2025年不是預期的最加密貨幣市場參與者的一年

唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統的關稅制度所震撼的史無前例的宏觀經濟狀況，資產價格不僅沒有脫穎而出，而且從最近的高點撤退。

The year 2025 has so far brought forth a tapestry of economic occurrences that have diverged from the narrative anticipated by most cryptocurrency market participants.

到目前為止，2025年已經提出了一系列經濟事件，這與大多數加密貨幣市場參與者所期望的敘述不同。

As the shadow of President Donald Trump’s tariff regime fell heavily on the macroeconomic stage, asset prices have not only floundered in their attempts to take off but have also undergone a substantial retreat from the recent highs that had briefly touched the astronomical.

隨著總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的關稅政權在宏觀經濟階段的嚴重下降，資產價格不僅在他們試圖起飛的嘗試中掙扎，而且還從最近觸動了天文學的近期高點進行了實質性的撤退。

While one might expect the current market uncertainty to give cryptocurrency bulls pause for thought and a moment of reflection on their optimistic outlooks, many are brushing it off with a shrug and a wave of their hand.

儘管人們可能期望當前的市場不確定性會讓加密貨幣公牛停下來思考，並對他們樂觀的前景進行反映時刻，但許多人聳了聳肩和一波浪潮。

The latest to join this chorus of unfazed crypto bulls is Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, known for his outspoken nature and bold predictions within the cryptocurrency sphere.

加入這一無憂加密公牛合唱的最新是Cardano創始人查爾斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson），他以其直言不諱的天性和加密貨幣領域的大膽預測而聞名。

Despite the tariff-induced turbulence that has battered the market and left many investors nursing their wounds, Hoskinson remains unperturbed in his belief that Bitcoin will continue its march towards new highs.

儘管關稅引起的動盪襲擊了市場，並留下了許多投資者護理傷口，但霍斯金森仍然對自己的信念保持不受干擾，因為他相信比特幣將繼續前進到新的高點。

In fact, the renowned crypto founder expressed his conviction that Bitcoin is en route to reaching a staggering record price of $250,000 “by the end of this year or next year.”

實際上，這家著名的加密創始人表示，他堅信比特幣在“今年年底或明年年底”達到250,000美元的驚人創紀錄價格。

His comments, which might seem surprising given the pessimistic tone adopted by many experts on Trump’s tariff regime, were shared during an interview on CNBC’s “Beyond The Valley” podcast on Tuesday.

鑑於許多專家在特朗普的關稅政權上採用了悲觀的基調，他的評論似乎令人驚訝，在周二在CNBC的“超越山谷”播客上進行了採訪時分享了他的評論。

"What will happen is that the tariff stuff will be a dud, and that people will realize that the world is willing to negotiate, and it’s really just U.S. versus China. And a lot of people will side with us. Some people side with China," said Hoskinson.

霍斯金森說：“發生的事情是，關稅的東西將是一個愚蠢的事情，人們會意識到世界願意談判，這實際上只是我們與中國的對抗。很多人都會與我們相處。有些人與中國相伴。”

"The markets will stabilize a little bit, and they’ll get used to the new normal, and then the Fedeserve will lower interest rates, and then you’ll have a lot of fast, cheap money, and then it’ll pour into crypto."

“市場將有所穩定，他們會習慣新的普通狀態，然後Fedeserve將降低利率，然後您將擁有很多快速，便宜的錢，然後它將倒入加密貨幣。”

These statements by Hoskinson carry some weight as Trump decided to pause his so-called “reciprocal tariffs” on all countries except China on Wednesday, although many experts argue that the worst is yet to come.

當特朗普決定在周三除中國以外的所有國家 /地區暫停他所謂的“相互關稅”時，霍斯金森的這些聲明具有一定的重視，儘管許多專家認為最糟糕的情況尚未到來。

However, setting aside the tariff concerns, Hoskinson highlighted three main factors that will drive Bitcoin towards his $250,000 price target.

但是，擱置關稅問題，霍斯金森強調了三個主要因素，這些因素將把比特幣朝著他的25萬美元目標目標邁進。

The first factor cited by the Cardano founder is a rise in the number of cryptocurrency users. A February report by Crypto.com showed that cryptocurrency holders grew to 659 million in 2024, an increase of 13% from the previous year.

Cardano創始人引用的第一個因素是加密貨幣用戶的數量增加。 Crypto.com的2月份報告顯示，加密貨幣持有人在2024年增至6.59億，比上一年增長了13％。

Secondly, Hoskinson expects global businesses to have no choice but to turn to crypto amid an anticipated breakdown of the geopolitical order, citing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s advances on Taiwan as markers of this shift.

其次，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）希望全球企業別無選擇，只能在預計地緣政治秩序的細分中轉向加密貨幣，理由是俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭和中國對台灣的進步是這一轉變的標誌。

The third catalyst cited by Hoskinson is the anticipated cryptocurrency regulatory clarity in the U.S., as there is pressure from Trump to get this done, with lawmakers pursuing stablecoin and market structure legislation.

霍斯金森（Hoskinson）引用的第三個催化劑是美國預期的加密貨幣調節性清晰度，因為特朗普（Trump）承受著這項工作的壓力，立法者追求Stablecoin和市場結構立法。

He argued that these regulations, which are expected by the end of the year, will trigger crypto’s next leg up, especially as he believes that stablecoin rules, in particular, will lead the Magnificent Seven to jump into the cryptocurrency space. The Magnificent Seven refers to high-performing and influential companies in the U.S. stock market, including Alphabet, Apple, and Tesla.

他認為，這些法規將在今年年底到年底觸發加密貨幣的下一條腿，尤其是因為他認為，特別是Stablecoin規則，尤其是將帶領宏偉的七人進入加密貨幣領域。宏偉的七個是指美國股票市場的高性能和有影響力的公司，包括Alphabet，Apple和Tesla。

Hoskinson contends that these Magnificent 7 will use stablecoins for everything from the payment of salaries to international staff to facilitating small transactions on their platform that would otherwise prove too costly on traditional payment rails.

霍斯金森（Hoskinson）辯稱，這些宏偉的7將使用Stablecoins用於從支付薪水到國際員工的所有方面，再到促進其平台上的小型交易，否則這些交易在傳統的支付軌道上卻太昂貴了。

However, until these anticipated regulations kick in, Hoskinson expects the cryptocurrency market to idle in a three to five-month window before the next major impulse.

但是，在這些預期的法規開始之前，霍斯金森預計加密貨幣市場將在下一個主要衝動之前的三到五個月的窗口中閒置。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading just below $79,000. It will need to surge by over 200% to reach Hoskinson’s target of $250,000.

在撰寫本文時，比特幣的交易略低於$ 79,000。要達到霍斯金森的25萬美元目標，它將需要增加200％以上。