DOGE价格分析：下降楔形突破可能标志着新的看涨周期的开始

Dogecoin（Doge）一直处于长时间的下降趋势中，在较高的时间范围内形成了下降的楔形图案。埃利奥特（Elliott）波数表明，随着价格达到密钥斐波那契回试水平，校正可能接近完成。

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been enchained in a prolonged downtrend, forming a triple apex pattern or a descending wedge on the higher time frame. As the price approaches the apex of this pattern and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the Elliott Wave count suggests that the correction may be drawing to a close.

Dogecoin（Doge）已被长时间的下降趋势束缚，在较高的时间范围内形成了三重顶点模式或下降楔形。随着价格接近此模式的顶点和0.786斐波那契反回的水平，Elliott Wave计数表明校正可能正在近距离。

A breakout from this pattern could be pivotal, setting the stage for a new bullish cycle.

这种模式的突破可能是关键的，为新的看涨周期奠定了基础。

As the final corrective wave appears to be completing on the lower time frame, we'll examine the critical support and resistance levels that could influence the direction of DOGE in the coming sessions.

由于最终的矫正波似乎在较低的时间范围内完成，我们将检查可能影响即将到来的课程的Doge方向的关键支持和阻力水平。

Dogecoin (DOGE) - 4 Hour Chart

Dogecoin（Doge）-4小时图表

From the 4-hour chart, we can observe a clear Elliott Wave structure. In December, the price completed a five-wave impulse to $0.48, followed by an ABCDE correction.

从4小时的图表中，我们可以观察到清晰的Elliott波结构。 12月，价格完成了五波冲动，至0.48美元，然后进行了ABCDE更正。

As the price reaches the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.171, known for being a strong reversal zone, the descending wedge formation also suggests a breakout if bullish momentum increases.

由于价格达到0.786斐波那契回回的水平为0.171美元，以强烈的逆转区而闻名，降楔形的趋势也表明，如果看涨势头增加，则会突破。

We can also see that Wave E appears to be completing, coinciding with the wedge’s lower boundary and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching oversold territory, setting the stage for a rebound.

我们还可以看到，波浪似乎正在完成，与楔形的下边界和相对强度指数（RSI）吻合，接近超卖领土，为反弹奠定了基础。

However, failure to maintain support above $0.171 could result in a deeper correction toward the $0.15 region.

但是，未能维持高于$ 0.171的支持可能会导致更深层次的纠正到0.15美元的地区。

If there is a breakout from the wedge, the first resistance to watch will be the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.240.

如果楔形物突破，则首先要观看的阻力是0.618斐波那契回收额为0.240美元。

A confirmed breakout above this level would indicate a potential trend reversal and could push the price toward the 0.5 retracement at $0.288, a key psychological level.

超过此水平的确认突破将表明潜在的趋势逆转，并可能将价格推向0.5 $ 0.288的0.288，这是一个关键的心理水平。

Dogecoin (DOGE) - 1 Hour Chart

Dogecoin（Doge） - 1小时图表

On the 1-hour chart, we can observe that the price appears to be completing wave (v) of wave C within the corrective structure.

在1小时的图表上，我们可以观察到价格似乎是在纠正结构内完成波C（V）。

A final move lower could bring the price slightly closer to retesting the wedge support before we see a potential bullish reversal.

在我们看到潜在的看涨逆转之前，最终的举动可能会使价格更接近重新测试。

Now, if the buyers fail to hold the $0.171 support, then we could see a deeper decline toward $0.150, invalidating the immediate bullish scenario.

现在，如果买家未能持有0.171美元的支持，那么我们可能会看到更深层次的下降到0.150美元，这使立即看涨的情况无效。

The RSI on the 1-hour chart is showing early signs of bullish divergence, suggesting that the sellers are losing momentum, which could be crucial for a reversal.

1小时图表上的RSI显示了看涨差异的早期迹象，这表明卖方失去了动力，这对于逆转可能至关重要。

If there is a breakout, then the bullish wave (v) target could extend beyond $0.240, possibly reaching $0.260 in an impulsive wave structure.

如果有突破，则看涨波浪（V）目标可能会超过$ 0.240，可能在冲动的波浪结构中达到0.260美元。

Key Takeaways

关键要点

Dogecoin (DOGE) is approaching a critical juncture, with the descending wedge pattern and key Fibonacci retracement levels suggesting a potential reversal in the higher time frame.

Dogecoin（Doge）正在接近关键关头，其下降楔形模式和钥匙斐济反回接头水平表明，在较高的时间范围内有潜在的逆转。

While the 4-hour chart suggests that the final wave of the correction is nearing completion, the 1-hour chart signals that a short-term move lower could still occur before a bullish breakout.

虽然4小时的图表表明，校正的最后一波接近完成，但1小时的图表信号表明短期移动仍然可能在看涨的突破之前发生。

If DOGE manages to hold above $0.171 and breaks out of the wedge, then the price could rise toward $0.240 in the intermediate term.

如果Doge设法持有高于0.171美元的$ 0.171并突破楔子，那么在中等学期，价格可能会升至0.240美元。

However, a breakdown below $0.150 would invalidate this bullish scenario and lead to further declines.

但是，低于$ 0.150的细分将使这种看涨的情况无效，并导致进一步下降。