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加密货币新闻

加密货币市场复苏:风险情绪推动反弹,技术面预示进一步上涨

2024/04/22 19:27

4 月 22 日,受比特币和以太币上涨的推动,加密货币市场飙升。此次上涨恰逢传统市场风险偏好重新抬头,因为投资者关注即将发布的企业盈利报告。比特币 ETF 的积极流入和加密货币衍生品活动的增加表明投资者信心不断增强。技术分析表明看涨趋势线,上行目标为 3.25 万亿美元,受到 RSI 接近上升趋势线和心理支撑位的支撑。

加密货币市场复苏:风险情绪推动反弹,技术面预示进一步上涨

The Resurgence of Cryptocurrency Market: Risk-On Sentiment Prevails, Driving Gains

加密货币市场复苏:风险情绪盛行,推动收益

April 22, 2023: The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a resurgence in bullish sentiment, with the total market capitalization surging by 2.65% over the past 24 hours to reach $2.38 trillion. This upward trajectory has been spearheaded by the two leading cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), which have experienced notable gains of 2.40% and 2.80%, respectively.

2023 年 4 月 22 日:加密货币市场看涨情绪复苏,总市值在过去 24 小时内飙升 2.65%,达到 2.38 万亿美元。这种上升轨迹是由两种领先的加密货币比特币 (BTC) 和以太币 (ETH) 引领的,它们分别经历了 2.40% 和 2.80% 的显着涨幅。

Return of Risk-On Mood

风险情绪回归

The cryptocurrency market's gains today align with the return of risk-on sentiment that has swept across traditional markets. The S&P 500 futures, a barometer of investor sentiment, has advanced by 0.33% to 5,031 points, signaling a shift away from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and towards the upcoming release of corporate earnings, including those from tech giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet.

今天加密货币市场的上涨与席卷传统市场的风险偏好情绪的回归一致。作为投资者情绪晴雨表的标普 500 指数期货上涨 0.33%,至 5,031 点,表明中东地缘政治紧张局势升级,转向即将发布的企业财报,其中包括微软、Meta 等科技巨头的财报。和字母表。

A Bloomberg's Markets Live Pulse survey has revealed that nearly two-thirds of the 409 respondents believe that corporate earnings will boost the U.S. equity benchmark, representing the highest confidence in corporate profits since the inception of the survey in October 2022. This positive outlook on the S&P 500 has extended its influence to the cryptocurrency market, supported by the rise in their 30-day average correlation to 0.82, the highest positive correlation in a month.

彭博社的 Markets Live Pulse 调查显示,409 名受访者中近三分之二认为企业盈利将提振美国股市基准,这是自 2022 年 10 月开展调查以来对企业盈利的最高信心。标准普尔 500 指数的影响力已扩大到加密货币市场,其 30 天平均相关性升至 0.82,为一个月内最高正相关性。

Interestingly, the Bitcoin-S&P 500 correlation has strengthened since Iran's missile and drone attacks on Israel on April 13, which initially dampened investor sentiment.

有趣的是,自 4 月 13 日伊朗对以色列发动导弹和无人机袭击以来,比特币与标准普尔 500 指数的相关性有所加强,这最初打击了投资者的情绪。

Positive Bitcoin ETF Net Inflows

比特币 ETF 净流入正

The crypto market's gains today are part of a larger recovery that initiated when net inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) turned positive after experiencing significant outflows. On April 19, these funds collectively received approximately $60 million, marking the first positive daily net flow after encountering outflows totaling $319 million over the preceding seven days. Since then, the crypto market capitalization has rebounded by roughly 14%.

今天加密货币市场的上涨是更大复苏的一部分,这种复苏是在经历大量资金流出后,现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的净流入转为正值时开始的。 4 月 19 日,这些基金总共收到约 6000 万美元,这是在前 7 天遭遇总计 3.19 亿美元的资金流出后首次出现日净流量正值。此后,加密货币市值已反弹约 14%。

Positive net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs during periods of price decline indicate that investors remain confident in future gains, utilizing the downturn as an opportunity to accumulate assets at lower prices with the expectation of market recovery.

在价格下跌期间,比特币 ETF 出现净流入,表明投资者对未来收益仍充满信心,并利用经济低迷期作为机会,以较低价格积累资产,并期待市场复苏。

Increasing Activity across Crypto Derivatives

加密货币衍生品的活动增加

The crypto market's gains today coincide with a surge in trading activity within the derivatives market. The market's open interest (OI) in options and futures markets has increased by 1.84% and 1.19% in the past 24 hours, demonstrating growing speculation among retail investors. Institutional investors have also exhibited similar sentiment, with CME's Bitcoin Futures OI rising by 1.70% during the same period.

今天加密货币市场的上涨与衍生品市场内交易活动的激增同时发生。过去24小时内,市场期权和期货市场的持仓量(OI)分别增加了1.84%和1.19%,表明散户投资者的投机行为日益增多。机构投资者也表现出类似的情绪,同期芝商所比特币期货 OI 上涨 1.70%。

A notable 8.81% rise in 24-hour futures volume was also observed, suggesting an increase in market liquidity, which typically contributes to a more stable trading environment. Heightened activity in futures markets often precedes spot market movements, further indicating growing investor confidence.

24 小时期货交易量也显着增长了 8.81%,这表明市场流动性增加,这通常有助于更加稳定的交易环境。期货市场的活跃程度往往先于现货市场的波动,这进一步表明投资者信心不断增强。

Sharp Technical Rebound Underway

急剧的技术反弹正在进行中

Various technical indicators suggest that the crypto market is poised for further bullish momentum. One key indicator is the market capitalization's rebound from the lower trendline of a bullish continuation pattern known as a bull flag. This pattern typically resolves when the price breaks above the upper trendline and ascends by the height of the preceding uptrend, indicating a potential target of approximately $3.25 trillion for the crypto market.

各种技术指标表明,加密货币市场有望进一步看涨。一个关键指标是市值从看涨持续模式(称为牛旗)的较低趋势线反弹。当价格突破上趋势线并上升之前上升趋势的高度时,这种模式通常会消失,这表明加密货币市场的潜在目标约为 3.25 万亿美元。

Reinforcing the bullish outlook is the market's proximity to its multi-month ascending trendline support. The market capitalization's bounce off this line reinforces the support level, suggesting the continuation of the long-term bullish trend.

市场接近数月上升趋势线支撑位,强化了看涨前景。市值从该线反弹加强了支撑位,表明长期看涨趋势的延续。

Furthermore, the market's daily relative strength index (RSI) reading indicates psychological support around 38, a level at which rebounds of approximately 80% have historically occurred.

此外,市场每日相对强弱指数(RSI)读数表明心理支撑位在 38 左右,历史上曾出现过约 80% 反弹的水平。

Disclaimer: This article does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency investments carry inherent risks, and readers should conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

免责声明:本文不构成投资建议或推荐。加密货币投资具有固有的风险,读者在做出任何投资决定之前应进行彻底的研究。

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