如果比特幣 (BTC) 市值與黃金 17.73 兆美元的估值相匹配，狗狗幣 (DOGE) 可能會觸及 3.09 美元

根據IntoTheBlock的數據，過去30天內比特幣和狗狗幣的相關性達到97%

Bitcoin (BTC) is still far from reaching the market cap of gold, which currently stands at $11.2 trillion. However, several analysts believe that the leading cryptocurrency could eventually reach this milestone, and if it does, several leading altcoins, including Dogecoin (DOGE), are likely to react significantly.

比特幣 (BTC) 仍遠未達到黃金的市值，目前黃金的市值為 11.2 兆美元。然而，一些分析師認為，領先的加密貨幣最終可能會達到這一里程碑，如果確實如此，包括狗狗幣（DOGE）在內的幾種領先的山寨幣可能會做出重大反應。

In this article, we will analyze how high DOGE could go if BTC ascends to the market cap of gold in the future.

在本文中，我們將分析如果 BTC 未來升至黃金市值，DOGE 會走多高。

Bitcoin and Dogecoin Correlation

比特幣和狗狗幣的相關性

According to IntoTheBlock’s data, the correlation between Bitcoin and Dogecoin has reached 97% in the last 30 days. This is significantly higher than the correlation between Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH), which stands at 75%, according to our research.

根據IntoTheBlock的數據，最近30天內比特幣和狗狗幣的相關性達到97%。根據我們的研究，這明顯高於比特幣和以太坊 (ETH) 之間的相關性，後者為 75%。

This strong correlation suggests that Dogecoin tends to move in the same direction as Bitcoin, albeit with larger price fluctuations. For instance, the recent surge of Bitcoin to $100k was also matched by an incredible surge of DOGE to $0.45.

這種強烈的相關性表明，儘管價格波動較大，但狗狗幣的走勢往往與比特幣相同。例如，最近比特幣飆升至 10 萬美元，同時 DOGE 也令人難以置信地飆升至 0.45 美元。

Bitcoin Price at $17.7 Trillion Market Cap

比特幣價格達到 17.7 兆美元市值

Our analysis shows that BTC would need to surge by 564.06% from the current $2.45 trillion valuation to reach $17.7 trillion. Mathematically, this would place the asset at $643,000. A similar move by Dogecoin could send the asset to a new all-time-high price of $2.2, outpacing the existing all-time-high price of $0.73 by 202.74%.

我們的分析顯示，BTC 的估值需要從目前 2.45 兆美元的估值飆升 564.06% 才能達到 17.7 兆美元。從數學上來說，這將使該資產達到 643,000 美元。狗狗幣的類似舉動可能會使該資產創下 2.2 美元的歷史新高，比目前 0.73 美元的歷史最高價格高出 202.74%。

This will also send the market cap of DOGE from $45 billion to $350 billion.

這也將使 DOGE 的市值從 450 億美元增加到 3500 億美元。

Analysts Project DOGE to Hit $10 by Next Year

分析師預計 DOGE 明年將達到 10 美元

Interestingly, an analysis by an analyst identified as Dima James Potts positions DOGE at $3 if BTC eventually reaches the market cap of gold in the far future. However, Potts believes that the dog-themed meme coin could hit $10 by next year.

有趣的是，一位分析師 Dima James Potts 的分析認為，如果 BTC 在不久的將來最終達到黃金的市值，那麼 DOGE 的評級為 3 美元。然而，Potts 認為，到明年，以狗為主題的 meme 硬幣可能會達到 10 美元。

His estimation is based on the market’s cyclical paradigm, where assets tend to breach their previous all-time high in the fourth year of each bull cycle.

他的估計是基於市場的周期性範式，即資產往往會在每個牛市週期的第四年突破之前的歷史高點。

Further analyzing his thesis, we observed that DOGE has already outperformed its third-year performance in the last two cycles. Specifically, DOGE surged by 72.37% in 2016 and recorded an uptick of 114.86% in 2020. Meanwhile, the asset has surged by a whopping 282.67% this year. In an accompanying chart, DOGE was highlighted as having the capacity to hit $80. According to Potts, DOGE could hit its $10 mark between February 11 and May 7, 2025.

進一步分析他的論文，我們發現 DOGE 在過去兩個週期中的表現已經超過了第三年的表現。其中，DOGE在2016年暴漲72.37%，2020年暴漲114.86%，今年更是暴漲282.67%。在隨附的圖表中，DOGE 被強調有能力達到 80 美元。 Potts 表示，DOGE 可能會在 2025 年 2 月 11 日至 5 月 7 日期間觸及 10 美元大關。

Lebicahlz, Kevin Capital, and Ali Martinez Join the Discussion

Lebicahlz、Kevin Capital 和 Ali Martinez 加入討論

Alluding to a similar position, renowned analyst Lebicahlz has also maintained that DOGE could hit $10 and proceed to touch the $20 level in 2025. This implies that the asset would surge by 4,900% from the current level. Based on an accompanying chart, this prediction could materialize between January 2025 and July.

著名分析師 Lebicahlz 也暗示了類似的立場，認為 DOGE 可能會觸及 10 美元，並在 2025 年繼續觸及 20 美元的水平。根據隨附的圖表，這項預測可能會在 2025 年 1 月至 7 月期間實現。

Commenting on the current bearish trend, analyst Kevin Capital highlighted that the dovish outlook of the Federal Reserve in 2025 and the decision of the Bank of Japan not to increase rates would mitigate the ongoing trend. According to Kevin Capital, the current market situation calls for more attention to macroeconomic indicators rather than overanalyzing charts. Meanwhile, Ali Martinez also expects DOGE to hit $23 by the end of the cycle.

在評論當前的看跌趨勢時，分析師 Kevin Capital 強調，聯準會 2025 年的鴿派前景以及日本央行不升息的決定將緩解當前的趨勢。凱文資本認為，當前的市場狀況需要更多關注宏觀經濟指標，而不是過度分析圖表。同時，Ali Martinez 也預計 DOGE 在周期結束時將達到 23 美元。

At press time, DOGE was trading at $0.31 after declining by 23% in the last seven days.

截至發稿時，DOGE 的交易價格為 0.31 美元，過去 7 天下跌了 23%。

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