, the time frame is compressed, with the bullish momentum only lasting 50 days.

在这个新的周期中，时间范围被压缩，看涨势头只能持续50天。

The post divides the price action into two critical time frames:

该帖子将价格动作分为两个关键时间范围：

The red box indicates the past downtrend of 154 days, and the green box replicates that length of time as per the current cycle.

红色框表示过去154天的下降趋势，而绿色框则根据当前周期复制该时间长度。

Interestingly, we are now 77 days into the green box. There is a probable rally waiting to be sparked at any moment, paving the way for a new all-time high (ATH) for Dogecoin before the 50-day bullish window passes, though breaking above $1 is questionable.

有趣的是，我们现在已经进入绿色盒子了77天。有可能随时等待着激发，在50天的看涨窗户通过之前为Dogecoin铺平了新的历史最高（ATH），尽管超过1美元以上是值得怀疑的。

Kenobi's analysis relies on historical similarity as well as an apparent shift in momentum. There is a yellow marker in the chart indicating DOGE’s current location as a potential swing point. It is a textbook consolidation-accumulation pattern typical of setups for strong moves.

Kenobi的分析依赖于历史相似性以及动量的明显转变。图表中有一个黄色标记，指示Doge的当前位置是潜在的秋千点。这是一本教科书合并 - 积累模式的典型设置，用于强大动作。

RSI Reversal Hints at Potential Dogecoin RallyA key consideration for the prediction is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pattern. The last 154-day interval had RSI readings staying within bearish levels, a pattern now indicating a possible reversal.

RSI逆转暗示该预测的潜在Dogecoin Rallya关键考虑是相对强度指数（RSI）模式。最后154天的间隔的RSI读数保持在看跌水平，这种模式现在表明可能逆转。

Since the RSI is slowly rising back from oversold levels, it is indicating fresh buying interest. This fits into the current green-box stage potentially paving the way for a big rally.

由于RSI逐渐从超售水平上升，因此表明新的购买兴趣。这符合当前的绿色盒子阶段，可能为大型集会铺平了道路。

The analyst Kenobi indicates that the earlier rally from low to peak took 100 days. Now, he is speculating that the same price action can occur sooner, compressed within 50 days.

分析师Kenobi表示，从低到峰值到峰的较早集会花了100天。现在，他猜测可以更快地发生相同的价格行动，在50天内被压缩。

The notion, though ambitious, is not unfounded. RSI trends as well as past price action often converge when sentiment suddenly changes within the altcoin market.

这个概念虽然雄心勃勃，但并非没有根据。当情绪突然在Altcoin市场中发生变化时，RSI趋势以及过去的价格行动通常会融合。

Altcoin Synchronization Points Toward Late May RallyKenobi emphasizes that one chart can’t express the overall crypto market universe. His larger thesis entails synchronized compression cycles among several assets, such as DOGE and BNB. This correlated action reflects the possibility of coordinated altcoin breakouts, potentially led by seasonal or macroeconomic trends.

AltCoin同步指向迟到的May Rallykenobi强调，一个图表无法表达整个加密货币市场宇宙。他的较大论文需要在多个资产和BNB等几个资产中同步压缩周期。这种相关的行动反映了协调的Altcoin突破的可能性，这可能是由季节性或宏观经济趋势引起的。

Referring back to past threads, including the one titled “May is November”, he postulates that May 2025 might resemble past November bull runs. In the event of such a timeline, DOGE might soon emerge from its current consolidation phase and make another ATH push.

回到过去的线程，包括标题为“五月是十一月”的一个线程，他假设2025年5月可能类似于11月的公牛奔跑。如果有这样的时间表，Doge可能很快就会从目前的合并阶段出现，并进行另一个ATH推动。

Though there are uncertainties, particularly for breaking beyond the $1 mark, Kenobi's chart-supported analysis offers a detailed model for traders observing the next 50 days carefully.

尽管存在不确定性，特别是为了超越1美元的大关，Kenobi的图表支持分析为仔细观察接下来50天的交易者提供了详细的模型。