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加密貨幣新聞文章

Deribit 選擇權顯示比特幣相對於以太幣的持續看漲前景

2025/01/21 12:00

在唐納德·特朗普總統在周一的就職演講中省略任何加密貨幣提及之後,Deribit 上市的期權顯示出比特幣相對於以太幣的持續看漲前景。

Deribit 選擇權顯示比特幣相對於以太幣的持續看漲前景

Deribit-listed options show a persistent bullish outlook for bitcoin relative to ether, following President Donald Trump's omission of any crypto mention in his inaugural speech on Monday.

在唐納德·特朗普總統在周一的就職演講中省略任何加密貨幣提及之後,Deribit 上市的期權顯示出比特幣相對於以太幣的持續看漲前景。

As of noon Hong Kong Time, BTC call options, which offer a bullish exposure in the leading cryptocurrency, traded pricier than ETH calls across time frames, according to risk reversals tracked by Amberdata. Risk reversal measures the difference between implied volatility for calls relative to puts, with positive values signaling a bullish sentiment.

根據 Amberdata 追蹤的風險逆轉,截至香港時間中午,BTC 看漲期權在不同時間範圍內的交易價格高於 ETH 看漲期權,BTC 看漲期權為領先的加密貨幣提供了看漲機會。風險逆轉衡量買權相對於看跌期權隱含波動率之間的差異,正值表示看漲情緒。

BTC's risk reversals show short-term and near-term calls trading at a four to five volatility points premium to puts. Meanwhile, ETH calls trade at a relatively lesser volatility premium to puts.

比特幣的風險逆轉顯示,短期和近期看漲期權的交易價格比看跌期權高出四到五個波動點。同時,ETH 看漲期權交易的波動性溢價相對看跌期權要低。

In other words, the ether-bitcoin ratio is seen extending the downtrend. The ratio hit a three-year low of 0.03 early this week.

換句話說,以太幣與比特幣的比率被認為是延續了下降趨勢。該比率本周初觸及三年低點 0.03。

The bias favoring BTC is particularly striking given that Trump did not mention the strategic bitcoin reserve on Monday, despite prior rumors suggesting he would.

鑑於川普週一沒有提及比特幣戰略儲備,儘管先前有傳言稱他會提及,因此對比特幣的偏見尤其引人注目。

At the same time, a report showing GOP congressional priorities didn't include mentions of bitcoin or crypto.

同時,一份顯示共和黨國會優先事項的報告並未提及比特幣或加密貨幣。

Traders on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket now see a 38% chance of Trump announcing a strategic BTC reserve in his first 100 days of presidency. That's down from nearly 50% a day ago.

去中心化博彩平台 Polymarket 上的交易員現在認為,川普在就任總統的頭 100 天內宣布戰略性 BTC 儲備的可能性為 38%。這比一天前的近 50% 有所下降。

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