專家表示，在卡瑪拉哈里斯的領導下，加密貨幣 ETF 看起來不太可能擴展到比特幣和以太幣以外的領域

幾家潛在發行人已申請推出追蹤 Ripple 的 XRP 或 Solana (SOL) 等較小代幣的交易所交易基金，但這些申請的軌跡可能取決於美國選民。

Several firms recently began seeking approval to create U.S. exchange-traded funds that track cryptocurrencies beyond the already-approved bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) products. Those applications will probably go nowhere if Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris wins the election in November, according to two ETF experts.

幾家公司最近開始尋求批准創建美國交易所交易基金，以追蹤已批准的比特幣（BTC）和以太幣（ETH）產品以外的加密貨幣。兩位 ETF 專家表示，如果民主黨總統候選人卡馬拉·哈里斯 (Kamala Harris) 贏得 11 月的選舉，這些申請可能會毫無進展。

The approval of spot bitcoin and ether ETFs earlier this year was seen as a huge win for the industry after issuers fought for years to introduce such funds. One issuer, Grayscale, even sued the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to overcome the regulator's rejection – and won. Billions of dollars have poured into the new ETFs.

今年早些時候，現貨比特幣和以太坊 ETF 的批准被視為該行業的巨大勝利，此前發行人多年來一直在努力推出此類基金。發行人 Grayscale 甚至起訴美國證券交易委員會以克服監管機構的拒絕，並取得勝利。數十億美元已投入新的 ETF。

Since then, issuers have been taking stabs at the next big crypto ETF launch, with applications currently in process for a fund tracking Ripple's XRP (XRP) token and the native cryptocurrency of the Solana blockchain, SOL (SOL).

從那時起，發行人一直在嘗試推出下一個大型加密貨幣 ETF，目前正在申請追蹤 Ripple 的 XRP (XRP) 代幣和 Solana 區塊鏈的原生加密貨幣 SOL (SOL) 的基金。

"It won't happen if Harris wins, regardless of the issuer," said Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.

彭博資訊 (Bloomberg Intelligence) 高級 ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 表示：“無論發行人是誰，即使哈里斯獲勝，這種情況也不會發生。”

Some industry experts believed that when asset management giant BlackRock joined the race to list bitcoin and ether ETFs, that significantly improved the chances the SEC would approve them – though it's unclear how big a factor BlackRock actually played.

一些行業專家認為，當資產管理巨頭貝萊德加入比特幣和以太坊ETF 上市競賽時，這大大提高了美國證券交易委員會批准它們的機會——儘管目前尚不清楚貝萊德實際上發揮了多大的作用。

If former President Donald Trump wins the election, however, there'd be a "decent chance" for more crypto ETFs, regardless of whether BlackRock joins Bitwise, VanEck and others that want to expand crypto ETFs beyond bitcoin and Ethereum's ether, according to Balchunas.

然而，Balchunas 表示，如果前總統唐納德·川普贏得大選，無論貝萊德是否加入Bitwise、VanEck 和其他希望將加密ETF 擴展到比特幣和以太坊之外的其他公司的行列，都有「不錯的機會」推出更多加密ETF 。

Nate Geraci, president of the ETF Store, echoes this outlook. "It seems highly unlikely that a Harris administration would approve additional spot crypto ETFs, at least not anytime soon after the election," he said.

ETF Store 總裁 Nate Geraci 也同意這一點。他表示：“哈里斯政府似乎不太可能批准額外的現貨加密 ETF，至少在大選後不久不會。”

Seeing how current President Joe Biden's administration has approached crypto, which Geraci characterized as "combative, overall," and taking into account Harris' powerful position in that administration, it is fair to assume that the status quo would continue under her leadership, according to Geraci.

杰拉奇表示，看看現任總統喬·拜登政府如何對待加密貨幣，杰拉奇將其描述為“總體上好鬥”，並考慮到哈里斯在該政府中的強大地位，可以公平地假設，在她的領導下，現狀將繼續下去。

Trump's odds of winning the election have surged to 62.4%, the highest in months, according to prices on the leading prediction market, Polymarket.

根據領先預測市場 Polymarket 的價格顯示，川普贏得大選的幾率飆升至 62.4%，為數月來最高。

The former president has won support from the crypto community in recent months after taking a favorable stance toward the industry. He appeared at a prominent Bitcoin conference, endorsed a DeFi platform and visited a Bitcoin bar in New York ever since making crypto support a big part of his campaign.

這位前總統在對加密貨幣行業採取有利立場後，近幾個月贏得了加密貨幣社群的支持。自從將加密貨幣支援作為其競選活動的重要組成部分以來，他出現在一次著名的比特幣會議上，認可了一個 DeFi 平台，並參觀了紐約的一家比特幣酒吧。

Harris, on the other hand, has been much less vocal about the sector and has only recently unveiled plans to establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrency and digital assets, which she aimed toward Black men, who her campaign noted are more likely to own crypto. However, details on how she'd support crypto are still scarce.

另一方面，哈里斯對該行業的聲音要少得多，直到最近才公佈了建立加密貨幣和數位資產監管框架的計劃，她的目標是黑人男性，她的競選團隊指出，黑人更有可能擁有加密貨幣。然而，關於她如何支持加密貨幣的細節仍然很少。