Cathie Wood 刚刚双倍下注了她对比特币 100 万美元的价格预测。她是对的吗？

到 2030 年，比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）的价格将达到 100 万美元。那是在比特币突破 10 万美元价格水平之前

Cathie Wood, the founder, CEO, and CIO of Ark Invest, made headlines in 2023 when she boldly predicted that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) would reach a price of $1 million by 2030.

Ark Invest 创始人、首席执行官兼首席信息官 Cathie Wood 在 2023 年成为头条新闻，当时她大胆预测比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）的价格到 2030 年将达到 100 万美元。

That was well before Bitcoin ever broke through the $100,000 price level, and well before the launch of the new spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January 2024. The prediction came when Bitcoin was emerging from the crypto winter of 2022, and its prospects looked uncertain at best.

那是在比特币突破 10 万美元价格水平之前，也是在 2024 年 1 月推出新的现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 之前。这一预测是在比特币刚刚走出 2022 年的加密货币寒冬之际做出的，其前景充其量是不确定的。

Now, Wood has doubled down on her prediction, saying that she believes Bitcoin could actually reach a price of $1.5 million by 2030. She made the comments in a recent interview with CNBC.

现在，伍德更加坚定了她的预测，表示她相信到 2030 年，比特币的价格实际上可能会达到 150 万美元。她在最近接受 CNBC 采访时发表了上述言论。

"I think we're going to see a lot of institutional interest in the coming years," Wood said. "And I think that's what's going to drive the price of Bitcoin up."

“我认为未来几年我们将看到很多机构的兴趣，”伍德说。 “我认为这将推动比特币价格上涨。”

Wood has long been bullish on Bitcoin, and she believes that it has the potential to become a global reserve currency. She also believes that the launch of the spot Bitcoin ETFs will help to legitimize Bitcoin in the eyes of institutional investors.

伍德长期以来一直看好比特币，她认为比特币有潜力成为全球储备货币。她还认为，现货比特币ETF的推出将有助于使比特币在机构投资者眼中合法化。

"I think the ETFs are going to be a big catalyst for institutional adoption," Wood said. "And I think that's what's going to drive the price of Bitcoin up."

“我认为 ETF 将成为机构采用的重要催化剂，”伍德说。 “我认为这将推动比特币价格上涨。”

Of course, Wood's prediction is just that -- a prediction. There's no guarantee that Bitcoin will actually reach a price of $1 million or $1.5 million by 2030. But if Wood is right, it would certainly be a windfall for early adopters of the cryptocurrency.

当然，伍德的预测只是一个预测。无法保证到 2030 年，比特币的价格实际上会达到 100 万美元或 150 万美元。但如果伍德是对的，这对于加密货币的早期采用者来说肯定是一笔意外之财。

Here's what you need to know about Wood's surprising Bitcoin price prediction and the role ETFs could play in driving institutional investment in the cryptocurrency.

以下是您需要了解的有关 Wood 令人惊讶的比特币价格预测以及 ETF 在推动机构投资加密货币方面可能发挥的作用的信息。

Why is Wood's Bitcoin price prediction surprising?

为什么伍德的比特币价格预测令人惊讶？

When Wood first made her $1 million Bitcoin price prediction in 2023, it was met with skepticism by some. At the time, Bitcoin was still trading below $20,000 and had yet to fully recover from the bear market of 2022.

当 Wood 首次做出 2023 年比特币价格 100 万美元的预测时，遭到了一些人的怀疑。当时，比特币的交易价格仍低于 20,000 美元，尚未完全从 2022 年的熊市中恢复过来。

However, Wood's prediction was based on her analysis of Bitcoin's fundamentals, such as its scarcity, portability, and divisibility. She also took into account the growing institutional interest in the cryptocurrency.

然而，伍德的预测是基于她对比特币基本面的分析，例如其稀缺性、可移植性和可分割性。她还考虑到机构对加密货币日益增长的兴趣。

Since then, Bitcoin has rallied to new all-time highs and the launch of the spot Bitcoin ETFs has brought a wave of institutional capital into the cryptocurrency markets. As a result, Wood's prediction now seems more realistic than ever before.

此后，比特币上涨至历史新高，现货比特币ETF的推出为加密货币市场带来了一波机构资本。因此，伍德的预测现在看起来比以往任何时候都更加现实。

How could ETFs help to drive institutional investment in Bitcoin?

ETF 如何帮助推动机构对比特币的投资？

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are a type of investment vehicle that tracks a specific index, commodity, or asset class. They offer investors a way to gain exposure to a broad range of assets without having to buy and sell them individually.

交易所交易基金 (ETF) 是一种跟踪特定指数、商品或资产类别的投资工具。它们为投资者提供了一种获得广泛资产的方式，而无需单独买卖这些资产。

Spot Bitcoin ETFs are designed to track the daily price of Bitcoin, and they offer investors a convenient and cost-effective way to add the cryptocurrency to their portfolios. The launch of these ETFs is expected to attract a large amount of institutional capital into the Bitcoin market.

现货比特币 ETF 旨在跟踪比特币的每日价格，它们为投资者提供了一种方便且经济高效的方式将加密货币添加到他们的投资组合中。这些ETF的推出预计将吸引大量机构资本进入比特币市场。

This is because institutions, such as pension funds, endowments, and insurance companies, typically prefer to invest in regulated and transparent markets. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC provides institutions with the assurance they need to allocate a portion of their portfolios to the cryptocurrency.

这是因为养老基金、捐赠基金和保险公司等机构通常更喜欢投资于受监管和透明的市场。美国证券交易委员会批准现货比特币 ETF 为机构提供了将部分投资组合分配给加密货币所需的保证。

Increased institutional investment is likely to drive up the demand for Bitcoin, which could lead to higher prices. In turn, this could help to fulfill Wood's bold prediction of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2030.

机构投资的增加可能会推高对比特币的需求，从而导致价格上涨。反过来，这可能有助于实现 Wood 的大胆预测：到 2030 年，比特币价格将达到 100 万美元。