专家表示，在卡玛拉·哈里斯的领导下，加密货币 ETF 看起来不太可能扩展到比特币和以太币以外的领域

几家潜在发行人已申请推出追踪 Ripple 的 XRP 或 Solana (SOL) 等较小代币的交易所交易基金，但这些申请的轨迹可能取决于美国选民。

Several firms recently began seeking approval to create U.S. exchange-traded funds that track cryptocurrencies beyond the already-approved bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) products. Those applications will probably go nowhere if Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris wins the election in November, according to two ETF experts.

几家公司最近开始寻求批准创建美国交易所交易基金，以追踪已批准的比特币（BTC）和以太币（ETH）产品之外的加密货币。两位 ETF 专家表示，如果民主党总统候选人卡马拉·哈里斯 (Kamala Harris) 赢得 11 月份的选举，这些申请可能会毫无进展。

The approval of spot bitcoin and ether ETFs earlier this year was seen as a huge win for the industry after issuers fought for years to introduce such funds. One issuer, Grayscale, even sued the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to overcome the regulator's rejection – and won. Billions of dollars have poured into the new ETFs.

今年早些时候，现货比特币和以太坊 ETF 的批准被视为该行业的巨大胜利，此前发行人多年来一直在努力推出此类基金。发行人 Grayscale 甚至起诉美国证券交易委员会以克服监管机构的拒绝，并取得胜利。数十亿美元已投入新的 ETF。

Since then, issuers have been taking stabs at the next big crypto ETF launch, with applications currently in process for a fund tracking Ripple's XRP (XRP) token and the native cryptocurrency of the Solana blockchain, SOL (SOL).

从那时起，发行人一直在尝试推出下一个大型加密货币 ETF，目前正在申请追踪 Ripple 的 XRP (XRP) 代币和 Solana 区块链的原生加密货币 SOL (SOL) 的基金。

"It won't happen if Harris wins, regardless of the issuer," said Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.

彭博资讯 (Bloomberg Intelligence) 高级 ETF 分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯 (Eric Balchunas) 表示：“无论发行人是谁，即使哈里斯获胜，这种情况也不会发生。”

Some industry experts believed that when asset management giant BlackRock joined the race to list bitcoin and ether ETFs, that significantly improved the chances the SEC would approve them – though it's unclear how big a factor BlackRock actually played.

一些行业专家认为，当资产管理巨头贝莱德加入比特币和以太坊 ETF 上市竞赛时，这大大提高了美国证券交易委员会批准它们的机会——尽管目前尚不清楚贝莱德实际上发挥了多大的作用。

If former President Donald Trump wins the election, however, there'd be a "decent chance" for more crypto ETFs, regardless of whether BlackRock joins Bitwise, VanEck and others that want to expand crypto ETFs beyond bitcoin and Ethereum's ether, according to Balchunas.

然而，Balchunas 表示，如果前总统唐纳德·特朗普赢得大选，无论贝莱德是否加入 Bitwise、VanEck 和其他希望将加密 ETF 扩展到比特币和以太坊之外的其他公司的行列，都有“不错的机会”推出更多加密 ETF 。

Nate Geraci, president of the ETF Store, echoes this outlook. "It seems highly unlikely that a Harris administration would approve additional spot crypto ETFs, at least not anytime soon after the election," he said.

ETF Store 总裁 Nate Geraci 也赞同这一观点。他表示：“哈里斯政府似乎不太可能批准额外的现货加密 ETF，至少在大选后不久不会。”

Seeing how current President Joe Biden's administration has approached crypto, which Geraci characterized as "combative, overall," and taking into account Harris' powerful position in that administration, it is fair to assume that the status quo would continue under her leadership, according to Geraci.

杰拉奇表示，看看现任总统乔·拜登政府如何对待加密货币，杰拉奇将其描述为“总体上好斗”，并考虑到哈里斯在该政府中的强大地位，可以公平地假设，在她的领导下，现状将继续下去。杰拉奇。

Trump's odds of winning the election have surged to 62.4%, the highest in months, according to prices on the leading prediction market, Polymarket.

根据领先预测市场 Polymarket 的价格显示，特朗普赢得大选的几率飙升至 62.4%，为数月来最高。

The former president has won support from the crypto community in recent months after taking a favorable stance toward the industry. He appeared at a prominent Bitcoin conference, endorsed a DeFi platform and visited a Bitcoin bar in New York ever since making crypto support a big part of his campaign.

这位前总统在对加密货币行业采取有利立场后，近几个月赢得了加密货币社区的支持。自从将加密货币支持作为其竞选活动的重要组成部分以来，他出现在一次著名的比特币会议上，认可了一个 DeFi 平台，并参观了纽约的一家比特币酒吧。

Harris, on the other hand, has been much less vocal about the sector and has only recently unveiled plans to establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrency and digital assets, which she aimed toward Black men, who her campaign noted are more likely to own crypto. However, details on how she'd support crypto are still scarce.

另一方面，哈里斯对该行业的声音要少得多，直到最近才公布了建立加密货币和数字资产监管框架的计划，她的目标是黑人男性，她的竞选团队指出，黑人更有可能拥有加密货币。然而，关于她如何支持加密货币的细节仍然很少。