$CHAMP 代幣發行價格預測 + 交易計劃

$CHAMP 代幣將於本週三（即 20 日）下午 3:00 在去中心化交易所 @AerodromeFi 上推出。以下是我個人對代幣價格的預測和我的交易計劃（DYOR）。

Author: Da Chengian

作者：大成安

$CHAMP Token Launch Price Prediction + Trading Plan

$CHAMP 代幣發行價格預測 + 交易計劃

$CHAMP tokens will launch on decentralized exchange @AerodromeFi this Wednesday, the 20th, at 3:00 PM. Here's my personal prediction for the token price and my trading plan (DYOR).

$CHAMP 代幣將於本週三（即 20 日）下午 3:00 在去中心化交易所 @AerodromeFi 上推出。這是我個人對代幣價格的預測和我的交易計劃（DYOR）。

First, the conclusion: Buy small below 0.05, buy large below 0.03, do not sell before breaking 0.1, aim for 0.2.

一、結論：0.05以下小買，0.03以下大買，破0.1前不賣，瞄準0.2。

1. First, why I won't sell before breaking 0.1:

1.首先，為什麼我在突破0.1之前不賣：

Referencing other chain game projects that launched tokens this year

參考今年推出代幣的其他鏈遊項目

CHAMP raised 30 million, and based on the average market cap/funding of the above projects, the theoretical market cap of CHAMP is 238 million, with a total token supply of 1 billion, so the theoretical token price is 0.238. However, whether it can actually reach 0.238 is unknown; I wish all CHAMP holders can wait for 0.238 and prosper together!

CHAMP籌集了3000萬，根據上述項目的平均市值/資金，CHAMP的理論市值為2.38億，總代幣供應量為10億，因此理論代幣價格為0.238。但能否真正達到0.238還是個未知數；祝福所有CHAMP持有者都能等待0.238，共同繁榮！

But I will not sell below 0.1; I will consider selling only after it breaks 0.1.

但低於0.1我不會賣；只有在突破0.1之後我才會考慮賣出。

Additionally, the CHAMP project team chose to launch on DEX first, which is also a reason why I won't sell early. Each subsequent CEX listing will be a positive factor that boosts the token price. Moreover, CHAMP's investor lineup includes OKX Venture, Coinbase, and KuCoin. It is relatively difficult to list on OKX (many projects backed by OKX Venture have not listed on OKX), but I estimate that the other two will list after some time.

另外，CHAMP專案組選擇先上線DEX，這也是我不會提前出售的原因。隨後的每次 CEX 上市都將是推高代幣價格的正面因素。此外，CHAMP的投資者陣容包括OKX Venture、Coinbase和KuCoin。 OKX上市相對困難（OKX Venture支持的許多項目都沒有在OKX上市），但我估計另外兩個過一段時間就會上市。

Why buy small below 0.05

0.05以下為什麼買小

0.05 is the price given to their NFT holders for pre-sale on the Lizlabs platform in September, and I speculate it is also the price for some KOLs. If the price falls below 0.05, optimistic investors will likely start to buy the dip.

0.05是9月在Lizlabs平台上給他們的NFT持有者預售的價格，我推測這也是一些KOL的價格。如果價格跌破 0.05，樂觀的投資者可能會開始逢低買入。

Why buy large below 0.03

0.03以下為什麼買大

If the token price is at 0.03, the market cap would be 30 million, which is also the total funding amount for SuperChamps. In my experience, for a legitimate web3 project, if the market cap equals the funding amount, the price is significantly undervalued.

如果代幣價格為0.03，市值為3000萬，這也是SuperChamps的總資金額。根據我的經驗，對於一個合法的 web3 項目，如果市值等於融資金額，那麼價格就被嚴重低估了。

The last project like this was Big Time (which also used a Fair Launch model like CHAMP). On its first day of listing last October, due to a large number of users selling the tokens received from airdrops, the price dropped to a low of 0.014, with a market cap of 70 million. Previously, Big Time raised 90 million through VC funding and NFT sales. Then the token price began to surge: within a week, it rose from 0.014 to 0.3, and by December, the price approached 1 dollar.

最後一個這樣的項目是 Big Time（它也使用了像 CHAMP 這樣的公平啟動模型）。去年10月上市首日，由於空投獲得的代幣被大量用戶拋售，價格跌至0.014低位，市值7000萬。此前，Big Time 透過 VC 融資和 NFT 銷售籌集了 9,000 萬美元。隨後代幣價格開始飆漲：一週之內，從0.014漲至0.3，到12月，價格逼近1美元。

Sharing my views on the project team's shift from a VC model to a Fair Launch model:

分享我對專案團隊從VC模式轉向Fair Launch模式的看法：

Support + Expectation!

支持+期待！

Because most VC tokens in this round peaked immediately upon launch, with continuous selling pressure from investors + the overall weakness of altcoins, leading many tokens to drop over 90%. Community players who initially believed in the project and bought tokens hoping to hold long ended up losing a lot. Retail investors lost money, and the project team also lost users.

因為本輪大部分VC代幣一上線就見頂，加上投資人的持續拋售壓力+山寨幣整體疲軟，導致不少代幣跌幅超過90%。最初相信該項目併購買代幣希望長期持有的社區玩家最終損失慘重。散戶損失了錢，專案組也損失了用戶。

From this perspective, SuperChamps' decision to unlock all investors' shares at the time of the token launch is correct, as it mitigates potential selling pressure. This way, the token has a better chance of increasing in value over the long term. Meanwhile, the team's share will still follow the original plan: locked for six months, unlocked over two years. This indicates that the project team clearly intends to develop long-term.

從這個角度來看，SuperChamps 在代幣發行時解鎖所有投資者股份的決定是正確的，因為它減輕了潛在的拋售壓力。這樣，從長遠來看，代幣就有更好的升值機會。同時，團隊的份額仍將遵循原計劃：鎖定六個月，兩年內解鎖。這顯示專案團隊的長遠發展意圖明確。

Lastly, it is worth mentioning that SuperChamps has always been the project with the highest user count on the Base chain (excluding multi-chain supporting DEXs like Uniswap). If Trump indeed promotes the development of blockchain business in the U.S. after taking office, Coinbase will likely benefit, and Base and SuperChamps will benefit together. The future looks bright!

最後值得一提的是，SuperChamps一直是Base鏈上用戶數最高的項目（不包括Uniswap等支援DEX的多鏈）。如果川普上任後確實推動美國區塊鏈業務的發展，那麼Coinbase很可能會受益，Base和SuperChamps也將共同受益。未來看起來一片光明！

Conclusion: I didn't buy enough of last year's Big Time; will CHAMP give another opportunity this year?

結論：去年的Big Time我買的還不夠多；今年CHAMP還會再給一次機會嗎？