加密货币市场可能会在未来两个月内达到其最低点

加密货币市场可能会在未来两个月内达到其最低点，六月之前发生了70％的机会

The cryptocurrency market could hit its lowest point within the next two months, with a 70% chance of this happening before June, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at Nansen.

Nansen的首席研究分析师Aurelie Barthere表示，加密货币市场可能会在接下来的两个月内达到其最低点，有70％的机会发生在6月之前。

The timing depends heavily on the outcome of ongoing global tariff negotiations, which are affecting investor sentiment and market direction.

时间安排在很大程度上取决于正在进行的全球关税谈判的结果，这些谈判影响了投资者的情绪和市场方向。

One key factor to watch is the decision by U.S. President Donald Trump to impose reciprocal import tariffs on goods from other countries.

要注意的一个关键因素是美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）决定对其他国家的商品征收相互的进口关税。

Trump’s administration announced these measures on April 2, aiming to address a $1.2 trillion trade deficit and boost manufacturing in the U.S.

特朗普政府于4月2日宣布了这些措施，旨在解决1.2万亿美元的贸易赤字并促进美国的制造业

These tariffs are creating uncertainty across financial markets, as experts are watching closely for the impact of this decision.

这些关税正在跨金融市场造成不确定性，因为专家们正在密切关注这一决定的影响。

According to Barthere, the mood of the ongoing trade discussions will play a crucial role in determining when the crypto market finds its bottom.

根据巴特雷（Barthere）的说法，正在进行的贸易讨论的情绪将在确定加密货币市场何时发现其最低点方面发挥至关重要的作用。

"We estimate a 70% chance that crypto prices will reach their lowest point between now and June," she stated.

她说：“我们估计，从现在到六月之间，加密价格将达到其最低点的机会70％。”

Bitcoin and Ethereum are both currently trading 15% and 22% below their highs for the year, respectively.

比特币和以太坊目前的交易分别低于当年的最高点15％和22％。

Both digital and traditional markets remain relatively flat, and investors are being cautious.

数字和传统市场都保持相对平坦，投资者谨慎。

Bitcoin has been consolidating between $82,000 and $85,000, showing limited movement after a period of recalibration during the first quarter.

比特币的合并在82,000美元至85,000美元之间，在第一季度重新校准后的移动有限。

Traders are looking for a breakout above $84,500, which would signal more positive momentum. Support for Bitcoin is seen at the $82,000 mark, while some analysts are eyeing a potential rise to $86,500 and even $90,000 if sentiment shifts positively.

贸易商正在寻找超过84,500美元以上的突破，这将表明更积极的势头。对比特币的支持为82,000美元，而某些分析师则将潜在的上升到86,500美元，如果情绪呈积极变化，则可能会增加90,000美元。

Despite the market's caution, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has remained above the “extreme fear” mark for the third consecutive session.

尽管市场的谨慎，但加密恐惧和贪婪指数仍在连续第三次会议的“极端恐惧”标记之上。

This suggests that, while there is some improvement in sentiment, investors are still hesitant to take on large positions in an uncertain environment.

这表明，尽管情绪有所改善，但投资者仍然犹豫要在不确定的环境中担任大量职位。

As a result, many are choosing to adopt a “wait and see” approach, holding off on significant investments until the outlook becomes clearer.

结果，许多人选择采用“等待和看到”方法，坚持重大投资，直到前景变得更加清晰。

The interconnectedness of traditional markets and cryptocurrencies is evident as both sectors navigate the implications of global economic uncertainty.

由于两个部门都涉及全球经济不确定性的含义，传统市场和加密货币的相互联系是显而易见的。

Investors are hoping for a resolution to the U.S. tariff talks, which could provide much-needed clarity for the markets.

投资者希望对美国关税会谈做出解决，这可以为市场提供急需的清晰度。

According to Barthere, once the hardest part of these talks is over, the crypto market could finally see a clearer path to recovery, signaling a potential bottom for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

根据巴特雷（Barthere）的说法，一旦这些谈判的最难部分结束了，加密货币市场最终可能会看到更清晰的恢复途径，这标志着比特币和以太坊等加密货币的潜在底层。