加密货币市场在周一继续下跌，恐惧和贪婪指数下滑至24

从理论上讲，即将到来的解放日将使股票和加密货币市场是看跌，这解释了它们为什么跌倒的原因。

The crypto market continued slumping on Monday, with the fear and greed index slipping to 24. Bitcoin price plunged for four days, moving to a low of $82,000, while Ethereum tumbled to $1,800 and Ripple slipped to $1.05. This article looks at the top BTC, ETH, and XRP price predictions ahead of Donald Trump’s Liberation Day.

加密货币市场在周一继续下跌，恐惧和贪婪指数下跌至24。比特币价格跌落了四天，升至82,000美元的低点，以太坊跌至1,800美元，波纹跌至1.05美元。本文研究了唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的解放日之前的BTC，ETH和XRP价格预测。

The cryptocurrency market has been in a major downturn in the past few months. The total market cap dropped to less than $2 trillion on Monday, compared to a high of $3.04 trillion in November 2021.

在过去的几个月中，加密货币市场一直处于重大低迷状态。周一的总市值下降到不到2万亿美元，而2021年11月的最高金额为3.04万亿美元。

The downturn has been driven by several factors, including the macroeconomic outlook, the actions of the Federal Reserve, and the Liberation Day tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.

经济低迷是由多个因素驱动的，包括宏观经济前景，美联储的行动以及特朗普政府施加的解放日关税。

The administration imposed tariffs of 25% on $50 billion worth of Chinese goods in August 2019. The move sparked a trade war between the two economic superpowers. Later, Trump announced tariffs of 10% on an additional $200 billion in goods from China, set to take effect on Liberation Day.

政府在2019年8月对价值500亿美元的中国商品征收了25％的关税。此举引发了两个经济超级大国之间的贸易战。后来，特朗普宣布从中国额外的2000亿美元商品宣布关税，将在解放日生效。

The tariffs are expected to have a minimal impact on the U.S. economy, given that they represent less than 0.1% of the country’s GDP. However, they could significantly affect specific industries, such as technology and agriculture.

预计关税会对美国经济产生最小的影响，因为它们占该国GDP的0.1％。但是，它们可能会严重影响特定行业，例如技术和农业。

The Trump administration has maintained that the tariffs are necessary to protect American jobs and intellectual property. However, critics argue that the tariffs will ultimately harm consumers and businesses by raising prices and reducing economic activity.

特朗普政府坚持认为，关税对于保护美国的工作和知识产权是必要的。但是，批评家认为，关税最终将通过提高价格和降低经济活动来损害消费者和企业。

The Trump administration also slashed interest rates to zero and launched the controversial quantitative easing policy in response to the Global Financial Crisis in 2008/9.

特朗普政府还将利率削减到零，并启动了有争议的量化宽松政策，以应对2008/9年的全球金融危机。

After these actions, American equities embarked on a decade-long bull run, and stocks and crypto surged after the initial plunge following the Covid-19 pandemic.

在这些行动之后，美国股票开始了长达十年的公牛奔跑，而在Covid-19，股票和加密货币在COVID-19大流行后首次跌落。

This year, the Federal Reserve will likely focus on the market and act accordingly if evidence shows that the U.S. is approaching a recession. Besides, recent data shows consumer confidence has tumbled while business investment is slowing.

今年，如果有证据表明美国正在接近衰退，美联储可能会集中在市场上，并采取相应的行动。此外，最近的数据表明，当商业投资放缓时，消费者的信心已经失败。

From a fundamental perspective, BTC, ETH, and XRP prices have crashed ahead of Liberation Day. As such, these assets may rebound when it happens since market participants have priced in the tariffs.

从基本的角度来看，BTC，ETH和XRP价格在解放日之前已经崩溃了。因此，由于市场参与者在关税中定价，因此这些资产可能会反弹。

XRP Price Prediction

XRP价格预测

The daily chart reveals that the XRP price remains under pressure this week, and is approaching the key point at $1.9035. This is a crucial level since it is at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement point. It is also the neckline of the H&S pattern.

每日图表显示，XRP价格本周保持压力，而关键点的价格为1.9035美元。这是一个至关重要的水平，因为它位于50％的斐波那契回回位点。它也是H＆S图案的领口。

This technical indicator is formed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA. When the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term MA, it is called a death cross. This pattern is generally bearish and suggests that the underlying asset’s price trend is reversing.

该技术指标是由50天简单的移动平均线（SMA）和200天SMA形成的。当较短的MA横穿长期MA以下时，它被称为死亡十字架。这种模式通常是看跌的，表明基本资产的价格趋势正在逆转。

The coin is also about to form a death cross pattern as the spread between the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA) has narrowed. More downside will be confirmed if the Ripple price plunges below the support at $1.9035. A move below that level risks the XRP price crashing to $1.

随着50天和200天加权运动平均（WMA）之间的扩散已缩小，硬币也即将形成死亡交叉模式。如果波纹价格下跌低于1.9035美元的支持，将确认更多缺点。低于该级别的移动可能会冒着XRP价格崩溃至1美元。

On the other hand, a move above the 50-day moving average at $2.34 will invalidate the Ripple forecast.

另一方面，超过50天移动平均线（2.34美元）的移动将使涟漪预测无效。

BTC Price Technical Analysis

BTC价格技术分析

The BTC price has crashed in the past few months. Bitcoin price technical analysis on the 12-hour chart shows that it crashed in the past few days, moving below the lower side of the rising wedge pattern. It has also formed a death cross pattern, and is nearing the 50% retracement point.

在过去的几个月中，BTC的价格崩溃了。比特币的价格分析在12小时图表上表明，它在过去几天内坠毁，移动到上升楔形图案的下侧。它也形成了死亡交叉模式，并且接近50％的回回位。

This technical indicator is formed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA. When the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term MA, it is called a death cross. This pattern is generally bearish and suggests that the underlying asset’s price trend is reversing.

该技术指标是由50天简单的移动平均线（SMA）和200天SMA形成的。当较短的MA横穿长期MA以下时，它被称为死亡十字架。这种模式通常是看跌的，表明基本资产的价格趋势正在逆转。

The BTC price has also moved below the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo cloud and the major S/R pivot point of the Murrey Math Lines. Therefore, Bitcoin price will likely crash to the ultimate support at $75,000.

BTC的价格也已移至Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud和Murrey数学线的主要S/R枢轴点。因此，比特币价格可能会以75,000美元的价格崩溃。

ETH Price Technical Analysis

ETH价格技术分析

The ETH price has remained under pressure in the past few months. It has dropped and retested the key point at $2,113, a notable level since it was the neckline of the triple-top pattern. A break-and-retest pattern is a popular bearish continuation sign.

在过去的几个月中，ETH价格一直处于压力下。它已经下降并以2,113美元的价格重新测试了关键点，这是一个显着的水平，因为它是三层图案的领口。休息和重度模式是一个流行的看跌延续标志。

This technical indicator is formed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA. When the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term

该技术指标是由50天简单的移动平均线（SMA）和200天SMA形成的。较短的MA跨越长期以下