比特幣（BTC）的聖誕集會終於到來了嗎？

「聖誕節反彈」是指 12 月底資產價格上漲，通常受到樂觀情緒、交易量下降的推動

A renowned economist has announced the arrival of the “Christmas rally” for bitcoin, predicting a spectacular price increase as the year comes to a close. This trend, supported by strong technical resistance, could propel BTC to new historical highs, despite some challenges.

一位著名經濟學家宣布比特幣「聖誕節反彈」即將到來，並預測隨著年底比特幣價格將大幅上漲。儘管存在一些挑戰，但這種趨勢在強大的技術阻力的支持下，可能會推動比特幣創下歷史新高。

The “Christmas rally” is an increase in the prices of assets at the end of December, which is often fueled by optimism, lower trading volumes, and positive sentiment during the holidays. Although this phenomenon can be erratic, it has been observed in the historical performance of bitcoin in December. Economist Alex Kruger highlighted this trend by stating that the Christmas rally has finally arrived.

「聖誕節反彈」是指 12 月底資產價格上漲，通常受到假期期間樂觀情緒、交易量下降和積極情緒的推動。儘管這種現象可能不穩定，但在 12 月比特幣的歷史表現中已經觀察到了這一現象。經濟學家亞歷克斯·克魯格（Alex Kruger）強調了這一趨勢，他表示聖誕節反彈終於到來。

The recent recovery of the bitcoin price after a drop to the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) seems to support this claim. Thanks to the stability of this support level, situated around $94,500, BTC has been able to rally towards $98,000, rekindling expectations of a higher end of the year. BTC even approached the psychological threshold of $100,000 after diving to a crucial support level. Currently, the bitcoin chart shows a possible change in momentum.

比特幣價格在跌至 50 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 後最近的復甦似乎支持了這一說法。由於這一支撐位（位於 94,500 美元左右）的穩定性，BTC 能夠反彈至 98,000 美元，重新點燃了人們對今年年底價格走高的預期。 BTC 在跌至關鍵支撐位後甚至逼近 10 萬美元的心理關卡。目前，比特幣圖表顯示勢頭可能會改變。

Upcoming challenges for bitcoin

比特幣即將面臨的挑戰

Unfortunately, things are still not going smoothly. The modest volume that has accompanied the rise so far indicates that in the absence of stronger buying pressure, this rally could lose momentum. Reaching the $100,000 mark would be a significant psychological victory for bitcoin, possibly paving the way for future gains. However, if the BTC price does not surpass $100,000, there could be consolidation or even a retest of support at $94,500 and then at $85,000.

不幸的是，事情進展仍然不順利。迄今為止，伴隨上漲的溫和成交量表明，如果沒有更強的買盤壓力，這一漲勢可能會失去動力。達到 10 萬美元大關對比特幣來說將是一場重大的心理勝利，可能為未來的上漲鋪平道路。然而，如果 BTC 價格不超過 100,000 美元，則可能會出現盤整，甚至重新測試 94,500 美元和 85,000 美元的支撐位。

In summary, the resilience of bitcoin at critical levels offers a glimmer of hope for now. However, the question of whether the Christmas rally will still occur or if it will continue will be determined in the coming days. Traders should therefore remain cautious in the face of ongoing uncertainties.

總而言之，比特幣在關鍵水平上的彈性目前帶來了一線希望。然而，聖誕漲勢是否仍會發生或是否會繼續的問題將在未來幾天內確定。因此，面對持續的不確定性，交易者應保持謹慎。