Dogecoin（Doge）價格預測：154天範圍階段的反射可能會導致新的ATH

Dogecoin的交易價格為0.1564美元，其最近的價格行動引起了加密分析師Kenobi的注意。

Dogecoin price has been trading sideways and recently caught the eye of crypto analyst Master Kenobi, known for his time-frame analysis.

Dogecoin Price一直在側面交易，最近引起了Crypto分析師Kenobi大師的注意，Kenobi以其時間框架分析而聞名。

In a recent X post, the analyst broke down how Dogecoin is halfway through replicating a well-known pattern.

在最近的X帖子中，分析師打破了Dogecoin在復制眾所周知的模式中的一半。

The pattern begins with 154 days of range-bound action, followed by a 100-day uptrend to a local top.

該模式始於154天的距離動作，隨後是100天的上升趨勢到本地頂部。

In this new cycle, the time frame is compressed, with the bullish momentum only lasting 50 days.

在這個新的周期中，時間範圍被壓縮，看漲勢頭只能持續50天。

The post divides the price action into two critical time frames:

該帖子將價格動作分為兩個關鍵時間範圍：

The red box indicates the past downtrend of 154 days, and the green box replicates that length of time as per the current cycle.

紅色框表示過去154天的下降趨勢，而綠色框則根據當前週期復制該時間長度。

Interestingly, we are now 77 days into the green box. There is a probable rally waiting to be sparked at any moment, paving the way for a new all-time high (ATH) for Dogecoin before the 50-day bullish window passes, though breaking above $1 is questionable.

有趣的是，我們現在已經進入綠色盒子了77天。有可能隨時等待著激發，在50天的看漲窗戶通過之前為Dogecoin鋪平了新的歷史最高（ATH），儘管超過1美元以上是值得懷疑的。

Kenobi's analysis relies on historical similarity as well as an apparent shift in momentum. There is a yellow marker in the chart indicating DOGE’s current location as a potential swing point. It is a textbook consolidation-accumulation pattern typical of setups for strong moves.

Kenobi的分析依賴於歷史相似性以及動量的明顯轉變。圖表中有一個黃色標記，指示Doge的當前位置是潛在的鞦韆點。這是一本教科書合併 - 積累模式的典型設置，用於強大動作。

RSI Reversal Hints at Potential Dogecoin RallyA key consideration for the prediction is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pattern. The last 154-day interval had RSI readings staying within bearish levels, a pattern now indicating a possible reversal.

RSI逆轉暗示該預測的潛在Dogecoin Rallya關鍵考慮是相對強度指數（RSI）模式。最後154天的間隔的RSI讀數保持在看跌水平，這種模式現在表明可能逆轉。

Since the RSI is slowly rising back from oversold levels, it is indicating fresh buying interest. This fits into the current green-box stage potentially paving the way for a big rally.

由於RSI逐漸從超售水平上升，因此表明新的購買興趣。這符合當前的綠色盒子階段，可能為大型集會鋪平了道路。

The analyst Kenobi indicates that the earlier rally from low to peak took 100 days. Now, he is speculating that the same price action can occur sooner, compressed within 50 days.

分析師Kenobi表示，從低到峰值到峰的較早集會花了100天。現在，他猜測可以更快地發生相同的價格行動，在50天內被壓縮。

The notion, though ambitious, is not unfounded. RSI trends as well as past price action often converge when sentiment suddenly changes within the altcoin market.

這個概念雖然雄心勃勃，但並非沒有根據。當情緒突然在Altcoin市場中發生變化時，RSI趨勢以及過去的價格行動通常會融合。

Altcoin Synchronization Points Toward Late May RallyKenobi emphasizes that one chart can’t express the overall crypto market universe. His larger thesis entails synchronized compression cycles among several assets, such as DOGE and BNB. This correlated action reflects the possibility of coordinated altcoin breakouts, potentially led by seasonal or macroeconomic trends.

AltCoin同步指向遲到的May Rallykenobi強調，一個圖表無法表達整個加密貨幣市場宇宙。他的較大論文需要在多個資產和BNB等幾個資產中同步壓縮週期。這種相關的行動反映了協調的Altcoin突破的可能性，這可能是由季節性或宏觀經濟趨勢引起的。

Referring back to past threads, including the one titled “May is November”, he postulates that May 2025 might resemble past November bull runs. In the event of such a timeline, DOGE might soon emerge from its current consolidation phase and make another ATH push.

回到過去的線程，包括標題為“五月是十一月”的一個線程，他假設2025年5月可能類似於11月的公牛奔跑。如果有這樣的時間表，Doge可能很快就會從目前的合併階段出現，並進行另一個ATH推動。

Though there are uncertainties, particularly for breaking beyond the $1 mark, Kenobi's chart-supported analysis offers a detailed model for traders observing the next 50 days carefully.

儘管存在不確定性，特別是為了超越1美元的大關，Kenobi的圖表支持分析為仔細觀察接下來50天的交易者提供了詳細的模型。