2025年不是预期的最加密货币市场参与者的一年

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统的关税制度所震撼的史无前例的宏观经济状况，资产价格不仅没有脱颖而出，而且从最近的高点撤退。

The year 2025 has so far brought forth a tapestry of economic occurrences that have diverged from the narrative anticipated by most cryptocurrency market participants.

到目前为止，2025年已经提出了一系列经济事件，这与大多数加密货币市场参与者所期望的叙述不同。

As the shadow of President Donald Trump’s tariff regime fell heavily on the macroeconomic stage, asset prices have not only floundered in their attempts to take off but have also undergone a substantial retreat from the recent highs that had briefly touched the astronomical.

随着总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的关税政权在宏观经济阶段的严重下降，资产价格不仅在他们试图起飞的尝试中挣扎，而且还从最近触动了天文学的近期高点进行了实质性的撤退。

While one might expect the current market uncertainty to give cryptocurrency bulls pause for thought and a moment of reflection on their optimistic outlooks, many are brushing it off with a shrug and a wave of their hand.

尽管人们可能期望当前的市场不确定性会让加密货币公牛停下来思考，并对他们乐观的前景进行反映时刻，但许多人耸了耸肩和一波浪潮。

The latest to join this chorus of unfazed crypto bulls is Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, known for his outspoken nature and bold predictions within the cryptocurrency sphere.

加入这一无忧加密公牛合唱的最新是Cardano创始人查尔斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson），他以其直言不讳的天性和加密货币领域的大胆预测而闻名。

Despite the tariff-induced turbulence that has battered the market and left many investors nursing their wounds, Hoskinson remains unperturbed in his belief that Bitcoin will continue its march towards new highs.

尽管关税引起的动荡袭击了市场，并留下了许多投资者护理伤口，但霍斯金森仍然对自己的信念保持不受干扰，因为他相信比特币将继续前进到新的高点。

In fact, the renowned crypto founder expressed his conviction that Bitcoin is en route to reaching a staggering record price of $250,000 “by the end of this year or next year.”

实际上，这家著名的加密创始人表示，他坚信比特币在“今年年底或明年年底”达到250,000美元的惊人创纪录价格。

His comments, which might seem surprising given the pessimistic tone adopted by many experts on Trump’s tariff regime, were shared during an interview on CNBC’s “Beyond The Valley” podcast on Tuesday.

鉴于许多专家在特朗普的关税政权上采用了悲观的基调，他的评论似乎令人惊讶，在周二在CNBC的“超越山谷”播客上进行了采访时分享了他的评论。

"What will happen is that the tariff stuff will be a dud, and that people will realize that the world is willing to negotiate, and it’s really just U.S. versus China. And a lot of people will side with us. Some people side with China," said Hoskinson.

霍斯金森说：“发生的事情是，关税的东西将是一个愚蠢的事情，人们会意识到世界愿意谈判，这实际上只是我们与中国的对抗。很多人都会与我们相处。有些人与中国相伴。”

"The markets will stabilize a little bit, and they’ll get used to the new normal, and then the Fedeserve will lower interest rates, and then you’ll have a lot of fast, cheap money, and then it’ll pour into crypto."

“市场将有所稳定，他们会习惯新的普通状态，然后Fedeserve将降低利率，然后您将拥有很多快速，便宜的钱，然后它将倒入加密货币。”

These statements by Hoskinson carry some weight as Trump decided to pause his so-called “reciprocal tariffs” on all countries except China on Wednesday, although many experts argue that the worst is yet to come.

当特朗普决定在周三除中国以外的所有国家 /地区暂停他所谓的“相互关税”时，霍斯金森的这些声明具有一定的重视，尽管许多专家认为最糟糕的情况尚未到来。

However, setting aside the tariff concerns, Hoskinson highlighted three main factors that will drive Bitcoin towards his $250,000 price target.

但是，搁置关税问题，霍斯金森强调了三个主要因素，这些因素将把比特币朝着他的25万美元目标目标迈进。

The first factor cited by the Cardano founder is a rise in the number of cryptocurrency users. A February report by Crypto.com showed that cryptocurrency holders grew to 659 million in 2024, an increase of 13% from the previous year.

Cardano创始人引用的第一个因素是加密货币用户的数量增加。 Crypto.com的2月份报告显示，加密货币持有人在2024年增至6.59亿，比上一年增长了13％。

Secondly, Hoskinson expects global businesses to have no choice but to turn to crypto amid an anticipated breakdown of the geopolitical order, citing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s advances on Taiwan as markers of this shift.

其次，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）希望全球企业别无选择，只能在预计地缘政治秩序的细分中转向加密货币，理由是俄罗斯入侵乌克兰和中国对台湾的进步是这一转变的标志。

The third catalyst cited by Hoskinson is the anticipated cryptocurrency regulatory clarity in the U.S., as there is pressure from Trump to get this done, with lawmakers pursuing stablecoin and market structure legislation.

霍斯金森（Hoskinson）引用的第三个催化剂是美国预期的加密货币调节性清晰度，因为特朗普（Trump）承受着这项工作的压力，立法者追求Stablecoin和市场结构立法。

He argued that these regulations, which are expected by the end of the year, will trigger crypto’s next leg up, especially as he believes that stablecoin rules, in particular, will lead the Magnificent Seven to jump into the cryptocurrency space. The Magnificent Seven refers to high-performing and influential companies in the U.S. stock market, including Alphabet, Apple, and Tesla.

他认为，这些法规将在今年年底到年底触发加密货币的下一条腿，尤其是因为他认为，特别是Stablecoin规则，尤其是将带领宏伟的七人进入加密货币领域。宏伟的七个是指美国股票市场的高性能和有影响力的公司，包括Alphabet，Apple和Tesla。

Hoskinson contends that these Magnificent 7 will use stablecoins for everything from the payment of salaries to international staff to facilitating small transactions on their platform that would otherwise prove too costly on traditional payment rails.

霍斯金森（Hoskinson）辩称，这些宏伟的7将使用Stablecoins用于从支付薪水到国际员工的所有方面，再到促进其平台上的小型交易，否则这些交易在传统的支付轨道上却太昂贵了。

However, until these anticipated regulations kick in, Hoskinson expects the cryptocurrency market to idle in a three to five-month window before the next major impulse.

但是，在这些预期的法规开始之前，霍斯金森预计加密货币市场将在下一个主要冲动之前的三到五个月的窗口中闲置。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading just below $79,000. It will need to surge by over 200% to reach Hoskinson’s target of $250,000.

在撰写本文时，比特币的交易略低于$ 79,000。要达到霍斯金森的25万美元目标，它将需要增加200％以上。