$CHAMP 代币发行价格预测 + 交易计划

$CHAMP 代币将于本周三（即 20 日）下午 3:00 在去中心化交易所 @AerodromeFi 上推出。以下是我个人对代币价格的预测和我的交易计划（DYOR）。

Author: Da Chengian

作者：大成安

$CHAMP Token Launch Price Prediction + Trading Plan

$CHAMP 代币发行价格预测 + 交易计划

$CHAMP tokens will launch on decentralized exchange @AerodromeFi this Wednesday, the 20th, at 3:00 PM. Here's my personal prediction for the token price and my trading plan (DYOR).

$CHAMP 代币将于本周三（即 20 日）下午 3:00 在去中心化交易所 @AerodromeFi 上推出。这是我个人对代币价格的预测和我的交易计划（DYOR）。

First, the conclusion: Buy small below 0.05, buy large below 0.03, do not sell before breaking 0.1, aim for 0.2.

一、结论：0.05以下小买，0.03以下大买，破0.1前不卖，瞄准0.2。

1. First, why I won't sell before breaking 0.1:

1.首先，为什么我在突破0.1之前不卖：

Referencing other chain game projects that launched tokens this year

参考今年推出代币的其他链游项目

CHAMP raised 30 million, and based on the average market cap/funding of the above projects, the theoretical market cap of CHAMP is 238 million, with a total token supply of 1 billion, so the theoretical token price is 0.238. However, whether it can actually reach 0.238 is unknown; I wish all CHAMP holders can wait for 0.238 and prosper together!

CHAMP筹集了3000万，根据上述项目的平均市值/资金，CHAMP的理论市值为2.38亿，总代币供应量为10亿，因此理论代币价格为0.238。但能否真正达到0.238还是个未知数；祝愿所有CHAMP持有者都能等待0.238，共同繁荣！

But I will not sell below 0.1; I will consider selling only after it breaks 0.1.

但低于0.1我不会卖；只有在突破0.1之后我才会考虑卖出。

Additionally, the CHAMP project team chose to launch on DEX first, which is also a reason why I won't sell early. Each subsequent CEX listing will be a positive factor that boosts the token price. Moreover, CHAMP's investor lineup includes OKX Venture, Coinbase, and KuCoin. It is relatively difficult to list on OKX (many projects backed by OKX Venture have not listed on OKX), but I estimate that the other two will list after some time.

另外，CHAMP项目组选择先上线DEX，这也是我不会提前出售的一个原因。随后的每次 CEX 上市都将是推高代币价格的积极因素。此外，CHAMP的投资者阵容包括OKX Venture、Coinbase和KuCoin。 OKX上市相对困难（OKX Venture支持的很多项目都没有在OKX上市），但我估计另外两个过一段时间就会上市。

Why buy small below 0.05

0.05以下为什么买小

0.05 is the price given to their NFT holders for pre-sale on the Lizlabs platform in September, and I speculate it is also the price for some KOLs. If the price falls below 0.05, optimistic investors will likely start to buy the dip.

0.05是9月份在Lizlabs平台上给他们的NFT持有者预售的价格，我推测这也是一些KOL的价格。如果价格跌破 0.05，乐观的投资者可能会开始逢低买入。

Why buy large below 0.03

0.03以下为什么买大

If the token price is at 0.03, the market cap would be 30 million, which is also the total funding amount for SuperChamps. In my experience, for a legitimate web3 project, if the market cap equals the funding amount, the price is significantly undervalued.

如果代币价格为0.03，则市值为3000万，这也是SuperChamps的总资金额。根据我的经验，对于一个合法的 web3 项目，如果市值等于融资金额，那么价格就被严重低估了。

The last project like this was Big Time (which also used a Fair Launch model like CHAMP). On its first day of listing last October, due to a large number of users selling the tokens received from airdrops, the price dropped to a low of 0.014, with a market cap of 70 million. Previously, Big Time raised 90 million through VC funding and NFT sales. Then the token price began to surge: within a week, it rose from 0.014 to 0.3, and by December, the price approached 1 dollar.

最后一个这样的项目是 Big Time（它也使用了像 CHAMP 这样的公平启动模型）。去年10月上市首日，由于空投获得的代币被大量用户抛售，价格跌至0.014低位，市值7000万。此前，Big Time 通过 VC 融资和 NFT 销售筹集了 9000 万美元。随后代币价格开始飙升：一周之内，从0.014涨至0.3，到12月，价格逼近1美元。

Sharing my views on the project team's shift from a VC model to a Fair Launch model:

分享一下我对项目团队从VC模式转向Fair Launch模式的看法：

Support + Expectation!

支持+期待！

Because most VC tokens in this round peaked immediately upon launch, with continuous selling pressure from investors + the overall weakness of altcoins, leading many tokens to drop over 90%. Community players who initially believed in the project and bought tokens hoping to hold long ended up losing a lot. Retail investors lost money, and the project team also lost users.

因为本轮大部分VC代币一上线就见顶，加上投资者的持续抛售压力+山寨币整体疲软，导致不少代币跌幅超过90%。最初相信该项目并购买代币希望长期持有的社区玩家最终损失惨重。散户损失了钱，项目组也损失了用户。

From this perspective, SuperChamps' decision to unlock all investors' shares at the time of the token launch is correct, as it mitigates potential selling pressure. This way, the token has a better chance of increasing in value over the long term. Meanwhile, the team's share will still follow the original plan: locked for six months, unlocked over two years. This indicates that the project team clearly intends to develop long-term.

从这个角度来看，SuperChamps 在代币发行时解锁所有投资者股份的决定是正确的，因为它减轻了潜在的抛售压力。这样，从长远来看，代币就有更好的升值机会。同时，团队的份额仍将遵循原计划：锁定六个月，两年内解锁。这表明项目团队的长远发展意图明确。

Lastly, it is worth mentioning that SuperChamps has always been the project with the highest user count on the Base chain (excluding multi-chain supporting DEXs like Uniswap). If Trump indeed promotes the development of blockchain business in the U.S. after taking office, Coinbase will likely benefit, and Base and SuperChamps will benefit together. The future looks bright!

最后值得一提的是，SuperChamps一直是Base链上用户数最高的项目（不包括Uniswap等支持DEX的多链）。如果特朗普上任后确实推动美国区块链业务的发展，那么Coinbase很可能会受益，Base和SuperChamps也将共同受益。未来看起来一片光明！

Conclusion: I didn't buy enough of last year's Big Time; will CHAMP give another opportunity this year?

结论：去年的Big Time我买的还不够多；今年CHAMP还会再给一次机会吗？