当美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）计划在4月2日宣布他的“解放日”宣布他的“解放日”时，加密货币市场一直保持在强烈监视之下。

在这几天，随着交易者在做出决定之前选择观察，比特币市场表现出限制的定价转变。

The crypto market stays under intense watch because of macroeconomic uncertainty as U.S. President Donald Trump plans to announce his “Liberation Day” pronouncement on April 2. The tariff announcement set for this Wednesday has put Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies into an anxious conservation state.

由于宏观经济的不确定性，加密货币市场一直保持在强烈的监视下，因为美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）计划在4月2日宣布他的“解放日”声明。本周三的关税宣布将比特币（BTC）和其他加密货币置于焦虑的保护状态。

Market participants maintain a defensive stance as prices become volatile while public sentiment remains unstable before the upcoming announcement, which could cause prices to move dramatically.

市场参与者随着价格波动而保持防御立场，而在即将发布的公告之前，公众的情绪仍然不稳定，这可能会导致价格急剧上涨。

Traders are in a wait-and-see mode as the details of the tariffs have yet to be disclosed, said Presto Research Analyst Min Jung.

Presto Research分析师Min Jung说，由于关税的细节尚未披露，贸易商处于等待状态。

The Bitcoin market shows slight pricing shifts during these days as traders prefer to observe before making decisions. Market actors are aware that Trump’s tariff announcement during Q1 will generate extensive results because of recent economic and policy changes resulting in market instability.

在这些日子里，比特币市场显示出略有定价变化，因为交易者在做出决策之前希望观察到。市场参与者知道，由于最近的经济和政策变化导致市场不稳定，特朗普在第一季度期间的关税公告将产生广泛的结果。

The market shows a guarded attitude as trading activities and currency price tiers remain minimized across primary crypto assets. Since market participants maintain neutrality about the upcoming statement, Bitcoin remains confined to a price bracket from $80,000 to $84,000. The cryptocurrency market shows no signs of movement as participants withhold their capital and display limited trading activity among altcoins.

市场表现出一种警惕的态度，因为在主要加密资产中，交易活动和货币价格层仍然最小化。由于市场参与者对即将发表的声明保持中立性，因此比特币仍然局限于80,000美元至84,000美元。加密货币市场没有任何运动迹象，因为参与者扣留其资本并显示出有限的山寨币交易活动。

Image 1- Provided by Emmaculate, published on TradingView, April 1, 2025.

图像1-由Emmaculate提供，于2025年4月1日在TradingView上发布。

Market analysts attribute this slight period of consolidation to overall market ambiguity. Market players remain skeptical about their investment strategy because they need precise information on the details of the implemented tariff.

市场分析师将这一轻微的合并时期归因于整体市场歧义。市场参与者仍然对他们的投资策略持怀疑态度，因为他们需要有关实施关税细节的精确信息。

The market response to the announced tariffs will determine the outcome for cryptocurrencies because a protectionist language will drive them down, while diplomatic messages will result in an upward trend.

市场对宣布的关税的反应将决定加密货币的结果，因为贸易保护主义的语言会推动它们降低，而外交信息将导致上升趋势。

Trump’s Tariff and Bitcoin: The Macro Link

特朗普的关税和比特币：宏观链接

Geopolitical disagreements and economic policy adjustments have consistently affected Bitcoin throughout history. Bitcoin receives conflicting reactions toward economic nationalism through tariffs despite its reputation as an inflation hedge and monetary policy protector. Market reactions to higher tariffs include investors moving funds to established safe assets such as gold and dollars, resulting in cryptocurrencies maintaining lower prices.

地缘政治分歧和经济政策的调整一直影响比特币。比特币通过关税作为通货膨胀对冲和货币政策保护者的声誉而对经济民族主义产生了冲突的反应。市场对较高关税的反应包括投资者将资金转移到已建立的安全资产，例如黄金和美元，从而导致加密货币维持较低的价格。

The Bitcoin price outlook becomes more complex as time passes. A weakening dollar and rising inflation may favor Bitcoin, as investors may view it as an attractive alternative store of value. Market perception of policy effectiveness, along with the entire economic response and central bank actions, will determine the future course of this narrative. Initially, everyone anticipated Trump’s positive crypto approach would lead to rapid outcomes, but according to Enmanuel Cardozo, the market analysis expert at Brickken, ‘’policies require time to be deployed.’’

随着时间的流逝，比特币价格前景变得更加复杂。疲软的美元和通货膨胀率上升可能会有利于比特币，因为投资者可能将其视为有吸引力的价值存储。市场对政策有效性的看法以及整个经济响应和中央银行的行动将决定这种叙述的未来过程。最初，每个人都期望特朗普的积极加密方法将导致快速成果，但是根据布里克肯市场分析专家恩曼纽尔·卡多佐（Enmanuel Cardozo）的说法，“政策要求部署时间。”

Global financial instability and market speculation regarding the future presidential victory affected sentiment concerning risk tolerance and politicians’ campaign benefits. According to Cardozo, ‘’there is a strong possibility of market recovery in the second quarter since the Federal Reserve plans to lower interest rates next quarter, and Trump’s team will implement concrete pro-crypto policies.’’

关于未来总统胜利的全球金融不稳定和市场投机，影响了有关风险承受能力和政客竞选福利的情绪。据卡多佐（Cardozo）称，“自联邦储备计划下一季度降低利率以来，第二季度有很大的市场回收，而特朗普的团队将实施具体的亲克莱托普政策。”

The analyst has added that the rising interest of institutions represents a potential growth catalyst for the market momentum. If the resistance level of $88,668 is successfully broken, the price of Bitcoin might rebound to $100,000.

该分析师补充说，机构的利益不断上升代表了市场动力的潜在增长催化剂。如果成功损失了88,668美元的电阻水平，则比特币的价格可能会反弹至100,000美元。

Scenarios to Watch: Market Outcomes After Liberation Day

观看的场景：解放日后的市场结果

Traders in the crypto market analyze various potential situations due to Trump’s unpredictable policy statements. In this case, trade restrictions focus only on select industry segments and trading regions. A decrease in market-caused anxieties would follow a risk asset rally that could push Bitcoin toward reclaiming the $85,000 level.

由于特朗普的不可预测的政策声明，加密货币市场中的贸易商分析了各种潜在情况。在这种情况下，贸易限制仅关注精选行业领域和贸易区域。市场引起的焦虑的减少将遵循风险资产集会，这可能会推动比特币恢复85,000美元的水平。

Technical Bitcoin levels have become the main focus for traders to watch. The price falling beneath the $80,000 support area threatens to initiate a substantial price drop towards $76,000. With macroeconomic conditions favoring risk-on investments, Bitcoin’s renewed bull formation should start above $84,000.

技术比特币水平已成为交易者观看的主要重点。价格下方的价格下降了80,000美元的支持区，威胁要启动大幅下跌至76,000美元。由于有利于风险投资的宏观经济条件，比特币的新牛形成应从84,000美元以上开始。