2023-2024 年化合物 (COMP) 價格預測：COMP 能否突破 80 美元的關卡並實現 100 美元的目標？

過去兩週，DeFi 領域一直是表現最好的領域，Compound [COMP] 等協議也從這筆意外之財中受益。

DeFi token Compound [COMP] enjoyed a relative uptrend in the past two weeks, as covered earlier. However, the rally hit a roadblock as COMP crypto token struggled below the $80K price level.

如前所述，過去兩週 DeFi 代幣 Compound [COMP] 呈現相對上漲趨勢。然而，由於 COMP 加密代幣價格掙扎在 8 萬美元以下，漲勢遇到了障礙。

Despite the hurdle, on-chain metrics and technical indicators suggested a bullish scenario for COMP. Here’s a closer look.

儘管存在障礙，但鏈上指標和技術指標表明 COMP 前景樂觀。下面是更仔細的觀察。

COMP crypto token price analysis

COMP 加密代幣價格分析

COMP crypto token was trading at $74, up 50% in the past 30 days. However, the rally hit a roadblock at $80K.

COMP 加密代幣的交易價格為 74 美元，在過去 30 天內上漲了 50%。然而，反彈在 8 萬美元處遇到了障礙。

Can COMP clear the hurdle and target the $100 it crossed in early 2024?

COMP 能否掃清障礙並瞄準 2024 年初突破 100 美元的目標？

COMP crypto $80 hurdle

COMP 加密貨幣 $80 門檻

Source: COMPUSDT, TradingView

資料來源：COMUSDT、TradingView

The weekly chart had a bearish order block (OB), marked red, $71-$81. In most cases, bearish OBs act as supply zones for large players to execute their trades.

週線圖有一個看跌訂單區塊 (OB)，標記為紅色，71-81 美元。在大多數情況下，看跌的 OB 充當大型參與者執行交易的供應區。

The roadblock was hit last week, but COMP struggled below it into the new week, suggesting profit-taking at the level.

上週觸及該障礙，但 COMP 在新的一周中一直在該障礙下方掙扎，表明在該水平上獲利了結。

That said, a weekly candlestick close above $81 (the supply zone) could signal a likely continuation of the recovery.

也就是說，每週燭台收盤價高於 81 美元（供應區）可能預示著復甦可能會持續。

If so, the $100 psychological level could be within reach. However, COMP had to flip $93 into support to accelerate to $100 and above.

如果是這樣，那麼 100 美元的心理關口就指日可待了。然而，COMP 必須將 93 美元轉為支撐位，才能加速升至 100 美元及以上。

The OBV (On Balance Volume) was below the March peak and suggested more upside potential. However, the RSI neared overbought territory and cautioned of a slight cool-off.

OBV（平衡成交量）低於 3 月的峰值，顯示有更大的上漲潛力。然而，相對強弱指數接近超買區域，並警告可能會略有降溫。

On-chain was bullish

鍊上看漲

Source: Santiment

資料來源：Santiment

Santiment data revealed that the ongoing rally was majorly driven by strong accumulation (spot buying pressure), as noted by an uptick in Supply outside of Exchanges (red).

Santiment 數據顯示，持續的上漲主要是由強勁的累積（現貨購買壓力）所推動的，正如交易所以外供應量的增加（紅色）所示。

Interestingly, sell pressure on centralized exchanges (CEXes) dropped even lower, as shown by the declining supply on exchanges (blue).

有趣的是，中心化交易所（CEX）的拋售壓力甚至更低，如交易所供應量下降（藍色）所示。

This suggested COMP had less headwind, which could tip it to clear the overhead roadblock.

這表明 COMP 的逆風較小，這可能會使其傾斜以清除上方的路障。

The above scenario differed from the early 2024 local top when demand declined and selling increased. This indicated the uptrend could continue unless accumulation drops and sell pressure intensifies.

上述情況與 2024 年初需求下降和銷售增加時的當地頂部不同。這表明除非累積下降且拋售壓力加劇，否則上升趨勢可能會持續。

Another bullish on-chain signal was the spike in whale actions. The increased whale interest could boost COMP’s price unless they are selling.

另一個看漲的鏈上訊號是鯨魚行動的激增。鯨魚興趣的增加可能會推高 COMP 的價格，除非他們出售。

In conclusion, COMP’s uptrend could continue amid a DeFi resurgence and reduced sell-pressure from CEXes.

總之，在 DeFi 復甦和 CEX 拋售壓力減輕的情況下，COMP 的上升趨勢可能會持續。