Deribit 期权显示比特币相对于以太币的持续看涨前景

在唐纳德·特朗普总统在周一的就职演讲中省略任何加密货币提及之后，Deribit 上市的期权显示出比特币相对于以太币的持续看涨前景。

Deribit-listed options show a persistent bullish outlook for bitcoin relative to ether, following President Donald Trump's omission of any crypto mention in his inaugural speech on Monday.

在唐纳德·特朗普总统在周一的就职演讲中省略任何加密货币提及之后，Deribit 上市的期权显示出比特币相对于以太币的持续看涨前景。

As of noon Hong Kong Time, BTC call options, which offer a bullish exposure in the leading cryptocurrency, traded pricier than ETH calls across time frames, according to risk reversals tracked by Amberdata. Risk reversal measures the difference between implied volatility for calls relative to puts, with positive values signaling a bullish sentiment.

根据 Amberdata 追踪的风险逆转，截至香港时间中午，BTC 看涨期权在不同时间范围内的交易价格高于 ETH 看涨期权，BTC 看涨期权为领先的加密货币提供了看涨机会。风险逆转衡量看涨期权相对于看跌期权隐含波动率之间的差异，正值表明看涨情绪。

BTC's risk reversals show short-term and near-term calls trading at a four to five volatility points premium to puts. Meanwhile, ETH calls trade at a relatively lesser volatility premium to puts.

比特币的风险逆转显示，短期和近期看涨期权的交易价格比看跌期权高出四到五个波动点。与此同时，ETH 看涨期权交易的波动性溢价相对看跌期权要低。

In other words, the ether-bitcoin ratio is seen extending the downtrend. The ratio hit a three-year low of 0.03 early this week.

换句话说，以太币与比特币的比率被认为延续了下降趋势。该比率本周初触及三年低点 0.03。

The bias favoring BTC is particularly striking given that Trump did not mention the strategic bitcoin reserve on Monday, despite prior rumors suggesting he would.

鉴于特朗普周一没有提及比特币战略储备，尽管此前有传言称他会提及，因此对比特币的偏向尤其引人注目。

At the same time, a report showing GOP congressional priorities didn't include mentions of bitcoin or crypto.

与此同时，一份显示共和党国会优先事项的报告并未提及比特币或加密货币。

Traders on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket now see a 38% chance of Trump announcing a strategic BTC reserve in his first 100 days of presidency. That's down from nearly 50% a day ago.

去中心化博彩平台 Polymarket 上的交易员现在认为，特朗普在就任总统的头 100 天内宣布战略性 BTC 储备的可能性为 38%。这比一天前的近 50% 有所下降。