如果比特币 (BTC) 市值与黄金 17.73 万亿美元的估值相匹配，狗狗币 (DOGE) 可能会触及 3.09 美元

根据IntoTheBlock的数据，过去30天内比特币和狗狗币的相关性达到97%

Bitcoin (BTC) is still far from reaching the market cap of gold, which currently stands at $11.2 trillion. However, several analysts believe that the leading cryptocurrency could eventually reach this milestone, and if it does, several leading altcoins, including Dogecoin (DOGE), are likely to react significantly.

比特币 (BTC) 仍远未达到黄金的市值，目前黄金的市值为 11.2 万亿美元。然而，一些分析师认为，领先的加密货币最终可能会达到这一里程碑，如果确实如此，包括狗狗币（DOGE）在内的几种领先的山寨币可能会做出重大反应。

In this article, we will analyze how high DOGE could go if BTC ascends to the market cap of gold in the future.

在本文中，我们将分析如果 BTC 未来升至黄金市值，DOGE 会走多高。

Bitcoin and Dogecoin Correlation

比特币和狗狗币的相关性

According to IntoTheBlock’s data, the correlation between Bitcoin and Dogecoin has reached 97% in the last 30 days. This is significantly higher than the correlation between Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH), which stands at 75%, according to our research.

根据IntoTheBlock的数据，最近30天内比特币和狗狗币的相关性达到97%。根据我们的研究，这明显高于比特币和以太坊 (ETH) 之间的相关性，后者为 75%。

This strong correlation suggests that Dogecoin tends to move in the same direction as Bitcoin, albeit with larger price fluctuations. For instance, the recent surge of Bitcoin to $100k was also matched by an incredible surge of DOGE to $0.45.

这种强烈的相关性表明，尽管价格波动较大，但狗狗币的走势往往与比特币相同。例如，最近比特币飙升至 10 万美元，同时 DOGE 也令人难以置信地飙升至 0.45 美元。

Bitcoin Price at $17.7 Trillion Market Cap

比特币价格达到 17.7 万亿美元市值

Our analysis shows that BTC would need to surge by 564.06% from the current $2.45 trillion valuation to reach $17.7 trillion. Mathematically, this would place the asset at $643,000. A similar move by Dogecoin could send the asset to a new all-time-high price of $2.2, outpacing the existing all-time-high price of $0.73 by 202.74%.

我们的分析显示，BTC 的估值需要从当前 2.45 万亿美元的估值飙升 564.06% 才能达到 17.7 万亿美元。从数学上来说，这将使该资产达到 643,000 美元。狗狗币的类似举动可能会使该资产创下 2.2 美元的历史新高，比目前 0.73 美元的历史最高价格高出 202.74%。

This will also send the market cap of DOGE from $45 billion to $350 billion.

这也将使 DOGE 的市值从 450 亿美元增至 3500 亿美元。

Analysts Project DOGE to Hit $10 by Next Year

分析师预计 DOGE 明年将达到 10 美元

Interestingly, an analysis by an analyst identified as Dima James Potts positions DOGE at $3 if BTC eventually reaches the market cap of gold in the far future. However, Potts believes that the dog-themed meme coin could hit $10 by next year.

有趣的是，一位分析师迪马·詹姆斯·波茨 (Dima James Potts) 的分析认为，如果 BTC 在不久的将来最终达到黄金的市值，那么 DOGE 的评级为 3 美元。然而，Potts 认为，到明年，以狗为主题的 meme 硬币可能会达到 10 美元。

His estimation is based on the market’s cyclical paradigm, where assets tend to breach their previous all-time high in the fourth year of each bull cycle.

他的估计是基于市场的周期性范式，即资产往往会在每个牛市周期的第四年突破之前的历史高点。

Further analyzing his thesis, we observed that DOGE has already outperformed its third-year performance in the last two cycles. Specifically, DOGE surged by 72.37% in 2016 and recorded an uptick of 114.86% in 2020. Meanwhile, the asset has surged by a whopping 282.67% this year. In an accompanying chart, DOGE was highlighted as having the capacity to hit $80. According to Potts, DOGE could hit its $10 mark between February 11 and May 7, 2025.

进一步分析他的论文，我们发现 DOGE 在过去两个周期中的表现已经超过了第三年的表现。其中，DOGE在2016年暴涨72.37%，2020年暴涨114.86%，今年更是暴涨282.67%。在随附的图表中，DOGE 被强调有能力达到 80 美元。 Potts 表示，DOGE 的价格可能会在 2025 年 2 月 11 日至 5 月 7 日期间触及 10 美元大关。

Lebicahlz, Kevin Capital, and Ali Martinez Join the Discussion

Lebicahlz、Kevin Capital 和 Ali Martinez 加入讨论

Alluding to a similar position, renowned analyst Lebicahlz has also maintained that DOGE could hit $10 and proceed to touch the $20 level in 2025. This implies that the asset would surge by 4,900% from the current level. Based on an accompanying chart, this prediction could materialize between January 2025 and July.

著名分析师 Lebicahlz 也暗示了类似的立场，认为 DOGE 可能会触及 10 美元，并在 2025 年继续触及 20 美元的水平。这意味着该资产将从当前水平飙升 4,900%。根据随附的图表，这一预测可能会在 2025 年 1 月至 7 月期间实现。

Commenting on the current bearish trend, analyst Kevin Capital highlighted that the dovish outlook of the Federal Reserve in 2025 and the decision of the Bank of Japan not to increase rates would mitigate the ongoing trend. According to Kevin Capital, the current market situation calls for more attention to macroeconomic indicators rather than overanalyzing charts. Meanwhile, Ali Martinez also expects DOGE to hit $23 by the end of the cycle.

在评论当前的看跌趋势时，分析师 Kevin Capital 强调，美联储 2025 年的鸽派前景以及日本央行不加息的决定将缓解当前的趋势。凯文资本认为，当前的市场形势需要更多关注宏观经济指标，而不是过度分析图表。与此同时，Ali Martinez 还预计 DOGE 在周期结束时将达到 23 美元。

At press time, DOGE was trading at $0.31 after declining by 23% in the last seven days.

截至发稿时，DOGE 的交易价格为 0.31 美元，过去 7 天下跌了 23%。

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