加密貨幣市場可能會在未來兩個月內達到其最低點

加密貨幣市場可能會在未來兩個月內達到其最低點，六月之前發生了70％的機會

The cryptocurrency market could hit its lowest point within the next two months, with a 70% chance of this happening before June, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at Nansen.

Nansen的首席研究分析師Aurelie Barthere表示，加密貨幣市場可能會在接下來的兩個月內達到其最低點，有70％的機會發生在6月之前。

The timing depends heavily on the outcome of ongoing global tariff negotiations, which are affecting investor sentiment and market direction.

時間安排在很大程度上取決於正在進行的全球關稅談判的結果，這些談判影響了投資者的情緒和市場方向。

One key factor to watch is the decision by U.S. President Donald Trump to impose reciprocal import tariffs on goods from other countries.

要注意的一個關鍵因素是美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）決定對其他國家的商品徵收相互的進口關稅。

Trump’s administration announced these measures on April 2, aiming to address a $1.2 trillion trade deficit and boost manufacturing in the U.S.

特朗普政府於4月2日宣布了這些措施，旨在解決1.2萬億美元的貿易赤字並促進美國的製造業

These tariffs are creating uncertainty across financial markets, as experts are watching closely for the impact of this decision.

這些關稅正在跨金融市場造成不確定性，因為專家們正在密切關注這一決定的影響。

According to Barthere, the mood of the ongoing trade discussions will play a crucial role in determining when the crypto market finds its bottom.

根據巴特雷（Barthere）的說法，正在進行的貿易討論的情緒將在確定加密貨幣市場何時發現其最低點方面發揮至關重要的作用。

"We estimate a 70% chance that crypto prices will reach their lowest point between now and June," she stated.

她說：“我們估計，從現在到六月之間，加密價格將達到其最低點的機會70％。”

Bitcoin and Ethereum are both currently trading 15% and 22% below their highs for the year, respectively.

比特幣和以太坊目前的交易分別低於當年的最高點15％和22％。

Both digital and traditional markets remain relatively flat, and investors are being cautious.

數字和傳統市場都保持相對平坦，投資者謹慎。

Bitcoin has been consolidating between $82,000 and $85,000, showing limited movement after a period of recalibration during the first quarter.

比特幣的合併在82,000美元至85,000美元之間，在第一季度重新校准後的移動有限。

Traders are looking for a breakout above $84,500, which would signal more positive momentum. Support for Bitcoin is seen at the $82,000 mark, while some analysts are eyeing a potential rise to $86,500 and even $90,000 if sentiment shifts positively.

貿易商正在尋找超過84,500美元以上的突破，這將表明更積極的勢頭。對比特幣的支持為82,000美元，而某些分析師則將潛在的上升到86,500美元，如果情緒呈積極變化，則可能會增加90,000美元。

Despite the market's caution, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has remained above the “extreme fear” mark for the third consecutive session.

儘管市場的謹慎，但加密恐懼和貪婪指數仍在連續第三次會議的“極端恐懼”標記之上。

This suggests that, while there is some improvement in sentiment, investors are still hesitant to take on large positions in an uncertain environment.

這表明，儘管情緒有所改善，但投資者仍然猶豫要在不確定的環境中擔任大量職位。

As a result, many are choosing to adopt a “wait and see” approach, holding off on significant investments until the outlook becomes clearer.

結果，許多人選擇採用“等待和看到”方法，堅持重大投資，直到前景變得更加清晰。

The interconnectedness of traditional markets and cryptocurrencies is evident as both sectors navigate the implications of global economic uncertainty.

由於兩個部門都涉及全球經濟不確定性的含義，傳統市場和加密貨幣的相互聯繫是顯而易見的。

Investors are hoping for a resolution to the U.S. tariff talks, which could provide much-needed clarity for the markets.

投資者希望對美國關稅會談做出解決，這可以為市場提供急需的清晰度。

According to Barthere, once the hardest part of these talks is over, the crypto market could finally see a clearer path to recovery, signaling a potential bottom for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

根據巴特雷（Barthere）的說法，一旦這些談判的最難部分結束了，加密貨幣市場最終可能會看到更清晰的恢復途徑，這標誌著比特幣和以太坊等加密貨幣的潛在底層。