DOGE價格分析：下降楔形突破可能標誌著新的看漲週期的開始

Dogecoin（Doge）一直處於長時間的下降趨勢中，在較高的時間範圍內形成了下降的楔形圖案。埃利奧特（Elliott）波數表明，隨著價格達到密鑰斐波那契回試水平，校正可能接近完成。

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been enchained in a prolonged downtrend, forming a triple apex pattern or a descending wedge on the higher time frame. As the price approaches the apex of this pattern and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the Elliott Wave count suggests that the correction may be drawing to a close.

Dogecoin（Doge）已被長時間的下降趨勢束縛，在較高的時間範圍內形成了三重頂點模式或下降楔形。隨著價格接近此模式的頂點和0.786斐波那契反回的水平，Elliott Wave計數表明校正可能正在近距離。

A breakout from this pattern could be pivotal, setting the stage for a new bullish cycle.

這種模式的突破可能是關鍵的，為新的看漲週期奠定了基礎。

As the final corrective wave appears to be completing on the lower time frame, we'll examine the critical support and resistance levels that could influence the direction of DOGE in the coming sessions.

由於最終的矯正波似乎在較低的時間範圍內完成，我們將檢查可能影響即將到來的課程的Doge方向的關鍵支持和阻力水平。

Dogecoin (DOGE) - 4 Hour Chart

Dogecoin（Doge）-4小時圖表

From the 4-hour chart, we can observe a clear Elliott Wave structure. In December, the price completed a five-wave impulse to $0.48, followed by an ABCDE correction.

從4小時的圖表中，我們可以觀察到清晰的Elliott波結構。 12月，價格完成了五波衝動，至0.48美元，然後進行了ABCDE更正。

As the price reaches the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.171, known for being a strong reversal zone, the descending wedge formation also suggests a breakout if bullish momentum increases.

由於價格達到0.786斐波那契回回的水平為0.171美元，以強烈的逆轉區而聞名，降楔形的趨勢也表明，如果看漲勢頭增加，則會突破。

We can also see that Wave E appears to be completing, coinciding with the wedge’s lower boundary and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching oversold territory, setting the stage for a rebound.

我們還可以看到，波浪似乎正在完成，與楔形的下邊界和相對強度指數（RSI）吻合，接近超賣領土，為反彈奠定了基礎。

However, failure to maintain support above $0.171 could result in a deeper correction toward the $0.15 region.

但是，未能維持高於$ 0.171的支持可能會導致更深層次的糾正到0.15美元的地區。

If there is a breakout from the wedge, the first resistance to watch will be the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.240.

如果楔形物突破，則首先要觀看的阻力是0.618斐波那契回收額為0.240美元。

A confirmed breakout above this level would indicate a potential trend reversal and could push the price toward the 0.5 retracement at $0.288, a key psychological level.

超過此水平的確認突破將表明潛在的趨勢逆轉，並可能將價格推向0.5 $ 0.288的0.288，這是一個關鍵的心理水平。

Dogecoin (DOGE) - 1 Hour Chart

Dogecoin（Doge） - 1小時圖表

On the 1-hour chart, we can observe that the price appears to be completing wave (v) of wave C within the corrective structure.

在1小時的圖表上，我們可以觀察到價格似乎是在糾正結構內完成波C（V）。

A final move lower could bring the price slightly closer to retesting the wedge support before we see a potential bullish reversal.

在我們看到潛在的看漲逆轉之前，最終的舉動可能會使價格更接近重新測試。

Now, if the buyers fail to hold the $0.171 support, then we could see a deeper decline toward $0.150, invalidating the immediate bullish scenario.

現在，如果買家未能持有0.171美元的支持，那麼我們可能會看到更深層次的下降到0.150美元，這使立即看漲的情況無效。

The RSI on the 1-hour chart is showing early signs of bullish divergence, suggesting that the sellers are losing momentum, which could be crucial for a reversal.

1小時圖表上的RSI顯示了看漲差異的早期跡象，這表明賣方失去了動力，這對於逆轉可能至關重要。

If there is a breakout, then the bullish wave (v) target could extend beyond $0.240, possibly reaching $0.260 in an impulsive wave structure.

如果有突破，則看漲波浪（V）目標可能會超過$ 0.240，可能在衝動的波浪結構中達到0.260美元。

Key Takeaways

關鍵要點

Dogecoin (DOGE) is approaching a critical juncture, with the descending wedge pattern and key Fibonacci retracement levels suggesting a potential reversal in the higher time frame.

Dogecoin（Doge）正在接近關鍵關頭，其下降楔形模式和鑰匙斐濟反回接頭水平表明，在較高的時間範圍內有潛在的逆轉。

While the 4-hour chart suggests that the final wave of the correction is nearing completion, the 1-hour chart signals that a short-term move lower could still occur before a bullish breakout.

雖然4小時的圖表表明，校正的最後一波接近完成，但1小時的圖表信號表明短期移動仍然可能在看漲的突破之前發生。

If DOGE manages to hold above $0.171 and breaks out of the wedge, then the price could rise toward $0.240 in the intermediate term.

如果Doge設法持有高於0.171美元的$ 0.171並突破楔子，那麼在中等學期，價格可能會升至0.240美元。

However, a breakdown below $0.150 would invalidate this bullish scenario and lead to further declines.

但是，低於$ 0.150的細分將使這種看漲的情況無效，並導致進一步下降。