比特币（BTC）的圣诞集会终于到来了吗？

“圣诞节反弹”是指 12 月底资产价格上涨，通常受到乐观情绪、交易量下降的推动

A renowned economist has announced the arrival of the “Christmas rally” for bitcoin, predicting a spectacular price increase as the year comes to a close. This trend, supported by strong technical resistance, could propel BTC to new historical highs, despite some challenges.

一位著名经济学家宣布比特币“圣诞反弹”即将到来，并预测随着年底比特币价格将大幅上涨。尽管存在一些挑战，但这种趋势在强大的技术阻力的支持下，可能会推动比特币创下历史新高。

The “Christmas rally” is an increase in the prices of assets at the end of December, which is often fueled by optimism, lower trading volumes, and positive sentiment during the holidays. Although this phenomenon can be erratic, it has been observed in the historical performance of bitcoin in December. Economist Alex Kruger highlighted this trend by stating that the Christmas rally has finally arrived.

“圣诞节反弹”是指 12 月底资产价格上涨，通常受到假期期间乐观情绪、交易量下降和积极情绪的推动。尽管这种现象可能不稳定，但在 12 月份比特币的历史表现中已经观察到了这一现象。经济学家亚历克斯·克鲁格（Alex Kruger）强调了这一趋势，他表示圣诞节反弹终于到来。

The recent recovery of the bitcoin price after a drop to the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) seems to support this claim. Thanks to the stability of this support level, situated around $94,500, BTC has been able to rally towards $98,000, rekindling expectations of a higher end of the year. BTC even approached the psychological threshold of $100,000 after diving to a crucial support level. Currently, the bitcoin chart shows a possible change in momentum.

比特币价格在跌至 50 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 后最近的复苏似乎支持了这一说法。由于这一支撑位（位于 94,500 美元左右）的稳定性，BTC 能够反弹至 98,000 美元，重新点燃了人们对今年年底价格走高的预期。 BTC 在跌至关键支撑位后甚至逼近 10 万美元的心理关口。目前，比特币图表显示势头可能发生变化。

Upcoming challenges for bitcoin

比特币即将面临的挑战

Unfortunately, things are still not going smoothly. The modest volume that has accompanied the rise so far indicates that in the absence of stronger buying pressure, this rally could lose momentum. Reaching the $100,000 mark would be a significant psychological victory for bitcoin, possibly paving the way for future gains. However, if the BTC price does not surpass $100,000, there could be consolidation or even a retest of support at $94,500 and then at $85,000.

不幸的是，事情进展仍然不顺利。迄今为止，伴随上涨的温和成交量表明，如果没有更强的买盘压力，这一涨势可能会失去动力。达到 10 万美元大关对于比特币来说将是一次重大的心理胜利，可能为未来的上涨铺平道路。然而，如果 BTC 价格不超过 100,000 美元，则可能会出现盘整，甚至重新测试 94,500 美元和 85,000 美元的支撑位。

In summary, the resilience of bitcoin at critical levels offers a glimmer of hope for now. However, the question of whether the Christmas rally will still occur or if it will continue will be determined in the coming days. Traders should therefore remain cautious in the face of ongoing uncertainties.

总而言之，比特币在关键水平上的弹性目前带来了一线希望。然而，圣诞节涨势是否仍会发生或是否会继续的问题将在未来几天内确定。因此，面对持续的不确定性，交易者应保持谨慎。