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在新的影片更新中,Coin Bureau 的主持人 Guy Turner 告訴他的 252 萬 YouTube 訂閱者,小型股和加密資產
A popular crypto analyst now claims that the digital assets industry will continue to thrive despite the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates.
一位受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師現在聲稱,儘管聯準會降息,數位資產產業仍將繼續蓬勃發展。
In a new video update, Coin Bureau host Guy Turner tells his 2.52 million YouTube subscribers that small-cap stocks and crypto assets will continue to surge as the Federal Reserve continues to cut rates.
在新的影片更新中,Coin Bureau 主持人 Guy Turner 告訴他的 252 萬 YouTube 訂閱者,隨著聯準會繼續降息,小型股和加密資產將繼續飆升。
“Short term, rate cuts are likely to boost the markets – particularly small cap stocks as they [are] the most sensitive to interest rates. The same is true for cryptocurrencies, particularly altcoins, which seem to be highly correlated to small cap stocks. This is why crypto has been rallying hard with altcoins leading the way and why it will continue so long as the Fed keeps cutting rates.”
「短期來看,降息可能會提振市場,尤其是小型股,因為它們對利率最敏感。加密貨幣也是如此,尤其是山寨幣,它們似乎與小型股高度相關。這就是為什麼加密貨幣一直在山寨幣的引領下強勁反彈,也是為什麼只要聯準會繼續降息,加密貨幣就會持續上漲。
However, Turner cautions that his view only applies to the short-term as rate cuts in the long run will only rekindle inflation.
然而,特納警告說,他的觀點僅適用於短期,因為從長遠來看,降息只會重新引發通膨。
“This bullish scenario only applies to the short term. In the longer term the Fed’s rate cuts risk reigniting inflation which in turn risks sending interest rates higher.”
「這種看漲情景僅適用於短期。從長遠來看,聯準會降息可能會重新引發通膨,進而導致利率走高。
According to Turner, the market and the economy behave in different ways when facing interest rate cuts. The analyst says that markets tend to act immediately or even before rate cuts while it takes about two years before rate cuts can help the economy.
特納認為,面對降息時,市場和經濟的表現有所不同。這位分析師表示,市場往往會立即採取行動,甚至在降息之前採取行動,而降息需要大約兩年的時間才能幫助經濟。
“The economy and the markets are two different things. Markets react to rate hikes right away, in fact, they often react before rate hikes even happen…
「經濟和市場是兩個不同的東西。市場會立即對升息做出反應,事實上,他們經常在升息發生之前就做出反應…
This is why the markets peaked in late 2021 when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced the central bank would be raising interest rates and it is why the markets crashed in mid 2022 when the Fed actually started raising interest rates.
這就是為什麼市場在 2021 年底聯準會主席鮑威爾宣布央行將升息時達到頂峰,也是為什麼市場在 2022 年中期聯準會實際開始升息時崩潰。
Investors weren’t sure how high interest rates could go and uncertainty is the most common cause of market crashes.”
投資者不確定利率會升至多高,不確定性是市場崩潰的最常見原因。
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