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加密货币市场普遍看跌情绪,比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 连续四天资金流出,比特币 (BTC) 测试 63,000 美元的支撑位。自周一以来资金外流总计 8.36 亿美元,对 BTC 价格造成压力,导致自本周初以来下跌 7.2%。尽管人们对年底创出新高持乐观态度,但摩根大通分析师预计,由于交易员因预期即将到来的减半而抛售,短期内可能出现下跌趋势。
Cryptocurrency Market Retreats as Bitcoin Retests Key Support
随着比特币重新测试关键支撑,加密货币市场回落
The cryptocurrency market is undergoing a period of correction, with Bitcoin (BTC) retreating to test crucial support levels. This pullback follows a prolonged rally that saw BTC surge to record highs earlier this month.
加密货币市场正在经历一段调整期,比特币(BTC)回落以测试关键支撑位。这次回调是在本月初比特币长期上涨并飙升至历史新高之后发生的。
Bearish Sentiment Returns
看跌情绪回归
Bears have regained some control in the market, driving Bitcoin's price down from the $68,000 mark it touched on Monday. The decline coincides with four consecutive days of outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), totaling a staggering $836 million.
空头重新获得了市场的部分控制权,推动比特币价格从周一触及的 68,000 美元大关回落。此次下跌恰逢现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)连续四天流出,资金总额达到惊人的 8.36 亿美元。
Outflows Fuel Price Drop
资金外流 燃料价格下跌
Grayscale's GBTC, the largest Bitcoin ETF, has led the outflows. Despite recent inflows into other ETFs, such as BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC, the overall net flow for Bitcoin ETFs has turned negative.
最大的比特币 ETF Grayscale 的 GBTC 引领了资金流出。尽管最近有资金流入其他 ETF,例如贝莱德的 IBIT 和富达的 FBTC,但比特币 ETF 的整体净流量已转为负值。
Analyst Opinions
分析师观点
Analysts at JPMorgan believe that while long-term optimism for Bitcoin remains high, short-term price weakness could persist. They attribute this to profit-taking ahead of the upcoming halving, an event that will reduce Bitcoin's supply.
摩根大通分析师认为,虽然比特币的长期乐观情绪仍然很高,但短期价格疲软可能会持续。他们将此归因于即将到来的减半之前的获利了结,这一事件将减少比特币的供应。
Overbought Conditions
超买情况
Experts note that the recent outflows have helped to alleviate overbought conditions in the market. Excessive optimism, driven by record inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, had fueled the narrative that BTC would hit $100,000 before the halving.
专家指出,近期的资金外流有助于缓解市场超买状况。比特币 ETF 创纪录的资金流入推动了过度乐观情绪,助长了 BTC 将在减半前触及 10 万美元的说法。
Healthy Correction
健康矫正
Experienced analysts view the current pullback as a healthy sign of market correction, allowing the market to cool down after a period of rapid appreciation. The rebound seen on Thursday indicates that the market is still resilient, despite the recent volatility.
经验丰富的分析师认为,当前的回调是市场调整的健康迹象,使市场在经历了一段时间的快速升值后降温。周四的反弹表明,尽管近期出现波动,但市场仍然具有弹性。
Mixed Fundamentals
混合基础知识
The market's fundamentals remain a mixed bag. News of the SEC investigating Ethereum has raised some concerns, while Blackrock's launch of a tokenized fund on Ethereum could provide a boost to the broader crypto ecosystem.
市场基本面仍然好坏参半。美国证券交易委员会调查以太坊的消息引起了一些担忧,而贝莱德在以太坊上推出代币化基金可能会推动更广泛的加密生态系统。
Post-Halving Optimism
减半后的乐观情绪
Despite the near-term uncertainty, a consensus has emerged that Bitcoin's price is likely to rise post-halving. Bernstein has raised its end-of-year BTC price forecast from $80,000 to $90,000, reflecting optimism about the asset's long-term prospects.
尽管近期存在不确定性,但人们一致认为,比特币价格可能会在减半后上涨。 Bernstein 将年底 BTC 价格预测从 80,000 美元上调至 90,000 美元,反映出对该资产长期前景的乐观态度。
Market Dynamics
市场动态
The recent volatility has flushed out leveraged positions, leading to liquidations of both bulls and bears. This has helped to reduce the market's froth and improve overall stability.
最近的波动已经冲掉了杠杆头寸,导致多头和空头都被清算。这有助于减少市场泡沫并提高整体稳定性。
Conclusion
结论
The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a period of correction as Bitcoin retests key support levels. While bearish sentiment has temporarily prevailed, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential. The post-halving dynamics and the broader adoption of cryptocurrencies are expected to continue to drive the market forward. However, investors should be prepared for continued volatility in the near term.
随着比特币重新测试关键支撑位,加密货币市场目前正在经历一段调整期。尽管看跌情绪暂时盛行,但分析师仍对比特币的长期潜力持乐观态度。减半后的动态和加密货币的更广泛采用预计将继续推动市场向前发展。不过,投资者应做好短期内持续波动的准备。
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