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在新的视频更新中,Coin Bureau 的主持人 Guy Turner 告诉他的 252 万 YouTube 订阅者,小盘股和加密资产
A popular crypto analyst now claims that the digital assets industry will continue to thrive despite the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates.
一位受欢迎的加密货币分析师现在声称,尽管美联储降息,数字资产行业仍将继续蓬勃发展。
In a new video update, Coin Bureau host Guy Turner tells his 2.52 million YouTube subscribers that small-cap stocks and crypto assets will continue to surge as the Federal Reserve continues to cut rates.
在新的视频更新中,Coin Bureau 主持人盖伊·特纳 (Guy Turner) 告诉他的 252 万 YouTube 订阅者,随着美联储继续降息,小盘股和加密资产将继续飙升。
“Short term, rate cuts are likely to boost the markets – particularly small cap stocks as they [are] the most sensitive to interest rates. The same is true for cryptocurrencies, particularly altcoins, which seem to be highly correlated to small cap stocks. This is why crypto has been rallying hard with altcoins leading the way and why it will continue so long as the Fed keeps cutting rates.”
“短期来看,降息可能会提振市场,尤其是小盘股,因为它们对利率最敏感。加密货币也是如此,尤其是山寨币,它们似乎与小盘股高度相关。这就是为什么加密货币一直在山寨币的引领下强劲反弹,也是为什么只要美联储继续降息,加密货币就会持续上涨。”
However, Turner cautions that his view only applies to the short-term as rate cuts in the long run will only rekindle inflation.
然而,特纳警告说,他的观点仅适用于短期,因为从长远来看,降息只会重新引发通胀。
“This bullish scenario only applies to the short term. In the longer term the Fed’s rate cuts risk reigniting inflation which in turn risks sending interest rates higher.”
“这种看涨情景仅适用于短期。从长远来看,美联储降息可能会重新引发通胀,进而导致利率走高。”
According to Turner, the market and the economy behave in different ways when facing interest rate cuts. The analyst says that markets tend to act immediately or even before rate cuts while it takes about two years before rate cuts can help the economy.
特纳认为,面对降息时,市场和经济的表现有所不同。这位分析师表示,市场往往会立即采取行动,甚至在降息之前采取行动,而降息需要大约两年的时间才能帮助经济。
“The economy and the markets are two different things. Markets react to rate hikes right away, in fact, they often react before rate hikes even happen…
“经济和市场是两个不同的东西。市场会立即对加息做出反应,事实上,他们经常在加息发生之前就做出反应……
This is why the markets peaked in late 2021 when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced the central bank would be raising interest rates and it is why the markets crashed in mid 2022 when the Fed actually started raising interest rates.
这就是为什么市场在 2021 年底美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔宣布央行将加息时达到顶峰,也是为什么市场在 2022 年中期美联储实际开始加息时崩溃。
Investors weren’t sure how high interest rates could go and uncertainty is the most common cause of market crashes.”
投资者不确定利率会升至多高,不确定性是市场崩溃的最常见原因。”
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