2023-2024 年化合物 (COMP) 价格预测：COMP 能否突破 80 美元的关口并实现 100 美元的目标？

过去两周，DeFi 领域一直是表现最好的领域，Compound [COMP] 等协议也从这笔意外之财中受益。

DeFi token Compound [COMP] enjoyed a relative uptrend in the past two weeks, as covered earlier. However, the rally hit a roadblock as COMP crypto token struggled below the $80K price level.

如前所述，过去两周 DeFi 代币 Compound [COMP] 呈现相对上涨趋势。然而，由于 COMP 加密代币价格挣扎在 8 万美元以下，涨势遇到了障碍。

Despite the hurdle, on-chain metrics and technical indicators suggested a bullish scenario for COMP. Here’s a closer look.

尽管存在障碍，但链上指标和技术指标表明 COMP 前景乐观。下面是更仔细的观察。

COMP crypto token price analysis

COMP 加密代币价格分析

COMP crypto token was trading at $74, up 50% in the past 30 days. However, the rally hit a roadblock at $80K.

COMP 加密代币的交易价格为 74 美元，在过去 30 天内上涨了 50%。然而，反弹在 8 万美元处遇到了障碍。

Can COMP clear the hurdle and target the $100 it crossed in early 2024?

COMP 能否扫清障碍并瞄准 2024 年初突破 100 美元的目标？

COMP crypto $80 hurdle

COMP 加密货币 80 美元门槛

Source: COMPUSDT, TradingView

资料来源：COMUSDT、TradingView

The weekly chart had a bearish order block (OB), marked red, $71-$81. In most cases, bearish OBs act as supply zones for large players to execute their trades.

周线图有一个看跌订单块 (OB)，标记为红色，71-81 美元。在大多数情况下，看跌的 OB 充当大型参与者执行交易的供应区。

The roadblock was hit last week, but COMP struggled below it into the new week, suggesting profit-taking at the level.

上周触及该障碍，但 COMP 在新的一周中一直在该障碍下方挣扎，表明在该水平上获利了结。

That said, a weekly candlestick close above $81 (the supply zone) could signal a likely continuation of the recovery.

也就是说，每周烛台收盘价高于 81 美元（供应区）可能预示着复苏可能会持续。

If so, the $100 psychological level could be within reach. However, COMP had to flip $93 into support to accelerate to $100 and above.

如果是这样，那么 100 美元的心理关口就指日可待了。然而，COMP 必须将 93 美元转为支撑位，才能加速升至 100 美元及以上。

The OBV (On Balance Volume) was below the March peak and suggested more upside potential. However, the RSI neared overbought territory and cautioned of a slight cool-off.

OBV（平衡成交量）低于 3 月份的峰值，表明有更大的上涨潜力。然而，相对强弱指数接近超买区域，并警告可能会略有降温。

On-chain was bullish

链上看涨

Source: Santiment

资料来源：Santiment

Santiment data revealed that the ongoing rally was majorly driven by strong accumulation (spot buying pressure), as noted by an uptick in Supply outside of Exchanges (red).

Santiment 数据显示，持续的上涨主要是由强劲的积累（现货购买压力）推动的，正如交易所以外供应量的增加（红色）所示。

Interestingly, sell pressure on centralized exchanges (CEXes) dropped even lower, as shown by the declining supply on exchanges (blue).

有趣的是，中心化交易所（CEX）的抛售压力甚至更低，正如交易所供应量下降（蓝色）所示。

This suggested COMP had less headwind, which could tip it to clear the overhead roadblock.

这表明 COMP 的逆风较小，这可能会使其倾斜以清除上方的路障。

The above scenario differed from the early 2024 local top when demand declined and selling increased. This indicated the uptrend could continue unless accumulation drops and sell pressure intensifies.

上述情况与 2024 年初需求下降和销售增加时的当地顶部不同。这表明除非积累下降并且抛售压力加剧，否则上升趋势可能会持续。

Another bullish on-chain signal was the spike in whale actions. The increased whale interest could boost COMP’s price unless they are selling.

另一个看涨的链上信号是鲸鱼行动的激增。鲸鱼兴趣的增加可能会推高 COMP 的价格，除非他们出售。

In conclusion, COMP’s uptrend could continue amid a DeFi resurgence and reduced sell-pressure from CEXes.

总之，在 DeFi 复苏和 CEX 抛售压力减轻的情况下，COMP 的上升趋势可能会持续。