加密貨幣市場在周一繼續下跌，恐懼和貪婪指數下滑至24

從理論上講，即將到來的解放日將使股票和加密貨幣市場是看跌，這解釋了它們為什麼跌倒的原因。

The crypto market continued slumping on Monday, with the fear and greed index slipping to 24. Bitcoin price plunged for four days, moving to a low of $82,000, while Ethereum tumbled to $1,800 and Ripple slipped to $1.05. This article looks at the top BTC, ETH, and XRP price predictions ahead of Donald Trump’s Liberation Day.

加密貨幣市場在周一繼續下跌，恐懼和貪婪指數下跌至24。比特幣價格跌落了四天，升至82,000美元的低點，以太坊跌至1,800美元，波紋跌至1.05美元。本文研究了唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的解放日之前的BTC，ETH和XRP價格預測。

The cryptocurrency market has been in a major downturn in the past few months. The total market cap dropped to less than $2 trillion on Monday, compared to a high of $3.04 trillion in November 2021.

在過去的幾個月中，加密貨幣市場一直處於重大低迷狀態。週一的總市值下降到不到2萬億美元，而2021年11月的最高金額為3.04萬億美元。

The downturn has been driven by several factors, including the macroeconomic outlook, the actions of the Federal Reserve, and the Liberation Day tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.

經濟低迷是由多個因素驅動的，包括宏觀經濟前景，美聯儲的行動以及特朗普政府施加的解放日關稅。

The administration imposed tariffs of 25% on $50 billion worth of Chinese goods in August 2019. The move sparked a trade war between the two economic superpowers. Later, Trump announced tariffs of 10% on an additional $200 billion in goods from China, set to take effect on Liberation Day.

政府在2019年8月對價值500億美元的中國商品徵收了25％的關稅。此舉引發了兩個經濟超級大國之間的貿易戰。後來，特朗普宣布從中國額外的2000億美元商品宣布關稅，將在解放日生效。

The tariffs are expected to have a minimal impact on the U.S. economy, given that they represent less than 0.1% of the country’s GDP. However, they could significantly affect specific industries, such as technology and agriculture.

預計關稅會對美國經濟產生最小的影響，因為它們佔該國GDP的0.1％。但是，它們可能會嚴重影響特定行業，例如技術和農業。

The Trump administration has maintained that the tariffs are necessary to protect American jobs and intellectual property. However, critics argue that the tariffs will ultimately harm consumers and businesses by raising prices and reducing economic activity.

特朗普政府堅持認為，關稅對於保護美國的工作和知識產權是必要的。但是，批評家認為，關稅最終將通過提高價格和降低經濟活動來損害消費者和企業。

The Trump administration also slashed interest rates to zero and launched the controversial quantitative easing policy in response to the Global Financial Crisis in 2008/9.

特朗普政府還將利率削減到零，並啟動了有爭議的量化寬鬆政策，以應對2008/9年的全球金融危機。

After these actions, American equities embarked on a decade-long bull run, and stocks and crypto surged after the initial plunge following the Covid-19 pandemic.

在這些行動之後，美國股票開始了長達十年的公牛奔跑，而在Covid-19，股票和加密貨幣在COVID-19大流行後首次跌落。

This year, the Federal Reserve will likely focus on the market and act accordingly if evidence shows that the U.S. is approaching a recession. Besides, recent data shows consumer confidence has tumbled while business investment is slowing.

今年，如果有證據表明美國正在接近衰退，美聯儲可能會集中在市場上，並採取相應的行動。此外，最近的數據表明，當商業投資放緩時，消費者的信心已經失敗。

From a fundamental perspective, BTC, ETH, and XRP prices have crashed ahead of Liberation Day. As such, these assets may rebound when it happens since market participants have priced in the tariffs.

從基本的角度來看，BTC，ETH和XRP價格在解放日之前已經崩潰了。因此，由於市場參與者在關稅中定價，因此這些資產可能會反彈。

XRP Price Prediction

XRP價格預測

The daily chart reveals that the XRP price remains under pressure this week, and is approaching the key point at $1.9035. This is a crucial level since it is at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement point. It is also the neckline of the H&S pattern.

每日圖表顯示，XRP價格本周保持壓力，而關鍵點的價格為1.9035美元。這是一個至關重要的水平，因為它位於50％的斐波那契回回位點。它也是H＆S圖案的領口。

This technical indicator is formed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA. When the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term MA, it is called a death cross. This pattern is generally bearish and suggests that the underlying asset’s price trend is reversing.

該技術指標是由50天簡單的移動平均線（SMA）和200天SMA形成的。當較短的MA橫穿長期MA以下時，它被稱為死亡十字架。這種模式通常是看跌的，表明基本資產的價格趨勢正在逆轉。

The coin is also about to form a death cross pattern as the spread between the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA) has narrowed. More downside will be confirmed if the Ripple price plunges below the support at $1.9035. A move below that level risks the XRP price crashing to $1.

隨著50天和200天加權運動平均（WMA）之間的擴散已縮小，硬幣也即將形成死亡交叉模式。如果波紋價格下跌低於1.9035美元的支持，將確認更多缺點。低於該級別的移動可能會冒著XRP價格崩潰至1美元。

On the other hand, a move above the 50-day moving average at $2.34 will invalidate the Ripple forecast.

另一方面，超過50天移動平均線（2.34美元）的移動將使漣漪預測無效。

BTC Price Technical Analysis

BTC價格技術分析

The BTC price has crashed in the past few months. Bitcoin price technical analysis on the 12-hour chart shows that it crashed in the past few days, moving below the lower side of the rising wedge pattern. It has also formed a death cross pattern, and is nearing the 50% retracement point.

在過去的幾個月中，BTC的價格崩潰了。比特幣的價格分析在12小時圖表上表明，它在過去幾天內墜毀，移動到上升楔形圖案的下側。它也形成了死亡交叉模式，並且接近50％的回回位。

This technical indicator is formed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA. When the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term MA, it is called a death cross. This pattern is generally bearish and suggests that the underlying asset’s price trend is reversing.

該技術指標是由50天簡單的移動平均線（SMA）和200天SMA形成的。當較短的MA橫穿長期MA以下時，它被稱為死亡十字架。這種模式通常是看跌的，表明基本資產的價格趨勢正在逆轉。

The BTC price has also moved below the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo cloud and the major S/R pivot point of the Murrey Math Lines. Therefore, Bitcoin price will likely crash to the ultimate support at $75,000.

BTC的價格也已移至Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud和Murrey數學線的主要S/R樞軸點。因此，比特幣價格可能會以75,000美元的價格崩潰。

ETH Price Technical Analysis

ETH價格技術分析

The ETH price has remained under pressure in the past few months. It has dropped and retested the key point at $2,113, a notable level since it was the neckline of the triple-top pattern. A break-and-retest pattern is a popular bearish continuation sign.

在過去的幾個月中，ETH價格一直處於壓力下。它已經下降並以2,113美元的價格重新測試了關鍵點，這是一個顯著的水平，因為它是三層圖案的領口。休息和重度模式是一個流行的看跌延續標誌。

This technical indicator is formed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA. When the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term

該技術指標是由50天簡單的移動平均線（SMA）和200天SMA形成的。較短的MA跨越長期以下